NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	102		Excitement	8.5 [203]		MVP	Jerami Grant (POR): +15.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	108		Comeback	63.1 [136]		LVP	Malcolm Brogdon (POR): -27.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerami Grant	0.16	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16	-0.01	0.13	-0.04	18	52%	0.34	4	-0.18	6	83%	0.03
Deandre Ayton	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.07	0.02	6	78%	0.16	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Toumani Camara	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Walker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matisse Thybulle	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Duop Reath	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scoot Henderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.09	-0.02	10	65%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shaedon Sharpe	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	19	41%	-0.01	3	-0.10	3	67%	-0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.27	-0.09	-0.24	-0.06	23	37%	-0.25	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0,0,0.25,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	-0.00	21	55%	0.17	3	-0.03	14	93%	0.10
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.00	0.12	0.01	14	50%	0.15	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Jackson Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	21	55%	0.05	4	-0.06	18	61%	-0.04
MarJon Beauchamp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
AJ Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.05	0.03	11	45%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.09	-0.00	12	50%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.4	28.6	14.5	36.2	1.7	40.7	150.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -27.9%

MIL +17.7%

MIL +25.8%

MIL +45.2%

POR -10.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIL	NBA	POR	MIL	NBA
this game	13.7	14.1	14.5	98.1	104.9	113.9
season	14.8	14.3		106.9	117.0
opponent	14.3	14.5		114.8	116.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	11.2	12.4	14.4	17.5	13.7
MIL	14.9	14.8	12.3	14.5	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jabari Walker	31	34	0.22	-0.72	0.95	0.05	6	-12	18	13.3	13.9	-0.57	15.2	13.6	1.64
Duop Reath	26	26	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.01	7	-13	20	13.2	13.9	-0.76	15.1	13.8	1.30
Matisse Thybulle	56	55	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.02	4	-10	14	14.0	13.4	0.53	14.4	13.7	0.71
Toumani Camara	37	38	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.10	-3	-3	0	13.5	13.8	-0.32	13.2	14.6	-1.42
Scoot Henderson	57	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.32	2	-8	10	14.1	13.2	0.89	15.2	12.8	2.35
Jerami Grant	87	85	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.36	-8	2	-10	14.0	12.1	1.92	13.6	16.3	-2.63
Malcolm Brogdon	72	72	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.49	-6	0	-6	14.1	12.9	1.22	13.8	14.9	-1.09
Deandre Ayton	72	70	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.33	-13	7	-20	13.3	14.6	-1.22	13.7	14.9	-1.14
Shaedon Sharpe	82	79	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	-0.24	-19	13	-32	13.4	15.0	-1.68	13.9	14.9	-1.00

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Beasley	79	79	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.30	16	-10	26	13.6	15.7	-2.09	14.0	12.9	1.11
Damian Lillard	81	82	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.29	15	-9	24	14.0	14.5	-0.56	13.3	15.4	-2.08
Bobby Portis	62	63	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.43	3	3	0	14.3	13.9	0.38	14.8	12.1	2.72
Giannis Antetokounmpo	83	84	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.21	9	-3	12	14.2	13.7	0.50	14.2	11.5	2.69
Brook Lopez	68	69	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.25	3	3	0	14.4	13.5	0.94	12.5	16.1	-3.65
Cameron Payne	33	34	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	3	0	14.4	14.0	0.47	16.2	12.5	3.69
Pat Connaughton	46	47	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.14	4	2	2	12.4	15.5	-3.02	11.9	15.2	-3.26
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	9	9	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.01	-2	8	-10	16.1	13.9	2.20	11.2	14.0	-2.74
MarJon Beauchamp	20	19	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.08	-1	7	-8	14.7	14.0	0.74	13.8	13.7	0.08
Andre Jackson Jr.	26	26	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.17	-11	17	-28	15.1	13.8	1.30	13.5	13.8	-0.24
AJ Green	8	8	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.10	-9	15	-24	16.6	13.9	2.73	15.5	13.6	1.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.16,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.2,0.47,0.25,0.28,0.43,0.47,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 102, IND 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.27,0.2,0.07,0.14,0.58,1	92.4%
CHH 93, NJN 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.39,0.47,0.71,0.43,0.42,1	91.5%
POR 88, PHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.21,0.29,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.16,0.58,1	90.9%