NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	114		Excitement	9.2 [147]		MVP	Cameron Johnson (BKN): +42.3%
Brooklyn Nets	123		Comeback	7.0 [416]		LVP	Jalen Green (HOU): -20.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Porter Jr.	0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.28	0.17	0.12	0.01	22	63%	0.32	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.04
Josh Christopher	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.05	0.09	0.00	10	64%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kenyon Martin Jr.	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.01	13	58%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Usman Garuba	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.03	-0.02	3	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alperen Sengun	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.2,0.2,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.05	0.03	16	60%	0.09	2	-0.10	3	33%	-0.06
Daishen Nix	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tari Eason	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	6	0%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith Jr.	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.04	-0.14	0.02	14	40%	-0.17	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Green	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.21,-0.21	-0.06	-0.14	0.01	13	40%	-0.04	2	-0.17	9	44%	-0.05

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.32,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.42	0.19	0.24	0.01	18	77%	0.48	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Nic Claxton	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.13	0.15	-0.01	10	75%	0.32	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.04	0.12	-0.00	7	64%	0.22	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.01	0.02	11	77%	0.16	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.04
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.06	0.05	17	64%	0.18	3	-0.08	8	87%	-0.00
Day'Ron Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Yuta Watanabe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	8	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Edmond Sumner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	29.6	15.4	27.3	1.8	34.3	133.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +95.4%

HOU -10.4%

HOU -48.7%

BKN +7.6%

BKN +6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	BKN	NBA	HOU	BKN	NBA
this game	15.8	13.5	14.4	115.2	126.8	113.4
season	14.8	14.4		109.8	113.7
opponent	14.8	13.9		113.0	118.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.7	14.0	17.2	17.8	15.8
BKN	14.1	13.1	12.1	14.9	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Usman Garuba	29	29	0.35	-0.85	1.19	0.17	6	-15	21	14.8	16.3	-1.48	14.5	13.1	1.37
Tari Eason	45	45	0.28	-0.78	1.07	0.08	7	-16	23	16.0	15.7	0.26	13.8	13.3	0.55
Josh Christopher	35	35	0.17	-0.67	0.85	0.09	3	-12	15	15.5	16.0	-0.46	14.4	13.0	1.37
Daishen Nix	16	15	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.00	5	-14	19	14.0	16.2	-2.19	13.9	13.5	0.40
Kenyon Martin Jr.	71	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.29	-6	-3	-3	15.3	17.1	-1.77	13.2	14.3	-1.02
Kevin Porter Jr.	80	79	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.25	-14	5	-19	16.0	15.1	0.97	13.5	13.5	0.03
Jalen Green	68	66	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.34	-12	3	-15	16.0	15.4	0.66	13.0	14.6	-1.60
Alperen Sengun	69	67	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.37	-15	6	-21	16.4	14.5	1.97	13.1	14.5	-1.46
Jabari Smith Jr.	82	79	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.26	-19	10	-29	16.2	14.1	2.08	13.6	13.2	0.44

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Dinwiddie	77	79	0.89	-0.39	1.29	0.31	20	-11	31	12.9	15.9	-2.99	16.2	14.5	1.61
Cameron Johnson	70	73	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.34	17	-8	25	13.6	13.4	0.11	16.4	14.2	2.18
Mikal Bridges	79	81	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.22	14	-5	19	13.8	12.4	1.40	16.5	12.9	3.54
Nic Claxton	73	74	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.31	10	-1	11	12.8	15.9	-3.12	16.0	15.3	0.69
Royce O'Neale	51	52	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	3	3	13.7	13.3	0.42	16.0	15.7	0.26
Dorian Finney-Smith	55	56	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	6	-3	14.2	12.6	1.64	16.2	15.3	0.91
Day'Ron Sharpe	15	16	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	10	-11	14.0	13.4	0.56	13.2	16.3	-3.09
Edmond Sumner	9	10	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	11	-13	13.9	13.5	0.40	13.7	16.1	-2.38
Joe Harris	13	13	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.00	-5	14	-19	13.5	13.5	0.01	13.0	16.3	-3.27
Seth Curry	28	28	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.06	-6	15	-21	13.7	13.4	0.32	13.8	16.6	-2.86
Yuta Watanabe	15	13	-0.41	0.91	-1.33	-0.09	-11	20	-31	14.5	13.3	1.19	15.5	15.9	-0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.44,0.43,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.38,0.17,0.23,0.3,0.34,0.45,0.25,0.15,0.55,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 119, POR 123	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.67,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.68,0.98,1	91.6%
DEN 89, LAL 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.56,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.43,0.84,1	91.4%
CLE 88, DEN 91	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.39,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.29,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.19,0.36,0.45,0.84,1	90.9%