NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	99		Excitement	9.7 [104]		MVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): +49.6%
Golden State Warriors	96		Comeback	6.2 [197]		LVP	Rudy Gobert (MIN): -27.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.50	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,0.04,0.5	-0.05	0.55	-0.00	16	44%	0.59	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Naz Reid	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.13	0.12	-0.01	17	68%	0.29	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	2	71%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan McLaughlin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.04	-0.00	2	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	14	43%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Jaden McDaniels	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	2	12%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.05
Mike Conley	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.01	-0.08	0.04	11	50%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Kyle Anderson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15	0.00	-0.16	-0.01	10	55%	-0.01	2	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Rudy Gobert	-0.27	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.26,-0.26,-0.27	-0.06	-0.21	0.01	3	56%	-0.01	4	-0.27	12	67%	-0.12

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.44,0.25	0.25	0.09	0.16	0.00	16	66%	0.47	3	-0.23	9	89%	0.08
Gary Payton II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.01	4	90%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jonathan Kuminga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Klay Thompson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.05	0.01	17	44%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	4	30%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.04
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.21	-0.21	-0.05	-0.15	0.01	9	60%	0.07	5	-0.28	2	50%	-0.02
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26	-0.26	-0.06	-0.19	0.01	23	43%	-0.16	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.4	2.5	26.5	14.6	30.5	2.8	42.0	149.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +50.5%

GSW -16.2%

MIN +19.8%

MIN +3.2%

GSW -7.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	GSW	NBA	MIN	GSW	NBA
this game	15.2	14.2	14.4	101.0	98.0	113.4
season	14.1	13.9		112.4	114.1
opponent	14.1	14.3		112.6	112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.8	14.4	13.4	16.2	15.2
GSW	12.7	15.0	16.0	13.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Edwards	70	69	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.20	12	-9	21	15.5	14.4	1.11	14.5	13.4	1.07
Jordan McLaughlin	32	32	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	-9	21	13.0	16.2	-3.20	14.9	13.9	1.00
Naz Reid	43	42	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.16	8	-5	13	15.0	15.3	-0.24	14.5	14.0	0.52
Karl-Anthony Towns	65	67	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.11	7	-4	11	14.6	16.4	-1.87	14.4	13.7	0.72
Kyle Anderson	65	66	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.58	-11	14	-25	15.9	13.7	2.20	13.3	16.0	-2.62
Taurean Prince	29	29	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.24	-1	4	-5	14.0	15.7	-1.68	14.2	14.2	0.05
Mike Conley	62	62	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.31	-4	7	-11	16.2	13.4	2.75	13.8	14.8	-0.99
Rudy Gobert	70	68	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.37	-7	10	-17	15.9	13.4	2.51	14.0	14.6	-0.57
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	33	32	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	-2	7	14.6	15.5	-0.92	15.3	13.7	1.60
Jaden McDaniels	21	23	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.01	-6	9	-15	14.6	15.4	-0.78	13.5	14.4	-0.89

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaMychal Green	9	8	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.10	8	-11	19	11.8	14.4	-2.67	16.4	15.1	1.30
Klay Thompson	69	70	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.38	13	-16	29	13.8	15.1	-1.33	16.1	13.0	3.11
Kevon Looney	59	61	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.24	4	-7	11	14.4	13.8	0.59	15.7	14.3	1.42
Donte DiVincenzo	45	45	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-2	1	13.3	15.0	-1.65	14.8	15.5	-0.63
Gary Payton II	31	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.05	-9	6	-15	14.7	14.0	0.74	16.1	14.8	1.29
Stephen Curry	75	74	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-5	7	14.6	13.0	1.63	14.7	16.7	-2.07
Jonathan Kuminga	31	30	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	5	-13	14.5	14.1	0.36	14.3	15.6	-1.32
Draymond Green	74	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.10	-8	5	-13	14.0	14.7	-0.72	15.2	15.2	-0.08
Anthony Lamb	34	35	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.25	-5	2	-7	15.0	13.8	1.22	15.0	15.3	-0.29
Jordan Poole	63	63	-0.81	0.31	-1.13	-0.49	-11	8	-19	14.3	13.9	0.41	14.5	16.4	-1.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.39,0.44,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.14,0.23,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.68,0.72,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 119, OKC 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.62,0.55,0.69,0.56,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.26,0.17,0.15,0.27,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.69,0	90.5%
BOS 100, MIA 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.2,0.27,0.38,0.55,0.43,0.58,0	89.4%
MIA 83, CHI 80	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.19,0.27,0.25,0.37,0.43,0.42,0	89.0%