NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	98		Excitement	9.7 [72]		MVP	Chris Wilcox (LAC): +67.3%
Phoenix Suns	96		Comeback	4.0 [189]		LVP	Quentin Richardson (LAC): -44.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Wilcox	0.67	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.67	0.10	0.57	0.00	15	73%	0.78	2	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	0.00	4	80%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.03	0.00	20	60%	0.12	1	-0.08	10	60%	-0.03
Chris Kaman	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Simmons	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.23,-0.23,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	11	45%	0.15	3	-0.21	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	-0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.10	-0.15	-0.01	10	19%	-0.24	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.06
Quentin Richardson	-0.44	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.2,-0.2,-0.44	-0.20	-0.25	-0.01	15	33%	-0.26	7	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.04,0.06,0,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,0,0.29	0.29	-0.02	0.31	-0.00	25	46%	0.44	2	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.06,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.07	-0.00	26	50%	0.11	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.03
Donnell Harvey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	4	78%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maciej Lampe	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.01	12	63%	0.04	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.02
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	8	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.31	-0.31	-0.08	-0.23	-0.00	11	37%	-0.25	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	27.5	14.7	26.1	2.4	29.6	124.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +31.5%

PHX -4.5%

LAC +51.0%

PHX -36.7%

LAC +8.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHX	NBA	LAC	PHX	NBA
this game	16.2	14.4	15.7	104.3	102.1	100.5
season	15.5	14.6		101.3	99.6
opponent	15.9	15.4		103.6	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.1	15.7	16.5	16.5	16.2
PHX	13.9	13.1	17.8	13.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	75	76	0.93	-0.43	1.37	0.55	13	-11	24	16.0	17.1	-1.08	14.6	13.9	0.69
Quentin Richardson	88	89	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.54	7	-5	12	16.1	16.8	-0.69	14.6	12.0	2.58
Chris Wilcox	50	50	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.34	7	-5	12	16.2	16.2	0.06	13.1	16.0	-2.92
Doug Overton	49	49	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.52	-2	4	-6	16.3	16.1	0.24	15.2	13.7	1.50
Bobby Simmons	74	76	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.44	-6	8	-14	16.3	15.7	0.62	14.4	14.7	-0.27
Keyon Dooling	45	45	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.08	4	-2	6	16.1	16.3	-0.24	13.7	15.2	-1.50
Chris Kaman	46	46	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	5	-8	16.2	16.2	-0.08	16.1	12.9	3.21
Matt Barnes	26	23	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	-1	4	16.0	16.3	-0.32	14.1	14.6	-0.48
Predrag Drobnjak	17	16	-0.49	0.99	-1.47	-0.10	-13	15	-28	17.2	16.0	1.20	13.4	14.7	-1.29

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Casey Jacobsen	46	47	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.04	6	-8	14	14.0	14.9	-0.87	16.3	16.1	0.17
Donnell Harvey	20	24	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.01	1	-3	4	13.7	14.6	-0.95	16.8	16.0	0.86
Zarko Cabarkapa	7	7	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-2	2	15.0	14.4	0.60	17.4	16.1	1.34
Maciej Lampe	4	5	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	4	-10	16.0	14.4	1.62	15.6	16.2	-0.62
Antonio McDyess	66	64	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.30	2	-4	6	14.5	14.4	0.13	16.2	16.1	0.18
Joe Johnson	89	88	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.45	0	-2	2	14.5	13.8	0.68	16.2	16.0	0.20
Shawn Marion	87	87	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.45	-2	0	-2	14.4	15.0	-0.60	16.1	17.4	-1.34
Amar'e Stoudemire	86	83	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.54	-1	-1	0	14.6	13.1	1.44	16.0	17.8	-1.84
Leandro Barbosa	65	65	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.48	-10	8	-18	14.6	14.0	0.65	16.1	16.3	-0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.2,0.12,0.16,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.34,0.47,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.61,0.72,0.57,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 91, MIA 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.3,0.4,0.42,0.22,0.18,0.24,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.78,0.76,0.63,0.68,0.42,0	91.2%
CLE 79, MIL 78	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.16,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.25,0.37,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.67,0.84,0	90.6%
POR 90, UTA 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.33,0.25,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.23,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.33,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.67,0.27,0	90.0%