NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	112		Excitement	7.3 [456]		MVP	Kevin Porter Jr. (HOU): +21.6%
Charlotte Hornets	109		Comeback	1.8 [837]		LVP	James Bouknight (CHA): -16.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Porter Jr.	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.13	0.09	0.00	13	68%	0.30	3	-0.08	12	83%	0.03
Kenyon Martin Jr.	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13	0.05	0.08	0.01	10	64%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Boban Marjanovic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith Jr.	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.03	0.01	11	59%	0.08	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Usman Garuba	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alperen Sengun	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	9	58%	0.06	4	-0.08	6	83%	-0.01
Jalen Green	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	22	51%	0.02	3	-0.07	7	71%	-0.01
Tari Eason	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	9	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Josh Christopher	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	10	30%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	0.00	7	75%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Theo Maledon	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.02	0.04	15	67%	0.12	4	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Nick Richards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	2	60%	0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Bryce McGowens	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.03	0.02	15	47%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Kobi Simmons	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JT Thor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.03	0.03	6	62%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Xavier Sneed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kai Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	9	53%	0.03	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.10	-0.01	21	52%	0.03	5	-0.13	6	67%	-0.02
James Bouknight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	10	29%	-0.05	4	-0.12	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	27.4	14.6	29.4	2.6	33.3	135.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +28.7%

HOU +2.3%

HOU +15.2%

HOU +0.8%

HOU +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CHA	NBA	HOU	CHA	NBA
this game	14.5	12.9	14.4	107.7	102.8	113.4
season	14.8	14.0		109.8	107.8
opponent	14.3	13.9		114.4	118.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.8	13.3	14.3	17.1	14.5
CHA	11.9	12.9	12.9	14.2	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Porter Jr.	81	83	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.40	6	-3	9	14.4	14.9	-0.51	12.8	13.2	-0.37
Jabari Smith Jr.	72	74	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.33	6	-3	9	14.3	14.9	-0.56	12.6	13.7	-1.14
Kenyon Martin Jr.	84	85	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.35	3	0	3	14.3	15.4	-1.15	13.4	10.9	2.58
Alperen Sengun	69	69	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.24	5	-2	7	14.3	14.9	-0.60	13.2	12.5	0.71
Jalen Green	85	86	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.38	-1	4	-5	14.3	15.3	-0.97	13.0	12.7	0.22
Tari Eason	53	54	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.24	-3	6	-9	14.9	14.1	0.79	12.5	13.4	-0.94
Boban Marjanovic	13	14	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.03	4	-1	5	15.8	14.3	1.43	14.1	12.7	1.32
Josh Christopher	42	43	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.05	1	2	-1	15.1	14.1	0.97	13.0	12.9	0.13
Usman Garuba	21	22	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	9	-15	14.9	14.4	0.48	11.7	13.2	-1.51

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobi Simmons	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.03	1	-4	5	8.0	13.2	-5.17	16.4	14.4	1.98
Nick Richards	48	47	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.12	3	-6	9	12.3	13.5	-1.19	15.6	13.6	2.00
Kai Jones	43	43	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.11	1	-4	5	12.9	13.0	-0.11	15.6	13.8	1.85
Xavier Sneed	24	24	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	2	-7	12.5	13.0	-0.55	15.4	14.3	1.11
Bryce McGowens	79	78	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.33	4	-7	11	12.8	13.1	-0.30	14.6	14.2	0.44
James Bouknight	56	54	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	5	-13	12.9	12.9	-0.03	14.8	14.2	0.61
Theo Maledon	85	83	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.37	1	-4	5	12.9	13.2	-0.33	14.4	15.0	-0.66
Svi Mykhailiuk	69	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.35	-2	-1	-1	13.6	11.6	1.96	13.9	15.7	-1.84
JT Thor	63	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.30	-4	1	-5	13.0	12.9	0.11	13.8	15.6	-1.85
Mark Williams	58	57	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.29	-6	3	-9	13.5	12.3	1.19	13.6	15.6	-2.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.32,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.12,0.22,0.2,0.04,0.01,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 113, NOP 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.01,0.06,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.07,0,0,0	94.5%
PHI 98, SEA 90	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.18,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.09,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.04,0	94.1%
VAN 105, SAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.19,0.13,0.08,0.02,0,0,0	94.1%