inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 125 Excitement9.9 [83] MVPMark Williams (CHA): +43.8%
Indiana Pacers 124 Comeback4.3 [186] LVPLaMelo Ball (CHA): -18.5%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mark Williams0.440,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.32,0.44,0.440.170.280.011282%0.493-0.069100%0.08
Terry Rozier0.260,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.260.140.130.011467%0.2600.005100%0.03
JT Thor0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.080.070.003117%0.1500.0000%0.00
Gordon Hayward0.130,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.130.110.02-0.011764%0.161-0.022100%0.01
Brandon Miller0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.050.06-0.00762%0.1100.002100%0.01
Nick Richards0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.080.030.004100%0.141-0.042100%0.01
P.J. Washington-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,-0.010.03-0.04-0.001354%0.041-0.052100%0.02
Theo Maledon-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.0030%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
LaMelo Ball-0.180,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18-0.17-0.03-0.021535%-0.036-0.161100%0.01

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyrese Haliburton0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.40.400.350.05-0.012188%0.693-0.287100%0.04
Buddy Hield0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.05,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.16,0.280.280.080.20-0.011561%0.342-0.0510%-0.12
Jalen Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.070.070.00679%0.161-0.02250%-0.02
Obi Toppin0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.090.000.02779%0.0700.0000%0.00
Andrew Nembhard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.010.07-0.00939%0.0600.0000%0.00
Aaron Nesmith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.02-0.00533%-0.0100.00250%-0.07
Bruce Brown0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.010.00844%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Myles Turner0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05-0.050.01-0.060.01970%0.164-0.21250%-0.01
T.J. McConnell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Bennedict Mathurin0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.11-0.030.011133%-0.063-0.092100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.52.532.715.030.01.845.0151.4
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND -32.8%
CHA +22.6%
IND -18.0%
CHA +34.1%
CHA +44.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHAINDNBACHAINDNBA
this game14.514.814.5127.6125.3113.9
season14.813.7108.3120.1
opponent14.614.5117.5118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA15.012.714.216.214.5
IND13.315.615.814.514.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandon Miller67680.90-0.401.310.4117-163315.013.31.7214.814.70.04
JT Thor32290.63-0.130.770.2214-132714.614.40.1414.914.70.23
Mark Williams61620.53-0.030.560.62-34-714.813.90.9714.814.80.02
Gordon Hayward71700.52-0.020.540.61-34-714.414.6-0.2214.715.0-0.28
Terry Rozier66660.240.26-0.030.2401-113.915.7-1.8114.814.70.11
Theo Maledon2729-0.020.52-0.54-0.144-3714.614.40.2215.014.70.28
Nick Richards3737-0.030.53-0.56-0.154-3713.914.8-0.9714.814.8-0.02
P.J. Washington6670-0.130.63-0.770.25-1314-2714.414.6-0.1414.714.9-0.23
LaMelo Ball6364-0.140.64-0.780.30-1516-3114.514.40.1114.714.9-0.14

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bennedict Mathurin51510.13-0.630.76-0.056-71314.615.0-0.4114.614.30.37
Myles Turner53530.01-0.510.52-0.3412-132514.814.8-0.0315.513.32.18
Andrew Nembhard3836-0.05-0.450.400.15-76-1315.014.60.3314.114.7-0.57
T.J. McConnell109-0.16-0.340.170.10-98-1716.314.61.7013.214.6-1.37
Buddy Hield5351-0.21-0.290.09-0.18-10-115.214.30.9114.314.7-0.41
Obi Toppin5354-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.281-2314.515.1-0.5614.414.6-0.22
Tyrese Haliburton7475-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.588-91714.515.5-0.9514.713.80.90
Bruce Brown6566-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.647-81514.615.2-0.6214.314.7-0.37
Jalen Smith4645-0.510.01-0.52-0.13-1312-2514.814.80.0313.315.5-2.18
Aaron Nesmith5250-0.680.18-0.87-0.42-98-1715.014.60.4114.914.00.92


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.27,0.32,0.4,0.42,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.47,0.24,0.1,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.16,0
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 93, CLE 870.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.27,0.38,0.46,0.33,0.1,089.7%
MIL 108, BOS 1000.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.1,0.16,0.15,089.6%
LAL 99, IND 930.5,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.21,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.29,0.25,0.54,0.43,0.09,089.5%