NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	114		Excitement	7.7 [402]		MVP	Gordon Hayward (CHA): +28.4%
Charlotte Hornets	108		Comeback	17.8 [241]		LVP	Terry Rozier (CHA): -20.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0.22	0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.22	0.05	0.20	0.04	19	56%	0.27	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.00
Evan Mobley	0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.03	0.16	-0.01	13	49%	0.20	0	0.00	11	55%	-0.08
Lamar Stevens	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.01	-0.02	6	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	0.01	7	65%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Caris LeVert	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.01	12	54%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Isaac Okoro	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.00	20	53%	0.07	4	-0.11	13	77%	0.02

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.08	0.18	-0.03	10	64%	0.30	1	-0.01	5	60%	0.00
Nick Richards	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	6	83%	0.22	2	-0.08	6	83%	-0.03
JT Thor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.04	-0.00	18	53%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kai Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	1	75%	0.05	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	8	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryce McGowens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	14	44%	-0.06	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.03,-0.1,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2	-0.20	-0.01	-0.19	-0.00	19	63%	0.15	8	-0.35	5	60%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	0.7	29.5	14.5	24.3	2.5	35.3	133.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +6.4%

CLE +1.9%

CLE +2.8%

CLE +37.9%

CLE +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHA	NBA	CLE	CHA	NBA
this game	14.3	14.2	14.4	115.2	104.9	113.4
season	15.1	14.0		114.0	107.8
opponent	14.3	14.7		114.4	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.0	12.7	14.4	15.2	14.3
CHA	12.3	13.0	16.2	16.1	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Mobley	77	81	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.31	15	-9	24	14.5	13.5	1.06	15.2	10.5	4.69
Darius Garland	79	83	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.07	22	-16	38	13.7	16.6	-2.90	15.0	10.9	4.07
Caris LeVert	72	74	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.36	8	-2	10	14.0	15.0	-0.99	13.8	15.3	-1.50
Ricky Rubio	38	41	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.07	17	-11	28	14.7	14.0	0.69	15.0	13.7	1.31
Lamar Stevens	60	62	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.01	7	-1	8	14.9	13.3	1.57	15.0	13.1	1.93
Donovan Mitchell	69	71	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.50	-13	19	-32	14.8	13.1	1.70	13.7	15.4	-1.75
Isaac Okoro	60	63	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.42	-12	18	-30	13.8	15.0	-1.18	14.0	14.6	-0.60
Cedi Osman	18	18	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.01	-5	11	-16	14.6	14.2	0.33	10.8	15.0	-4.12
Robin Lopez	22	22	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	0.02	-9	15	-24	13.5	14.5	-1.06	10.5	15.2	-4.69

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JT Thor	41	42	0.27	-0.77	1.03	-0.03	10	-16	26	13.4	14.8	-1.40	14.6	14.1	0.50
Nick Richards	70	69	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.44	16	-22	38	13.6	15.7	-2.11	14.6	13.6	0.93
Gordon Hayward	71	70	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.46	13	-19	32	13.7	15.5	-1.84	14.6	13.6	0.94
Terry Rozier	83	82	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.36	6	-12	18	13.7	16.2	-2.50	14.5	13.4	1.12
Bryce McGowens	30	28	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.13	-13	7	-20	16.2	13.4	2.73	13.8	14.5	-0.64
Dennis Smith Jr.	83	77	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.41	1	-7	8	13.8	16.0	-2.25	14.3	14.3	-0.05
Kai Jones	26	24	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.13	-22	16	-38	16.6	13.4	3.14	12.9	14.7	-1.80
Svi Mykhailiuk	42	40	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	0.11	-25	19	-44	15.6	13.3	2.38	13.7	14.6	-0.89
P.J. Washington	69	63	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.31	-16	10	-26	14.5	13.6	0.92	14.3	14.2	0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.49,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.33,0.1,0.21,0.15,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 95, BKN 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.86,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.28,0.25,0.16,0.06,0.1,0	91.7%
DET 99, BOS 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.92,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.74,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.47,0.22,0.15,0.46,0.22,0.27,0	91.5%
SAS 101, NJN 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.75,0.76,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.15,0.28,0.23,0.27,0	91.1%