NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	103		Excitement	6.6 [498]		MVP	Sam Hauser (BOS): +14.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	106		Comeback	2.6 [305]		LVP	Jaylen Brown (BOS): -19.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Hauser	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.03	-0.00	8	81%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.12	0.18	-0.00	0.05	19	63%	0.12	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Jrue Holiday	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	9	60%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Luke Kornet	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	18	47%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Jayson Tatum	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	0.01	14	52%	0.00	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Al Horford	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	6	25%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.2	-0.11	-0.07	0.03	13	39%	-0.10	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11	0.11	-0.01	0.05	-0.06	20	59%	0.21	6	-0.10	6	100%	0.03
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.07	-0.03	27	45%	0.11	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	11	58%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	80%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.02	0.05	12	57%	-0.00	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Furkan Korkmaz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	9	17%	-0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	29.8	14.8	22.4	2.4	32.5	130.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +32.5%

BOS -4.2%

PHI +17.1%

PHI +2.5%

PHI +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	13.6	14.3	14.5	99.0	102.9	113.9
season	14.8	14.9		121.4	115.6
opponent	14.5	14.7		112.6	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.6	13.3	15.2	12.3	13.6
PHI	14.1	12.9	13.6	16.5	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	77	77	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.39	13	-16	29	12.7	16.1	-3.47	14.4	13.9	0.44
Luke Kornet	7	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.02	-3	0	-3	16.1	13.4	2.75	12.0	14.4	-2.42
Payton Pritchard	33	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-1	-1	13.8	13.5	0.40	14.9	14.0	0.95
Sam Hauser	38	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	3	-9	14.4	13.1	1.25	14.7	14.0	0.73
Derrick White	83	83	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.36	2	-5	7	13.2	15.0	-1.78	14.4	13.6	0.81
Jaylen Brown	78	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.25	-3	0	-3	13.8	12.8	1.03	14.0	14.9	-0.85
Kristaps Porzingis	68	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.58	8	-11	19	11.9	16.7	-4.73	14.8	13.2	1.58
Jayson Tatum	80	78	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-2	1	13.8	12.7	1.08	14.0	14.9	-0.88
Al Horford	56	53	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	0.11	-23	20	-43	15.6	11.2	4.40	13.4	15.2	-1.80

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	54	53	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.32	7	-4	11	14.6	13.9	0.72	14.6	12.5	2.17
Joel Embiid	80	81	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.34	4	-1	5	14.0	15.3	-1.30	13.8	12.8	0.96
Patrick Beverley	29	28	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.23	4	-1	5	14.6	14.1	0.51	16.1	12.6	3.46
Robert Covington	30	31	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.17	6	-3	9	15.0	13.9	1.10	13.8	13.5	0.28
Tobias Harris	85	86	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	0	3	14.0	15.2	-1.18	13.3	14.8	-1.45
Tyrese Maxey	86	87	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.35	-3	6	-9	14.2	14.4	-0.19	13.1	16.0	-2.90
Kelly Oubre Jr.	58	60	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	1	1	13.5	15.2	-1.76	13.5	13.7	-0.18
De'Anthony Melton	64	65	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.19	-3	6	-9	14.2	14.3	-0.01	12.6	15.2	-2.56
Paul Reed	23	23	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.08	-1	4	-5	15.3	14.0	1.30	12.8	13.8	-0.96
Furkan Korkmaz	6	6	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	7	-11	16.3	14.1	2.21	13.0	13.6	-0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 80, MIL 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.2%
DET 88, GSW 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.1%
DAL 76, PHX 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.71,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%