NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	93		Excitement	8.9 [186]		MVP	Terrence Ross (ORL): +19.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	87		Comeback	2.7 [526]		LVP	D.J. Augustin (ORL): -26.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Ross	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.04,0,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2	0.10	0.10	-0.00	14	64%	0.28	2	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
Jonathan Isaac	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.02	0.10	-0.00	9	50%	0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mo Bamba	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Aaron Gordon	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.05	0.01	-0.05	-0.00	13	50%	0.03	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Markelle Fultz	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.07	0.08	9	40%	0.01	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.05
Evan Fournier	-0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09	0.02	-0.08	0.03	15	51%	0.01	2	-0.09	5	80%	0.01
Khem Birch	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	0.00	0.06	5	45%	-0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	-0.06
D.J. Augustin	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.09	-0.18	0.00	10	38%	-0.15	3	-0.12	6	83%	0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	4	62%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	0.01	0.06	8	75%	0.08	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Darius Garland	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	0.03	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Alfonzo McKinnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.04	-0.10	0.01	9	56%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.09	0.01	12	54%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.01,-0.05,-0.11	-0.11	0.03	-0.13	0.01	16	56%	-0.02	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	10	20%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	11	36%	-0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.3	27.1	10.8	24.6	2.5	30.5	119.8
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +18.7%

ORL +21.8%

ORL +9.5%

ORL +0.1%

CLE -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CLE	NBA	ORL	CLE	NBA
this game	15.3	15.0	14.2	98.9	90.6	109.6
season	14.7	15.1		107.1	106.3
opponent	13.8	14.2		114.2	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.5	13.7	18.8	15.0	15.3
CLE	15.5	15.1	16.4	13.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D.J. Augustin	52	55	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.04	16	-10	26	15.1	15.7	-0.63	14.6	15.5	-0.97
Mo Bamba	31	32	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.11	16	-10	26	15.8	15.1	0.65	15.7	14.6	1.02
Terrence Ross	51	51	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	-5	16	15.7	14.9	0.84	15.0	14.9	0.09
Michael Carter-Williams	36	38	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	-5	16	15.3	15.3	-0.01	15.1	14.9	0.21
Jonathan Isaac	66	68	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.33	-2	8	-10	15.2	15.6	-0.33	14.5	16.2	-1.74
Aaron Gordon	59	60	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.24	0	6	-6	15.4	15.2	0.22	15.9	13.4	2.59
Markelle Fultz	55	55	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.40	-6	12	-18	15.1	15.7	-0.60	14.8	15.2	-0.46
Evan Fournier	59	59	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.36	-5	11	-16	15.2	15.6	-0.46	14.8	15.3	-0.56
Khem Birch	62	63	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.46	-11	17	-28	15.3	15.4	-0.15	14.8	15.4	-0.63

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Collin Sexton	62	61	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.28	8	-14	22	14.6	15.6	-0.99	15.1	15.8	-0.64
Cedi Osman	63	62	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.23	5	-11	16	15.0	14.9	0.11	15.1	15.8	-0.67
Larry Nance Jr.	82	80	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.40	10	-16	26	14.7	16.8	-2.11	15.5	14.6	0.90
Darius Garland	61	59	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.37	9	-15	24	14.7	15.5	-0.89	15.3	15.5	-0.23
Alfonzo McKinnie	11	10	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.08	-10	4	-14	17.6	14.6	3.00	14.1	15.5	-1.39
Tristan Thompson	63	63	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-4	2	15.2	14.5	0.66	14.8	16.4	-1.51
John Henson	29	28	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-6	0	-6	14.0	15.4	-1.45	16.2	15.0	1.24
Matthew Dellavedova	27	27	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.08	-14	8	-22	16.1	14.5	1.63	15.2	15.4	-0.17
Jordan Clarkson	42	41	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.08	-15	9	-24	15.2	14.8	0.42	15.9	14.9	0.95
Kevin Porter Jr.	40	39	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.08	-15	9	-24	15.2	14.8	0.38	15.9	14.9	1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.27,0.38,0.46,0.33,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 99, IND 93	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.21,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.29,0.25,0.54,0.43,0.09,0	92.8%
CHI 83, CLE 74	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.33,0.09,0	92.5%
MIN 110, NJN 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.33,0.45,0.29,0.16,0	92.1%