NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	111		Excitement	8.7 [215]		MVP	Anthony Davis (LAL): +29.2%
Dallas Mavericks	108		Comeback	35.2 [22]		LVP	Reggie Bullock (DAL): -8.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.29	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.29	0.13	0.21	0.05	20	61%	0.30	1	-0.01	9	67%	-0.03
Austin Reaves	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.01	0.09	-0.01	6	60%	0.18	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
LeBron James	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.11	0.03	23	49%	0.16	3	-0.09	7	71%	-0.01
Jarred Vanderbilt	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.11	-0.04	0.03	8	83%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Schroder	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	12	53%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Mo Bamba	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rui Hachimura	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonnie Walker IV	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Brown Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	6	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	14	28%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.09	-0.00	5	60%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	6	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Wood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	13	54%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	22	54%	0.19	6	-0.14	4	50%	-0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.05,-0.05,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.06	-0.02	22	45%	0.06	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.10
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	0.03	3	60%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.08	-0.04	0.07	13	59%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.07	-0.02	7	43%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	3.2	30.9	15.8	31.5	3.4	38.0	149.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +16.3%

DAL -1.3%

LAL +32.2%

LAL +3.5%

DAL -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DAL	NBA	LAL	DAL	NBA
this game	13.5	14.6	14.4	106.7	106.9	113.4
season	14.1	15.2		113.1	115.5
opponent	14.3	14.2		115.8	112.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.1	13.0	11.6	14.5	13.5
DAL	13.1	12.3	16.7	16.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Davis	81	79	0.87	-0.37	1.25	0.41	16	-13	29	12.7	16.2	-3.43	14.7	14.3	0.38
Dennis Schroder	77	74	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.23	17	-14	31	13.0	15.0	-2.03	14.8	14.1	0.69
Jarred Vanderbilt	60	57	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.26	15	-12	27	12.7	14.5	-1.77	15.0	14.1	0.85
Austin Reaves	57	55	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.64	-10	13	-23	13.9	13.0	0.83	14.7	14.5	0.21
LeBron James	80	78	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.33	0	3	-3	13.9	12.2	1.63	14.4	15.3	-0.89
Malik Beasley	74	73	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.16	14	-11	25	13.0	14.8	-1.87	15.1	13.3	1.84
Troy Brown Jr.	42	40	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	1	1	13.0	13.8	-0.76	15.6	14.0	1.59
Mo Bamba	12	12	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.09	-10	13	-23	18.6	12.8	5.75	11.2	15.1	-3.91
Lonnie Walker IV	14	14	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.12	-12	15	-27	16.4	13.0	3.38	11.4	15.1	-3.78
Rui Hachimura	23	23	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.20	-17	20	-37	15.8	12.9	2.93	13.8	14.9	-1.08

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Frank Ntilikina	25	25	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.13	9	-12	21	14.8	14.6	0.25	13.0	13.7	-0.71
Markieff Morris	21	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.09	3	-6	9	14.4	14.7	-0.23	12.2	13.8	-1.58
Tim Hardaway Jr.	51	53	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.33	8	-11	19	14.7	14.5	0.27	13.2	13.9	-0.71
Christian Wood	43	44	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.44	6	-9	15	14.0	15.1	-1.11	13.8	13.3	0.55
Josh Green	31	34	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	0	-3	16.0	14.0	2.00	12.5	14.0	-1.44
Justin Holiday	60	60	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	2	-7	14.3	15.0	-0.69	14.3	12.4	1.85
Reggie Bullock	63	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.20	-5	2	-7	14.1	15.4	-1.34	14.0	12.8	1.18
Dwight Powell	55	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.00	-14	11	-25	15.1	14.0	1.13	13.6	13.4	0.19
Luka Doncic	77	80	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.21	-8	5	-13	14.5	15.0	-0.45	13.1	14.9	-1.79
Kyrie Irving	79	81	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.37	-6	3	-9	14.7	14.4	0.32	13.9	12.2	1.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.79,0.74,0.77,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.62,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.4,0.62,0.63,0.45,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 111, NYK 107	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.2,0.46,0.68,0.46,0.45,0.16,0	92.0%
DEN 113, IND 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.65,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.75,0.62,0.58,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.69,0.63,0.33,0.1,0	91.4%
IND 81, NOH 75	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.41,0.41,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.32,0.16,0	91.1%