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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 102 Excitement8.6 [131] MVPVoshon Lenard (DEN): +23.0%
Houston Rockets 100 Comeback3.0 [194] LVPCuttino Mobley (HOU): -15.8%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Voshon Lenard0.230,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.23,0.230.110.140.021563%0.2300.0000%0.00
Nick Van Exel0.090,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.23,0.23,0.13,0.090.060.02-0.022160%0.263-0.161100%0.00
James Posey0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.050.010.050.01750%0.0500.002100%0.01
Raef LaFrentz0.030,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.03-0.001064%0.103-0.072100%0.01
George McCloud0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.02-0.01550%0.0300.002100%0.02
Robert Pack-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.00542%-0.0200.00250%-0.03
Keon Clark-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.05-0.060.00558%0.013-0.12250%-0.02
Antonio McDyess-0.140,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.13-0.010.011739%-0.121-0.031050%-0.07

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kenny Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.140.140.060.080.00867%0.1400.002100%0.01
Steve Francis0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.020.020.04-0.010.011965%0.145-0.122100%0.02
Maurice Taylor0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.010.011550%0.021-0.022100%0.01
Walt Williams0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.00-0.00542%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Shandon Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00480%0.054-0.08250%-0.01
Kelvin Cato0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.070.01-0.011030%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Matt Bullard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11-0.11-0.05-0.06-0.00721%-0.1100.0000%0.00
Moochie Norris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.08-0.05-0.00729%-0.082-0.0500%0.00
Cuttino Mobley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.16-0.160.00-0.150.011650%-0.1600.00875%0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.51.825.415.725.21.830.1122.4
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +76.8%
HOU -9.0%
HOU -12.9%
HOU -8.3%
DEN +3.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENHOUNBADENHOUNBA
this game13.717.615.5110.9108.7100.9
season15.216.3101.4104.6
opponent14.915.2102.1104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN12.913.613.015.713.7
HOU15.419.817.018.617.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Raef LaFrentz64640.68-0.180.850.6511014.013.00.9617.617.6-0.01
James Posey49480.64-0.140.770.379-71613.414.0-0.5916.718.5-1.77
Voshon Lenard71720.62-0.120.740.65-13-414.012.71.3518.016.21.72
Nick Van Exel82810.480.020.450.4220213.813.10.6817.320.0-2.73
Antonio McDyess82820.460.040.420.373-1413.812.81.0217.320.2-2.92
Robert Pack3131-0.100.60-0.70-0.193-1412.814.2-1.3617.617.6-0.03
George McCloud4344-0.140.64-0.770.07-79-1614.013.40.5918.516.71.77
Keon Clark3838-0.140.64-0.78-0.1402-213.014.2-1.2518.317.11.18

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shandon Anderson45450.17-0.670.840.054-61016.418.7-2.3413.014.4-1.34
Hakeem Olajuwon40400.07-0.570.640.012-4616.718.3-1.5913.413.9-0.45
Maurice Taylor55560.05-0.550.610.050-2216.319.5-3.2513.114.7-1.67
Kelvin Cato1212-0.07-0.430.37-0.070-2220.217.23.0513.913.70.24
Moochie Norris2727-0.19-0.310.12-0.10-31-419.017.01.9314.313.40.89
Cuttino Mobley7171-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.526-81418.215.72.4413.913.00.85
Steve Francis7776-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.32-1-1017.219.7-2.4713.514.7-1.26
Matt Bullard3736-0.550.05-0.61-0.49-20-219.516.33.2514.713.11.67
Kenny Thomas5252-0.570.07-0.64-0.45-42-618.316.71.5913.913.40.45
Walt Williams4445-0.710.21-0.93-0.36-1210-2217.118.1-1.0214.013.40.62


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.18,0.21,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.35,0.26,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.24,0.15,0
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 94, ORL 910.5,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.33,0.08,092.0%
LAL 104, SEA 1030.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.25,0.17,0.15,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.2,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.23,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.29,0.33,0.09,091.4%
SAC 92, DEN 900.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.24,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.67,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.33,0.46,0.23,0.26,091.1%