NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	145		Excitement	15.9 [3]		MVP	Cameron Johnson (BKN): +75.9%
Atlanta Hawks	147		Comeback	3.2 [391]		LVP	Jalen Johnson (ATL): -20.8%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cameron Johnson	0.76	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.76	0.16	0.60	-0.00	13	82%	0.80	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Nic Claxton	0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.10	0.16	0.00	15	69%	0.29	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.22	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.02	0.22	0.02	23	51%	0.35	4	-0.14	5	100%	0.05
Mikal Bridges	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.08,0.25,0.24,0.39,0.02,0.02,-0.05,0.07,-0.02,0.16	0.21	-0.01	0.04	31	61%	0.20	1	-0.04	12	92%	0.07
Lonnie Walker IV	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	7	53%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Day'Ron Sharpe	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trendon Watford	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.03	0.00	8	44%	0.07	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.02	-0.09	0.00	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trae Young	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,0.26,0.26,0.13,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.73	0.73	0.10	0.65	0.02	31	57%	0.84	4	-0.11	13	85%	-0.04
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.13	0.09	0.00	16	64%	0.25	1	-0.04	7	100%	0.06
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.04	0.02	8	87%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	10	60%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.01	8	63%	0.08	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Dejounte Murray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.14,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	0.01	21	43%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
AJ Griffin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	15	45%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.09	-0.13	-0.02	7	50%	0.02	5	-0.23	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	29.3	2.5	27.3	14.6	25.4	2.4	33.3	2.5	18.5	155.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.4	15.0	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN -65.2%

ATL +45.9%

ATL +55.5%

ATL +8.3%

ATL +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	ATL	NBA	BKN	ATL	NBA
this game	13.3	14.1	14.5	125.0	126.7	113.9
season	14.8	14.2		111.9	115.7
opponent	14.3	14.5		118.0	114.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
BKN	15.3	11.8	12.9	13.5	13.3	13.3
ATL	12.4	14.4	14.3	17.3	10.6	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cameron Johnson	81	80	0.41	-0.91	1.33	0.06	12	-14	26	13.5	12.9	0.56	15.2	11.7	3.50
Lonnie Walker IV	39	39	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.15	0	-2	2	12.0	14.0	-2.01	12.9	14.6	-1.70
Day'Ron Sharpe	31	31	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.13	4	-6	10	12.8	13.5	-0.68	14.0	14.1	-0.06
Trendon Watford	33	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	4	-10	12.7	13.6	-0.94	13.8	14.2	-0.36
Spencer Dinwiddie	92	91	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.43	8	-10	18	13.5	12.6	0.90	14.3	13.4	0.91
Nic Claxton	78	79	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.38	-6	4	-10	13.8	12.3	1.52	14.3	13.6	0.71
Dorian Finney-Smith	81	82	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.43	-5	3	-8	13.6	12.7	0.97	14.5	13.1	1.44
Mikal Bridges	95	95	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.41	-12	10	-22	13.7	11.5	2.27	13.8	15.3	-1.53
Royce O'Neale	50	49	-0.84	0.34	-1.17	-0.69	-5	3	-8	12.5	14.0	-1.50	12.5	15.2	-2.71

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Onyeka Okongwu	56	57	1.35	-0.85	2.21	0.88	16	-14	30	13.8	14.3	-0.46	13.3	13.4	-0.07
Bogdan Bogdanovic	56	57	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.24	17	-15	32	13.8	14.3	-0.46	13.3	13.4	-0.07
Saddiq Bey	57	58	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.41	9	-7	16	13.5	14.7	-1.22	12.9	13.8	-0.84
Dejounte Murray	84	83	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.48	0	2	-2	14.4	13.1	1.32	13.7	12.3	1.44
De'Andre Hunter	82	83	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.51	-3	5	-8	14.7	12.6	2.15	13.7	12.3	1.44
AJ Griffin	8	8	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.08	10	-8	18	9.2	14.4	-5.19	14.2	13.3	0.98
Trae Young	91	90	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.21	-11	13	-24	13.7	15.3	-1.58	12.8	15.3	-2.54
Clint Capela	58	58	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	-0.06	-13	15	-28	14.7	13.4	1.33	13.6	13.1	0.47
Jalen Johnson	88	87	-0.79	1.29	-2.08	-0.35	-15	17	-32	14.2	13.7	0.53	13.1	14.1	-0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.45,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.47,0.57,0.76,0.8,0.87,0.72,0.86,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.84,0.45,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 114, UTA 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.9,0.71,0.91,0.42,0.46,0.62,0.78,0.69,0.58,1	88.3%
PHI 95, NOH 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.85,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.85,0.99,1	88.1%
DEN 106, MIN 112	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.76,0.73,0.83,0.89,0.83,0.86,0.72,0.66,0.58,0.46,0.69,0.46,0.32,0.58,1	87.6%