NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	109		Excitement	9.4 [112]		MVP	Dorian Finney-Smith (BKN): +22.7%
Chicago Bulls	107		Comeback	3.3 [229]		LVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): -24.7%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.23	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.17	0.08	0.02	14	75%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.16	0.08	0.09	0.00	17	56%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Day'Ron Sharpe	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	3	86%	0.12	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Lonnie Walker IV	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.00	10	55%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Thomas	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08	0.01	0.08	0.01	18	45%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Smith Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.06	-0.00	9	39%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	71%	0.13	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.05	-0.00	10	45%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	4	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.07	-0.00	2	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.01	-0.03	6	83%	0.15	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.01	20	55%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0,0.14,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	13	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	70%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	0.01	17	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Torrey Craig	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	37%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,-0.25	-0.25	0.02	-0.28	-0.01	21	52%	-0.19	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.6	2.4	26.2	14.6	23.4	2.3	33.5	123.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +69.0%

CHI -9.6%

BKN +5.4%

CHI -18.0%

BKN +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	CHI	NBA	BKN	CHI	NBA
this game	14.9	15.2	14.5	113.5	112.6	113.9
season	14.8	14.5		111.9	113.4
opponent	15.0	14.5		115.1	114.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	13.0	17.7	14.7	14.5	14.9
CHI	15.8	12.3	16.0	16.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Dinwiddie	63	63	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.14	15	-13	28	14.0	16.8	-2.85	15.2	15.3	-0.11
Day'Ron Sharpe	31	32	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.20	8	-6	14	14.4	15.2	-0.88	14.4	15.6	-1.21
Royce O'Neale	62	63	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.50	-3	5	-8	15.8	13.5	2.29	14.7	16.3	-1.61
Lonnie Walker IV	32	34	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.13	9	-7	16	14.7	15.1	-0.34	13.9	15.9	-2.02
Dennis Smith Jr.	33	34	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.11	8	-6	14	14.8	15.0	-0.20	14.4	15.6	-1.20
Mikal Bridges	68	65	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.31	-5	7	-12	14.7	15.4	-0.68	15.6	14.4	1.23
Ben Simmons	65	62	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.36	-8	10	-18	15.1	14.6	0.54	15.8	14.1	1.76
Dorian Finney-Smith	65	62	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.36	-8	10	-18	15.1	14.6	0.54	15.8	14.1	1.76
Cam Thomas	61	60	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.11	-6	8	-14	15.5	14.0	1.45	15.7	14.3	1.42

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Williams	43	40	0.26	-0.76	1.02	-0.03	10	-12	22	13.9	16.3	-2.38	16.2	14.0	2.23
Torrey Craig	56	57	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.36	7	-9	16	15.7	14.5	1.14	14.8	15.1	-0.26
Zach LaVine	75	76	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.43	8	-10	18	15.5	14.0	1.47	14.9	15.0	-0.07
Nikola Vucevic	69	71	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.40	7	-9	16	15.8	13.7	2.09	15.0	14.9	0.04
Coby White	67	70	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.40	4	-6	10	15.9	13.6	2.22	15.3	14.1	1.19
Andre Drummond	26	26	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.14	-9	7	-16	13.7	15.8	-2.09	14.3	15.2	-0.83
Jevon Carter	30	29	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.10	-11	9	-20	14.4	15.6	-1.23	14.8	15.0	-0.17
Alex Caruso	51	52	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.36	-9	7	-16	15.1	15.3	-0.24	15.3	14.5	0.83
DeMar DeRozan	67	69	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.30	-16	14	-30	15.5	14.5	1.01	14.2	17.0	-2.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.39,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.72,0.74,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.27,0.36,0.46,0.47,0.26,0.28,0.17,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 97, ATL 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.71,0.62,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.19,0.22,0.04,0.27,0	92.5%
CLE 100, DEN 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.14,0.04,0	91.5%
SEA 114, ATL 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.53,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.16,0.15,0.04,0	91.5%