NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	140		Excitement	8.1 [315]		MVP	Taurean Prince (MIN): +56.6%
New York Knicks	134		Comeback	5.0 [174]		LVP	Mitchell Robinson (NYK): -10.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taurean Prince	0.57	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.54,0.57	0.36	0.25	0.04	13	117%	0.61	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Mike Conley	0.35	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.36,0.36,0.35	0.17	0.18	-0.01	11	77%	0.38	2	-0.03	9	100%	0.10
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.01	3	73%	0.15	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Naz Reid	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.00	9	67%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.13	-0.04	0.03	9	70%	0.06	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.09
Jaden McDaniels	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05	0.02	0.04	0.02	12	64%	0.20	4	-0.16	4	100%	0.02
Jaylen Nowell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	13	54%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	8	53%	0.03	3	-0.09	3	33%	-0.03
Jordan McLaughlin	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	5	25%	-0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.45	0.45	0.42	0.08	0.05	29	80%	0.59	4	-0.14	13	85%	0.01
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.09	-0.01	3	71%	0.14	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.01	7	71%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.04	0.03	18	57%	0.10	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	1	150%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	16	51%	0.05	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
RJ Barrett	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	8	62%	0.09	4	-0.12	5	60%	-0.01
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	30.4	14.7	28.8	2.5	34.5	139.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +32.4%

MIN +7.6%

MIN +3.1%

MIN +10.7%

NYK -3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NYK	NBA	MIN	NYK	NBA
this game	14.3	13.2	14.4	133.3	128.8	113.4
season	14.1	15.1		112.4	115.6
opponent	14.4	14.3		112.9	112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.4	12.4	14.5	15.3	14.3
NYK	14.0	12.0	14.3	12.8	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taurean Prince	70	70	1.08	-0.58	1.66	0.26	28	-22	50	14.0	15.0	-1.00	13.6	12.5	1.11
Jaden McDaniels	52	53	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.31	18	-12	30	14.7	13.9	0.84	14.1	12.3	1.80
Mike Conley	71	70	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.49	11	-5	16	14.3	14.4	-0.16	13.3	13.1	0.20
Rudy Gobert	78	78	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.27	12	-6	18	14.5	13.8	0.66	14.1	10.6	3.51
Kyle Anderson	75	72	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.29	11	-5	16	15.2	12.0	3.23	12.7	14.5	-1.76
Austin Rivers	8	8	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	9	-12	14.9	14.3	0.62	11.2	13.4	-2.17
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	43	43	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.16	-15	21	-36	13.6	14.8	-1.19	12.9	13.5	-0.55
Jordan McLaughlin	35	34	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.15	-5	11	-16	14.0	14.5	-0.46	13.1	13.3	-0.20
Naz Reid	44	43	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	0.02	-13	19	-32	13.8	14.7	-0.88	12.9	13.5	-0.62
Jaylen Nowell	49	49	-0.41	0.91	-1.31	0.00	-14	20	-34	13.9	14.6	-0.72	12.1	14.3	-2.17

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Grimes	18	19	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.01	6	-12	18	12.7	13.4	-0.71	15.4	14.1	1.36
Obi Toppin	27	27	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.10	0	-6	6	11.6	13.8	-2.29	13.7	14.5	-0.76
RJ Barrett	61	63	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.12	-2	-4	2	12.5	14.3	-1.79	14.3	14.2	0.11
Mitchell Robinson	59	59	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-6	6	14.1	12.1	2.01	14.2	14.5	-0.35
Immanuel Quickley	60	60	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.33	-1	-5	4	13.5	12.9	0.63	14.2	14.5	-0.32
Josh Hart	70	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	-3	0	12.9	14.0	-1.07	13.9	15.2	-1.30
Isaiah Hartenstein	45	46	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.33	-6	0	-6	12.1	14.1	-2.01	14.5	14.2	0.35
Julius Randle	77	78	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.43	-6	0	-6	13.8	11.6	2.29	14.5	13.7	0.76
Jalen Brunson	78	79	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.45	-8	2	-10	13.8	11.5	2.28	14.2	14.7	-0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.25,0.14,0.1,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.55,0.31,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 102, HOU 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.18,0.21,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.35,0.26,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.24,0.15,0	92.2%
POR 103, PHX 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.23,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.7,0.8,0.72,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.37,0.09,0,0	90.9%
ATL 112, UTA 110	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.35,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.24,0.04,0	90.8%