NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	136		Excitement	3.6 [1045]		MVP	De'Andre Hunter (ATL): +16.8%
Washington Wizards	108		Comeback	1.0 [1167]		LVP	Kyle Kuzma (WAS): -6.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Andre Hunter	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.02	-0.01	11	80%	0.18	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	9	79%	0.11	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Trae Young	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.15	0.01	0.09	17	70%	0.07	2	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Jalen Johnson	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.01	4	80%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Saddiq Bey	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	14	43%	0.03	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Onyeka Okongwu	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	56%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Garrison Mathews	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trent Forrest	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Fernando	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
AJ Griffin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	14	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Wesley Matthews	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	14	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gafford	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	0.00	8	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.00	9	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.00	0.07	8	76%	0.01	2	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	71%	0.00	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eugene Omoruyi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	0.00	0.07	6	71%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Johnny Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.04	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corey Kispert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	14	32%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Bilal Coulibaly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	5	70%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	10	55%	0.04	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	25.3	14.7	25.2	2.5	28.4	122.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +13.6%

WAS -3.5%

ATL +13.5%

ATL +27.5%

WAS -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	WAS	NBA	ATL	WAS	NBA
this game	13.8	14.2	14.5	132.0	104.9	113.9
season	14.2	13.7		115.7	109.8
opponent	14.1	14.3		118.7	118.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.1	12.5	13.2	17.5	13.8
WAS	15.2	14.7	15.0	11.8	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trae Young	66	67	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.53	40	-12	52	12.6	15.8	-3.25	14.7	13.3	1.38
Saddiq Bey	67	68	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.36	30	-2	32	13.7	13.9	-0.29	14.7	13.2	1.52
De'Andre Hunter	69	69	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.11	21	7	14	13.4	14.6	-1.20	14.0	14.6	-0.66
Clint Capela	40	41	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.14	21	7	14	12.8	14.3	-1.52	14.3	14.2	0.11
Dejounte Murray	59	60	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.20	19	9	10	12.9	15.0	-2.09	14.3	14.0	0.31
Jalen Johnson	19	20	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.08	7	21	-14	12.2	14.1	-1.96	14.4	14.2	0.24
Onyeka Okongwu	54	53	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.24	9	19	-10	13.8	13.7	0.16	14.4	14.0	0.32
Garrison Mathews	31	29	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	27	-26	17.0	12.4	4.64	12.0	15.1	-3.02
Bogdan Bogdanovic	44	45	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.38	13	15	-2	12.7	14.5	-1.76	15.2	13.4	1.77
Trent Forrest	18	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	35	-42	18.9	12.7	6.22	12.0	14.6	-2.64
Patty Mills	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	30	-32	17.4	13.4	4.04	13.0	14.3	-1.32
Bruno Fernando	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	30	-32	17.4	13.4	4.04	13.0	14.3	-1.32
AJ Griffin	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	32	-36	17.3	13.2	4.06	11.9	14.5	-2.59
Wesley Matthews	17	16	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.02	-6	34	-40	11.8	14.2	-2.39	16.1	13.9	2.20

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny Davis	32	32	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.09	5	-33	38	12.9	14.8	-1.93	16.5	12.5	3.98
Eugene Omoruyi	24	25	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-29	30	11.8	14.9	-3.15	17.5	12.6	4.92
Jared Butler	34	34	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.13	-5	-23	18	12.3	15.1	-2.81	16.6	12.4	4.23
Anthony Gill	36	36	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.21	-8	-20	12	12.7	15.0	-2.36	16.3	12.4	3.92
Mike Muscala	38	38	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.21	-8	-20	12	15.7	13.4	2.30	12.3	14.6	-2.33
Landry Shamet	34	34	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.43	-18	-10	-8	15.9	13.4	2.46	13.2	14.0	-0.78
Bilal Coulibaly	65	66	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.17	-1	-27	26	14.0	14.5	-0.43	14.4	12.6	1.81
Deni Avdija	39	37	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.19	-17	-11	-6	15.0	13.7	1.32	11.9	14.8	-2.91
Tyus Jones	54	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.16	-18	-10	-8	14.6	13.8	0.86	12.6	15.1	-2.56
Daniel Gafford	40	40	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.12	-18	-10	-8	14.6	14.0	0.61	12.8	14.3	-1.52
Corey Kispert	62	62	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.28	-28	0	-28	14.7	13.5	1.15	12.4	15.9	-3.52
Kyle Kuzma	57	56	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.18	-25	-3	-22	14.6	13.7	0.84	12.3	15.4	-3.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.33,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.18,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 118, ORL 88	0.5,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.35,0.3,0.22,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
BOS 109, DET 86	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
DAL 107, NOP 90	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%