NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	111		Excitement	9.1 [163]		MVP	Maxi Kleber (DAL): +92.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	110		Comeback	48.3 [31]		LVP	D'Angelo Russell (LAL): -18.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maxi Kleber	0.92	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.92	0.09	0.83	-0.00	4	71%	0.92	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Kyrie Irving	0.42	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42	0.26	0.17	0.00	23	75%	0.53	2	-0.11	5	100%	0.04
Davis Bertans	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	150%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.02	5	90%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
McKinley Wright IV	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	2	62%	0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Jaden Hardy	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Theo Pinson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Green	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	9	47%	0.02	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15	-0.03	-0.11	0.01	12	44%	-0.09	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.03
Christian Wood	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17	-0.08	-0.11	-0.02	15	40%	-0.04	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.12	0.11	0.01	14	67%	0.29	2	-0.07	11	73%	0.01
Austin Reaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.10	0.03	8	64%	0.18	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.02
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.00	6	83%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	13	58%	0.17	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Troy Brown Jr.	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	9	53%	0.02	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Wenyen Gabriel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	8	41%	-0.04	1	-0.06	6	50%	-0.10
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.18,-0.19	-0.19	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	17	31%	-0.19	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.7	26.3	14.8	25.5	2.6	41.0	138.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +92.1%

DAL +7.5%

LAL -39.6%

LAL -9.5%

LAL -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAL	NBA	DAL	LAL	NBA
this game	15.7	15.4	14.4	119.4	119.6	113.4
season	15.2	14.1		115.5	113.1
opponent	14.2	14.3		112.1	115.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.3	14.7	15.5	15.4	15.7
LAL	14.6	16.7	15.2	15.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Pinson	1	1	0.87	-0.37	1.25	0.79	3	-2	5	6.0	15.8	-9.83	0.0	15.6	-15.58
Kyrie Irving	74	73	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.42	11	-10	21	15.3	17.3	-1.94	15.8	14.1	1.71
Maxi Kleber	56	54	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.82	-11	12	-23	16.2	14.9	1.29	14.5	16.7	-2.26
Reggie Bullock	51	50	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.45	0	1	-1	16.7	14.6	2.10	15.0	15.9	-0.82
Tim Hardaway Jr.	51	53	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.58	-6	7	-13	15.8	15.6	0.14	15.1	15.9	-0.84
Justin Holiday	30	32	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	-2	5	15.1	16.0	-0.87	16.1	15.0	1.09
Davis Bertans	15	15	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.19	8	-7	15	13.6	16.1	-2.53	18.9	14.7	4.13
Josh Green	51	50	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	1	-1	15.6	15.8	-0.21	14.7	16.3	-1.65
Jaden Hardy	11	12	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	3	-5	13.8	16.0	-2.16	14.8	15.5	-0.67
Dwight Powell	44	43	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.28	5	-4	9	16.8	14.8	2.00	16.3	14.6	1.76
Christian Wood	67	65	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.26	4	-3	7	15.0	17.5	-2.52	15.8	14.4	1.37
McKinley Wright IV	14	12	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.06	-10	11	-21	18.2	15.3	2.94	13.8	15.6	-1.82

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D'Angelo Russell	68	70	0.48	-0.98	1.47	0.31	6	-7	13	15.7	14.5	1.18	15.9	15.1	0.84
Rui Hachimura	32	34	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-3	5	14.7	15.8	-1.11	15.0	16.2	-1.18
Austin Reaves	64	63	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.53	10	-11	21	14.8	16.7	-1.87	15.4	16.4	-1.05
Dennis Schroder	58	59	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.44	6	-7	13	15.1	15.9	-0.74	15.1	16.8	-1.74
Wenyen Gabriel	46	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.43	5	-6	11	15.0	15.8	-0.87	15.0	16.5	-1.51
Malik Beasley	43	46	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	-8	7	-15	15.3	15.6	-0.30	15.8	15.7	0.12
Troy Brown Jr.	42	42	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.03	-13	12	-25	16.7	14.3	2.35	16.5	15.1	1.38
Anthony Davis	69	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.40	1	-2	3	15.8	14.1	1.71	16.3	14.1	2.15
Jarred Vanderbilt	38	36	-1.17	0.67	-1.83	-0.76	-14	13	-27	15.4	15.4	-0.08	16.6	15.2	1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.33,0.23,0.25,0.35,0.31,0.4,0.4,0.15,0.22,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.73,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.85,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 98, PHX 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.2,0.12,0.16,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.34,0.47,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.61,0.72,0.57,0.58,0	89.5%
MIL 91, MIA 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.3,0.4,0.42,0.22,0.18,0.24,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.78,0.76,0.63,0.68,0.42,0	88.8%
PHX 107, NYK 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.67,0.83,0.75,0.84,0.77,0.73,0	88.7%