inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 100 Excitement9.2 [98] MVPPaul Pierce (BOS): +49.3%
Miami Heat 98 Comeback1.8 [383] LVPKendrick Perkins (BOS): -22.2%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Pierce0.490,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.490.090.40-0.002359%0.603-0.11875%-0.04
Kevin Garnett0.100,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.030.070.001453%0.121-0.032100%0.01
Ray Allen0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.33,0.22,0.080.15-0.060.011664%0.0800.00771%-0.01
Glen Davis0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.02-0.001100%0.061-0.022100%0.02
Rasheed Wallace0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Tony Allen0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Michael Finley0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rajon Rondo-0.210,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.07-0.130.011647%-0.074-0.14475%-0.00
Kendrick Perkins-0.220,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.17-0.06-0.0140%-0.075-0.1600%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dorell Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.36,0.360.360.130.230.005100%0.391-0.025100%0.06
Michael Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.02-0.001164%0.132-0.06367%-0.00
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.020.002100%0.0600.0000%0.00
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.010.00856%0.062-0.062100%0.01
Carlos Arroyo0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.01-0.01425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.06-0.060.08-0.130.012662%0.155-0.213100%0.01
Quentin Richardson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.04-0.01642%-0.003-0.0900%0.00
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.10-0.030.00714%-0.091-0.0300%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14-0.14-0.03-0.110.00850%-0.072-0.07450%-0.09
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.23.735.219.830.03.639.3157.7
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +14.4%
BOS +0.8%
BOS +20.8%
BOS +10.0%
BOS +4.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSMIANBABOSMIANBA
this game15.415.915.3109.9105.4106.0
season15.516.2105.7104.4
opponent15.415.7102.8102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS14.812.718.316.115.4
MIA15.817.314.515.915.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rajon Rondo83850.60-0.100.710.378-61415.514.90.5815.915.40.57
Michael Finley880.59-0.090.670.2910-81812.615.7-3.0517.715.72.03
Glen Davis35360.370.130.23-0.0414-122615.415.40.0416.715.41.40
Rasheed Wallace19210.330.170.170.0111-92015.715.30.4217.415.51.92
Paul Pierce83860.290.210.090.47-68-1415.712.63.0515.520.3-4.75
Tony Allen26270.220.28-0.060.133-1416.714.91.8515.815.9-0.11
Ray Allen73740.180.32-0.140.38-79-1614.917.6-2.6815.916.0-0.14
Kevin Garnett68690.050.45-0.400.43-1315-2815.315.7-0.3915.317.5-2.11
Kendrick Perkins6059-0.130.63-0.760.16-1012-2215.415.4-0.0215.716.1-0.40

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwyane Wade8483-0.01-0.490.48-0.155-71215.321.3-6.0215.613.22.36
Carlos Arroyo3535-0.04-0.460.42-0.01-1-1017.914.73.2415.915.10.82
Jermaine O'Neal3536-0.12-0.380.270.00-42-617.415.02.4615.715.20.52
Michael Beasley5656-0.12-0.380.26-0.306-81415.716.2-0.5815.714.90.89
Joel Anthony2826-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.08-86-1413.916.8-2.8615.115.5-0.46
Quentin Richardson3132-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.28-42-615.816.0-0.1815.515.40.10
Udonis Haslem6764-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.512-4616.115.30.8115.116.2-1.16
Dorell Wright6359-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.480-2215.716.3-0.6015.415.5-0.10
Mario Chalmers6664-0.570.07-0.64-0.40-64-1015.816.1-0.3114.916.7-1.84


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.2,0.27,0.38,0.55,0.43,0.58,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 100, WAS 970.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.38,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.22,0.39,0.46,0.76,0.58,090.6%
ORL 107, MIA 1040.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.5,0.3,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.28,0.43,0.42,090.5%
MIA 83, CHI 800.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.19,0.27,0.25,0.37,0.43,0.42,090.4%