NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	108		Excitement	9.2 [150]		MVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): +26.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	113		Comeback	6.1 [355]		LVP	Anthony Edwards (MIN): -28.1%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Ingram	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.29,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.16	0.04	0.03	28	65%	0.35	4	-0.17	9	100%	0.09
Trey Murphy III	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15	0.14	0.02	0.00	10	71%	0.17	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.04
Larry Nance Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Naji Marshall	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	14	39%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	5	20%	-0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Herbert Jones	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.25,-0.24	-0.07	-0.17	-0.00	4	40%	-0.10	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
CJ McCollum	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.08,-0.28	-0.06	-0.23	-0.02	24	41%	-0.13	2	-0.14	8	62%	-0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.16	0.12	0.01	19	68%	0.30	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.05	-0.01	14	58%	0.15	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Jordan McLaughlin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	1	125%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Wendell Moore Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	7	57%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.06	0.02	11	59%	0.02	1	-0.03	7	86%	-0.04
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nathan Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	37%	0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0,0.03,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.1,-0.24,-0.28	-0.28	-0.13	-0.17	-0.02	21	47%	0.14	8	-0.42	13	54%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	30.2	14.8	30.4	2.4	42.0	148.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +83.7%

NOP -19.9%

NOP -3.8%

NOP -11.0%

MIN +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	MIN	NBA	NOP	MIN	NBA
this game	14.4	13.5	14.4	103.8	109.7	113.4
season	14.2	14.1		113.4	112.4
opponent	14.3	14.6		112.7	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	15.3	13.8	16.4	12.3	14.4
MIN	14.7	12.9	12.4	13.9	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Valanciunas	47	46	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.04	7	-12	19	14.0	14.7	-0.69	13.8	13.2	0.65
Herbert Jones	85	86	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.30	10	-15	25	13.7	17.4	-3.69	13.7	12.1	1.61
Brandon Ingram	91	90	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.32	7	-12	19	14.0	17.0	-3.02	13.7	11.8	1.94
Larry Nance Jr.	35	35	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	5	-15	16.8	13.1	3.73	12.9	13.8	-0.88
Naji Marshall	24	23	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	4	-13	17.9	13.3	4.57	12.8	13.6	-0.82
Josh Richardson	65	63	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.38	-5	0	-5	13.7	15.5	-1.85	13.4	13.6	-0.18
Trey Murphy III	89	89	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.32	-10	5	-15	13.9	17.3	-3.40	13.4	14.0	-0.62
CJ McCollum	84	83	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.38	-15	10	-25	14.7	13.0	1.68	13.3	14.2	-0.91

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	36	36	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.30	16	-11	27	11.3	14.6	-3.28	16.1	13.4	2.73
Taurean Prince	76	75	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.36	14	-9	23	13.1	14.5	-1.43	14.8	13.1	1.69
Mike Conley	76	78	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.41	5	0	5	13.4	13.6	-0.17	13.4	17.1	-3.63
Kyle Anderson	79	79	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	3	-1	12.9	15.4	-2.49	14.7	13.4	1.26
Anthony Edwards	86	87	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.34	-4	9	-13	13.7	12.3	1.40	13.8	17.4	-3.65
Karl-Anthony Towns	77	77	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.01	4	1	3	13.8	12.3	1.50	14.2	14.8	-0.57
Wendell Moore Jr.	0	1	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.04	2	3	-1	0.0	13.5	-13.47	2.0	14.5	-12.48
Jordan McLaughlin	34	34	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.00	3	2	1	14.5	13.0	1.54	16.9	13.1	3.84
Nathan Knight	4	5	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.03	-1	6	-7	13.2	13.5	-0.22	13.0	14.4	-1.42
Jaden McDaniels	18	19	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.01	-2	7	-9	14.2	13.3	0.85	14.2	14.4	-0.18
Rudy Gobert	29	29	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	0.09	-14	19	-33	15.5	12.7	2.81	12.4	15.1	-2.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.21,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.29,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.47,0.79,0.65,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 84, CHI 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.23,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.42,0.41,0.52,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.55,0.61,0.45,0.73,1	91.6%
DET 85, CHH 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.17,0.24,0.16,0.22,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.83,0.84,1	91.1%
MIN 93, POR 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.59,0.53,0.69,0.79,0.67,0.73,1	91.0%