NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	104		Excitement	7.7 [395]		MVP	Jimmy Butler (MIA): +15.7%
Miami Heat	100		Comeback	1.8 [744]		LVP	Victor Oladipo (MIA): -35.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Garland	0.15	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.09	0.03	16	66%	0.26	3	-0.12	6	100%	0.03
Isaac Okoro	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14	0.11	0.04	0.01	7	93%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Mobley	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.07	-0.01	9	62%	0.19	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Jarrett Allen	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	10	68%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Caris LeVert	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	6	58%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Stevens	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.06	0.00	7	37%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.05
Donovan Mitchell	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	18	46%	0.05	3	-0.12	3	100%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	7	36%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.05	0.02	14	65%	0.20	2	-0.05	15	80%	0.02
Tyler Herro	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	15	63%	0.18	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	11	71%	0.13	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Max Strus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	8	47%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Caleb Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.08	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	1	75%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Gabe Vincent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.02	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.28,-0.36,-0.36	-0.36	-0.12	-0.24	0.00	10	41%	-0.19	5	-0.17	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	0.2	27.9	14.8	33.9	2.0	36.9	144.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +45.4%

MIA -4.4%

MIA -3.9%

CLE +10.9%

CLE +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIA	NBA	CLE	MIA	NBA
this game	15.6	15.0	14.4	110.6	106.4	113.4
season	15.1	15.1		114.0	111.9
opponent	14.6	14.7		112.1	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.4	14.5	13.1	20.0	15.6
MIA	14.0	14.9	16.9	14.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaac Okoro	57	58	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.32	7	-3	10	14.5	17.2	-2.72	15.6	14.1	1.51
Jarrett Allen	62	63	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.30	7	-3	10	16.5	13.9	2.61	14.9	15.4	-0.56
Donovan Mitchell	64	67	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.27	8	-4	12	15.2	16.3	-1.08	15.2	14.7	0.48
Darius Garland	77	74	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.34	4	0	4	15.6	15.6	-0.06	15.9	12.0	3.80
Evan Mobley	66	65	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.33	-1	5	-6	14.2	18.9	-4.70	15.1	15.0	0.06
Caris LeVert	47	49	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.10	3	1	2	16.1	15.1	1.06	14.0	16.2	-2.22
Ricky Rubio	43	43	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.11	2	2	0	17.4	14.0	3.40	14.3	15.6	-1.28
Lamar Stevens	54	51	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.15	-10	14	-24	15.9	15.2	0.73	14.8	15.3	-0.44

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cody Zeller	41	39	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.06	-3	-1	-2	14.3	15.6	-1.29	14.3	16.5	-2.29
Max Strus	40	42	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.14	2	-6	8	15.1	15.0	0.14	15.5	15.7	-0.26
Kevin Love	41	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-2	0	15.4	14.8	0.62	15.1	15.9	-0.82
Victor Oladipo	60	59	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-6	8	14.4	16.2	-1.87	16.9	13.4	3.45
Gabe Vincent	38	36	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	2	-8	15.1	15.0	0.11	14.8	16.1	-1.28
Jimmy Butler	70	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	0	-4	15.2	14.7	0.50	14.9	17.5	-2.62
Caleb Martin	58	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.32	-3	-1	-2	14.7	15.5	-0.79	16.0	14.9	1.04
Bam Adebayo	53	55	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.45	-1	-3	2	15.6	14.3	1.29	16.5	14.3	2.29
Tyler Herro	69	71	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.42	-5	1	-6	15.5	13.9	1.58	15.6	15.5	0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.27,0.37,0.3,0.22,0.3,0.19,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.14,0.21,0.35,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 92, MIL 89	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.31,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.16,0.09,0.17,0.16,0.24,0.16,0	92.8%
POR 86, TOR 80	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.16,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.33,0.08,0	92.5%
SAC 99, MEM 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.37,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.25,0.37,0.44,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.36,0.23,0.26,0	92.3%