NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	124		Excitement	7.9 [356]		MVP	Tyrese Haliburton (IND): +33.6%
Dallas Mavericks	122		Comeback	1.9 [233]		LVP	Kyrie Irving (DAL): -30.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Haliburton	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.34	0.18	0.16	-0.00	18	63%	0.34	0	0.00	15	80%	0.00
Jordan Nwora	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.14	0.06	-0.00	10	76%	0.20	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Myles Turner	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.17	0.04	0.02	13	80%	0.23	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Buddy Hield	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	2	77%	0.12	1	-0.03	9	78%	-0.00
Jalen Smith	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	79%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Nesmith	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.05	-0.00	7	82%	0.15	2	-0.11	3	67%	-0.00
T.J. McConnell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duarte	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	7	33%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Andrew Nembhard	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	6	21%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.09

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luka Doncic	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22	0.22	0.18	0.07	0.03	25	63%	0.27	2	-0.05	12	67%	-0.01
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.27,0.27,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.06	-0.00	9	78%	0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.14	0.14	0.17	-0.03	-0.00	6	100%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Josh Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	5	62%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Wood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	13	43%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.07	0.01	6	64%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	3	0%	-0.08	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.31	-0.31	-0.03	-0.26	0.02	18	41%	-0.31	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	2.5	32.3	6.7	32.2	2.4	31.4	136.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +50.4%

IND +19.3%

DAL -13.8%

DAL -9.8%

IND +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DAL	NBA	IND	DAL	NBA
this game	14.6	14.4	14.4	126.5	120.8	113.4
season	13.7	15.2		113.3	115.5
opponent	14.3	14.4		115.8	116.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.9	13.3	14.4	17.1	14.6
DAL	14.3	14.4	13.9	15.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Nwora	59	62	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.35	2	0	2	14.4	14.7	-0.30	14.3	14.5	-0.25
T.J. McConnell	35	37	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.18	7	-5	12	14.4	14.6	-0.21	14.2	14.5	-0.23
Bennedict Mathurin	54	54	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.09	9	-7	16	15.4	13.6	1.80	14.2	14.6	-0.39
Jalen Smith	34	36	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.04	10	-8	18	13.1	15.3	-2.21	14.0	14.6	-0.64
Andrew Nembhard	63	66	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.42	-5	7	-12	15.2	13.3	1.90	14.2	14.7	-0.41
Aaron Nesmith	38	41	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.32	-2	4	-6	15.0	14.3	0.76	14.2	14.5	-0.32
Tyrese Haliburton	71	73	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.27	-1	3	-4	14.5	14.7	-0.15	14.1	15.2	-1.20
Myles Turner	64	65	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.40	-8	10	-18	15.3	13.1	2.21	14.6	14.0	0.64
Buddy Hield	58	58	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.16	-4	6	-10	13.3	16.3	-3.02	15.1	13.4	1.77
Chris Duarte	14	13	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.03	2	0	2	13.3	14.8	-1.49	15.8	14.2	1.68

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Powell	26	24	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	1	-4	13.8	14.6	-0.78	14.3	14.6	-0.30
Markieff Morris	9	9	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	3	-8	17.2	14.1	3.11	12.0	14.8	-2.82
Justin Holiday	35	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.17	1	-3	4	12.9	15.2	-2.34	13.8	14.9	-1.12
Maxi Kleber	48	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.42	9	-11	20	14.2	14.5	-0.26	16.1	13.2	2.96
Reggie Bullock	69	68	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.31	4	-6	10	15.0	13.1	1.89	14.9	13.8	1.15
Kyrie Irving	73	72	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.46	8	-10	18	14.4	14.3	0.14	15.4	12.3	3.07
Tim Hardaway Jr.	75	74	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.36	4	-6	10	14.9	13.0	1.87	14.6	14.5	0.03
Josh Green	50	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.00	-10	8	-18	14.2	14.5	-0.29	13.3	15.9	-2.59
Luka Doncic	79	75	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.42	-2	0	-2	14.4	14.2	0.26	14.6	14.3	0.28
Christian Wood	41	40	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.13	-16	14	-30	13.7	14.8	-1.14	13.5	15.3	-1.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.19,0.28,0.31,0.39,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.38,0.48,0.37,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.16,0.19,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.33,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 98, NYK 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.22,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.16,0,0	91.3%
PHI 85, GSW 78	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.33,0.42,0.34,0.18,0.08,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.16,0.31,0.08,0	91.0%
HOU 106, BKN 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.41,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.22,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.01,0	90.9%