NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	113		Excitement	8.2 [309]		MVP	Chris Paul (PHX): +21.4%
Phoenix Suns	116		Comeback	1.8 [999]		LVP	Paolo Banchero (ORL): -13.3%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Markelle Fultz	0.14	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14	0.12	0.03	0.01	17	68%	0.23	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.04
Wendell Carter Jr.	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.07	0.01	11	73%	0.23	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Cole Anthony	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	0.01	9	74%	0.14	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.04
Bol Bol	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	3	60%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Moritz Wagner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Franz Wagner	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	15	52%	0.16	3	-0.17	1	100%	0.01
Jalen Suggs	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	4	36%	-0.02	1	-0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Goga Bitadze	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Paolo Banchero	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.09,-0.13	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	15	53%	0.09	5	-0.22	4	75%	0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.05	0.16	-0.00	11	67%	0.26	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.01	0.00	12	72%	0.18	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.05	-0.02	5	58%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.1	0.10	-0.02	0.11	-0.01	14	45%	0.16	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.04
Torrey Craig	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	6	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	0.00	12	57%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Damion Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	3	83%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	17	51%	0.13	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Ish Wainright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jock Landale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.07	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	1.5	29.2	16.8	23.6	2.4	37.3	138.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +22.5%

PHX +8.2%

ORL -16.1%

PHX +35.4%

ORL -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHX	NBA	ORL	PHX	NBA
this game	13.1	14.6	14.4	108.7	111.5	113.4
season	14.3	14.5		111.0	114.2
opponent	14.5	14.5		112.4	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	11.0	16.2	14.6	10.9	13.1
PHX	14.8	12.6	14.2	16.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goga Bitadze	17	17	0.30	-0.80	1.11	0.04	9	-12	21	12.3	13.2	-0.95	17.5	14.0	3.49
Bol Bol	32	33	0.27	-0.77	1.03	0.03	8	-11	19	13.2	13.1	0.10	14.7	14.6	0.13
Cole Anthony	57	56	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.04	-1	-2	1	14.4	11.5	2.84	14.1	15.2	-1.04
Moritz Wagner	16	17	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-2	1	13.3	13.0	0.27	12.1	15.1	-2.97
Jalen Suggs	46	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.10	-10	7	-17	14.1	12.3	1.87	13.9	15.2	-1.24
Franz Wagner	79	79	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-5	7	12.4	15.1	-2.68	14.9	13.6	1.27
Gary Harris	58	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.52	5	-8	13	12.3	14.1	-1.87	15.2	13.9	1.24
Markelle Fultz	72	73	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.48	-7	4	-11	12.8	13.8	-1.00	14.6	14.5	0.13
Wendell Carter Jr.	71	70	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.42	-9	6	-15	13.2	12.8	0.44	14.5	14.8	-0.32
Paolo Banchero	72	71	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.44	-11	8	-19	13.1	13.2	-0.10	14.6	14.7	-0.13

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Booker	80	79	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.39	6	-3	9	14.8	13.8	1.06	12.3	15.5	-3.20
Josh Okogie	64	66	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.45	2	1	1	15.2	13.7	1.47	12.8	13.6	-0.82
Torrey Craig	55	57	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.44	1	2	-1	15.2	14.0	1.22	11.9	14.5	-2.52
Deandre Ayton	74	75	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.37	1	2	-1	15.3	12.9	2.44	12.7	14.1	-1.41
Chris Paul	68	68	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.34	-1	4	-5	15.3	13.3	2.03	12.2	14.7	-2.50
Terrence Ross	36	35	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	-3	9	12.6	15.6	-3.01	14.1	12.6	1.46
Damion Lee	21	22	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.03	1	2	-1	12.7	15.1	-2.37	15.1	12.5	2.54
Jock Landale	29	28	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	1	1	13.3	15.1	-1.80	13.8	12.8	1.01
Ish Wainright	49	47	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	3	-3	13.9	15.2	-1.30	14.8	11.7	3.14
Cameron Payne	44	43	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.02	-3	6	-9	14.5	14.7	-0.22	14.3	12.2	2.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.48,0.54,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.84,0.78,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 94, CHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.92,1	93.2%
LAL 104, ORL 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.78,0.84,1	92.7%
NYK 98, WAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.81,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.72,0.85,0.84,0.69,0.74,1	92.4%