NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	115		Excitement	7.2 [486]		MVP	Terry Taylor (CHI): +20.5%
Dallas Mavericks	112		Comeback	12.0 [59]		LVP	Theo Pinson (DAL): -10.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Taylor	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2	0.06	0.15	0.00	4	80%	0.20	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.08
Patrick Williams	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.08	0.12	0.01	18	59%	0.24	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Coby White	0.18	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.11	0.08	0.01	17	67%	0.27	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Carlik Jones	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.07	-0.00	2	150%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0.13	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.02	11	74%	0.15	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Alex Caruso	0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	87%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Javonte Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Dalen Terry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	10	36%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ayo Dosunmu	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	14	43%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.00	0.00	6	108%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.07	-0.00	9	67%	0.18	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	0.00	4	112%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	-0.00	7	65%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jaden Hardy	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	11	45%	0.01	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Dwight Powell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
McKinley Wright IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	14	46%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	-0.00	11	48%	-0.01	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	7	44%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Theo Pinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.08	-0.03	10	40%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.3	23.9	14.6	26.0	1.6	28.6	120.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +39.4%

DAL -3.3%

CHI +16.1%

DAL -1.5%

DAL -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	DAL	NBA	CHI	DAL	NBA
this game	13.9	14.7	14.4	115.0	110.9	113.4
season	14.1	15.2		112.0	115.5
opponent	14.3	14.9		115.8	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.7	13.7	14.4	14.1	13.9
DAL	13.5	14.6	14.4	16.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Coby White	90	88	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.36	16	-13	29	13.6	17.1	-3.51	14.8	14.1	0.73
Terry Taylor	23	24	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.48	9	-6	15	14.1	13.9	0.19	16.5	14.2	2.34
Patrick Williams	76	75	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.35	11	-8	19	13.7	14.5	-0.79	15.2	13.4	1.74
Ayo Dosunmu	76	79	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.44	8	-5	13	14.0	13.7	0.36	15.5	12.0	3.53
Carlik Jones	32	32	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.63	-1	4	-5	14.9	13.5	1.37	13.3	15.3	-2.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	44	47	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.04	4	-1	5	14.3	13.7	0.59	14.1	15.3	-1.21
Alex Caruso	38	38	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.05	-2	5	-7	13.0	14.5	-1.47	15.3	14.3	0.97
Nikola Vucevic	59	58	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.07	-5	8	-13	13.7	14.3	-0.64	14.6	14.8	-0.18
Javonte Green	28	29	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.05	-7	10	-17	14.5	13.7	0.83	14.0	15.0	-1.00
Dalen Terry	34	35	-0.50	1.00	-1.51	0.02	-18	21	-39	14.7	13.6	1.12	12.7	15.8	-3.01

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Davis Bertans	33	34	0.31	-0.81	1.12	-0.04	12	-15	27	12.3	15.9	-3.58	14.8	13.5	1.34
JaVale McGee	17	16	0.30	-0.80	1.10	-0.08	13	-16	29	10.8	15.5	-4.75	15.9	13.6	2.38
Markieff Morris	16	17	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.03	6	-9	15	16.5	14.4	2.12	13.7	14.0	-0.28
Luka Doncic	28	28	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.05	5	-8	13	13.5	15.2	-1.63	14.3	13.8	0.48
Jaden Hardy	34	35	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.06	-2	-1	-1	15.6	14.2	1.41	12.9	14.5	-1.53
Dwight Powell	23	23	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.03	-1	-2	1	14.4	14.8	-0.42	12.6	14.3	-1.73
Frank Ntilikina	70	69	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-2	1	14.5	15.1	-0.55	13.6	14.6	-0.98
Justin Holiday	55	54	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.65	12	-15	27	13.9	15.7	-1.80	14.7	13.0	1.74
Theo Pinson	63	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.52	4	-7	11	14.9	14.5	0.38	14.4	13.2	1.26
Reggie Bullock	70	70	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.05	-27	24	-51	16.1	11.5	4.66	12.9	16.3	-3.32
McKinley Wright IV	49	47	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.36	-17	14	-31	15.4	14.1	1.31	14.0	13.9	0.03
A.J. Lawson	47	45	-0.95	0.45	-1.39	-0.39	-19	16	-35	15.6	13.9	1.65	14.3	13.7	0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.8,0.77,0.59,0.54,0.33,0.1,0.04,0.09,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 96, ATL 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.88,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.82,0.83,0.65,0.64,0.45,0.22,0.14,0.04,0.02,0.01,0	92.3%
CHA 107, ORL 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.86,0.77,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.76,0.63,0.64,0.47,0.22,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0	91.9%
DET 104, POR 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.25,0.15,0.02,0,0	91.7%