NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	119		Excitement	8.7 [169]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +65.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	123		Comeback	4.5 [321]		LVP	Robert Covington (POR): -16.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Aaron Fox	0.26	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.06,0,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.26	0.08	0.20	0.02	26	52%	0.29	1	-0.03	10	60%	-0.07
Buddy Hield	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.19	0.08	0.11	0.00	17	62%	0.23	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.04	-0.00	9	61%	0.12	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	14	55%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Marvin Bagley III	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	13	48%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
DaQuan Jeffries	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	12	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.00	-0.07	0.02	12	50%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.42,0.64,0.66	0.66	0.32	0.35	0.01	26	71%	0.66	0	0.00	10	100%	0.06
Enes Kanter	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.09	0.16	0.02	15	73%	0.28	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.08	0.02	3	89%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	11	62%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.00	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nassir Little	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	8	45%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	11	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.10	0.02	6	50%	-0.02	3	-0.15	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.4	33.5	15.4	23.4	2.5	47.2	147.1
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +37.8%

POR +20.9%

SAC -1.9%

SAC -6.8%

POR +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	POR	NBA	SAC	POR	NBA
this game	14.0	15.4	14.4	119.0	128.1	111.3
season	14.0	14.9		112.2	116.9
opponent	14.2	14.4		115.1	115.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.7	15.6	12.0	13.7	14.0
POR	14.7	15.0	18.0	14.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nemanja Bjelica	56	54	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.16	2	-6	8	13.9	14.0	-0.08	15.4	15.5	-0.15
Marvin Bagley III	63	62	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.06	-1	-3	2	14.8	12.5	2.28	16.0	14.4	1.59
DaQuan Jeffries	14	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.11	-4	0	-4	15.0	13.8	1.19	14.5	15.6	-1.04
Richaun Holmes	66	63	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.49	0	-4	4	13.1	15.7	-2.61	15.2	15.9	-0.67
Cory Joseph	61	58	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.34	-6	2	-8	14.8	12.7	2.07	15.7	15.0	0.68
Harrison Barnes	79	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.49	-1	-3	2	13.8	14.5	-0.69	15.4	15.7	-0.33
De'Aaron Fox	82	79	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.42	-5	1	-6	13.5	16.1	-2.53	15.3	16.2	-0.97
Buddy Hield	79	75	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.49	-5	1	-6	13.9	14.3	-0.45	15.4	15.5	-0.11

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Enes Kanter	71	74	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.49	8	-4	12	15.2	16.2	-1.09	13.1	16.4	-3.30
Damian Lillard	78	81	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.47	6	-2	8	15.3	15.9	-0.62	13.3	17.0	-3.73
Derrick Jones Jr.	56	59	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.50	3	1	2	15.4	15.5	-0.11	14.1	13.9	0.17
Robert Covington	73	79	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.41	6	-2	8	15.0	16.9	-1.94	14.4	12.5	1.84
Gary Trent Jr.	70	71	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.51	0	4	-4	15.5	15.4	0.07	13.5	15.0	-1.49
Rodney Hood	32	34	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.11	3	1	2	14.7	15.8	-1.03	14.4	13.8	0.65
Nassir Little	34	35	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.10	0	4	-4	16.1	15.1	1.05	14.7	13.6	1.04
Anfernee Simons	18	19	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.08	-2	6	-8	15.9	15.3	0.62	17.0	13.3	3.73
Carmelo Anthony	51	51	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.04	-9	13	-22	15.7	15.1	0.61	13.8	14.2	-0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.67,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.68,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 87, WAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.68,0.98,1	92.1%
NJN 84, CLE 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.37,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.23,0.22,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.55,0.78,0.91,1	91.6%
LAC 92, LAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.36,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.64,0.46,0.43,0.53,0.43,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.27,0.39,0.37,0.86,0.92,1	91.5%