NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	122		Excitement	4.7 [837]		MVP	Anthony Davis (LAL): +24.6%
San Antonio Spurs	119		Comeback	1.3 [847]		LVP	Jeremy Sochan (SAS): -10.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.25	0.16	0.09	0.00	23	64%	0.28	2	-0.04	12	75%	0.04
Cam Reddish	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	7	71%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	12	65%	0.10	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Rui Hachimura	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.04	10	65%	0.09	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Austin Reaves	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04	0.10	-0.03	0.03	10	75%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Christian Wood	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jaxson Hayes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Max Christie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	30%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	13	44%	0.03	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.24	0.00	0.09	14	87%	0.14	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Malaki Branham	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.04	0.05	13	70%	0.12	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tre Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Julian Champagnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Vassell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	15	41%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Victor Wembanyama	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.07	-0.07	0.06	-0.05	0.08	21	61%	0.09	5	-0.16	7	57%	-0.13
Jeremy Sochan	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	0.00	-0.03	9	25%	-0.05	3	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.5	25.4	15.2	25.0	0.6	38.9	132.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +36.2%

LAL +7.7%

SAS -3.8%

LAL +9.3%

LAL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAS	NBA	LAL	SAS	NBA
this game	13.4	12.5	14.5	109.9	107.2	113.9
season	14.1	13.9		114.4	108.6
opponent	14.3	14.3		115.2	114.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.0	12.9	13.1	15.5	13.4
SAS	12.8	14.3	14.1	9.3	12.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rui Hachimura	59	59	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.15	15	-12	27	11.9	15.1	-3.25	12.9	12.2	0.73
Cam Reddish	58	61	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.05	12	-9	21	11.9	15.1	-3.16	12.9	12.1	0.77
Anthony Davis	87	88	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.25	5	-2	7	13.3	13.7	-0.33	12.4	13.2	-0.85
Taurean Prince	75	77	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.28	3	0	3	12.8	14.6	-1.83	12.5	12.6	-0.15
Max Christie	33	30	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.01	8	-5	13	14.1	13.1	0.93	13.8	12.1	1.68
Austin Reaves	68	66	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.49	-9	12	-21	14.2	12.1	2.10	11.5	14.0	-2.45
D'Angelo Russell	74	75	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.33	-6	9	-15	13.5	13.2	0.28	12.5	12.7	-0.19
Jaxson Hayes	18	17	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	1	1	12.9	13.5	-0.55	14.6	12.2	2.49
Jarred Vanderbilt	37	36	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	5	-7	14.1	13.0	1.09	13.4	12.1	1.30
Christian Wood	46	46	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.32	-13	16	-29	16.1	11.5	4.65	11.3	13.4	-2.07

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedi Osman	34	37	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.28	9	-12	21	11.2	13.1	-1.88	15.2	12.5	2.68
Julian Champagnie	15	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.00	-2	-1	-1	11.3	12.7	-1.47	13.5	13.4	0.15
Zach Collins	41	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.07	-2	-1	-1	13.2	12.2	1.04	14.5	12.8	1.79
Malaki Branham	68	67	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.28	3	-6	9	12.6	12.5	0.12	12.9	14.2	-1.40
Doug McDermott	34	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.05	-9	6	-15	13.0	12.4	0.62	14.1	13.1	0.98
Devin Vassell	83	83	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.47	5	-8	13	12.3	13.3	-1.04	13.3	13.7	-0.37
Jeremy Sochan	70	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.25	-4	1	-5	12.8	12.1	0.63	12.8	14.4	-1.65
Keldon Johnson	84	84	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.42	1	-4	5	12.6	12.5	0.08	12.9	14.9	-1.96
Victor Wembanyama	76	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	2	-7	12.7	12.1	0.66	13.0	14.2	-1.20
Tre Jones	50	50	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.08	-11	8	-19	12.7	12.4	0.25	13.8	13.1	0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 120, LAL 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
TOR 112, NJN 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
TOR 97, NJN 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0	96.3%