inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 100 Excitement8.3 [287] MVPBam Adebayo (MIA): +23.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers 97 Comeback2.7 [344] LVPVictor Oladipo (MIA): -17.9%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bam Adebayo0.230,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.23,0.230.060.17-0.001356%0.2300.00667%-0.04
Caleb Martin0.220,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.180.050.018112%0.241-0.0100%0.00
Tyler Herro0.160,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.020.13-0.011555%0.253-0.093100%0.02
Gabe Vincent0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.070.040.03-0.00856%0.0700.0000%0.00
Kyle Lowry0.070,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07-0.030.03-0.07560%0.073-0.0100%0.00
Orlando Robinson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.02433%-0.0100.001100%0.00
Max Strus-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.030.0010%-0.021-0.0400%0.00
Jimmy Butler-0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.16,-0.1,-0.120.01-0.120.011649%-0.062-0.071567%-0.02
Victor Oladipo-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.10-0.09-0.01831%-0.063-0.1200%0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Evan Mobley0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.140.140.080.04-0.021559%0.1400.00250%-0.02
Jarrett Allen0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.010.01874%0.132-0.07367%-0.00
Caris LeVert0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.01-0.001252%0.071-0.03367%-0.01
Dean Wade0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.01-0.01642%0.041-0.0500%0.00
Ricky Rubio0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.030.00657%0.031-0.0420%-0.06
Cedi Osman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.000.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Isaac Okoro0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.010.01462%0.103-0.1600%0.00
Darius Garland0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1-0.100.02-0.120.011362%0.103-0.2000%0.00
Donovan Mitchell0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.12-0.12-0.03-0.09-0.001744%-0.082-0.04250%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.02.427.414.525.20.235.4130.1
league avg25.82.328.215.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +3.9%
MIA +18.9%
MIA +7.0%
MIA +17.5%
MIA +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIACLENBAMIACLENBA
this game14.915.714.4105.3104.3113.4
season15.115.1111.9114.0
opponent14.714.6109.0112.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA16.012.215.916.014.9
CLE15.317.314.715.315.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gabe Vincent43440.80-0.301.100.4811-81912.916.6-3.6915.815.60.14
Tyler Herro71690.66-0.160.820.486-3916.211.25.0615.715.7-0.07
Jimmy Butler65650.51-0.010.510.5103-316.411.84.6515.715.7-0.02
Bam Adebayo75740.370.130.240.54-69-1515.114.20.8815.416.7-1.30
Caleb Martin70700.360.140.230.57-710-1714.915.2-0.3415.316.9-1.61
Orlando Robinson20190.170.33-0.17-0.109-61514.215.1-0.8816.715.41.30
Kyle Lowry4644-0.080.58-0.660.07-58-1316.613.43.1415.216.2-0.98
Max Strus3029-0.100.60-0.71-0.1930311.316.6-5.3316.115.50.59
Victor Oladipo5551-0.180.68-0.86-0.304-1513.916.4-2.5116.414.81.62

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ricky Rubio35350.40-0.901.300.226-91516.115.50.6213.116.0-2.99
Dean Wade40430.18-0.680.860.180-3316.115.40.7514.015.8-1.82
Evan Mobley75770.16-0.660.82-0.3116-193514.720.1-5.4015.413.12.33
Cedi Osman1616-0.08-0.420.340.07-52-717.015.41.5711.115.7-4.67
Darius Garland5962-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.546-91515.516.0-0.5215.613.71.92
Isaac Okoro5149-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.38-41-515.516.0-0.5115.814.01.75
Donovan Mitchell7072-0.600.10-0.70-0.662-5715.316.9-1.5615.812.13.72
Caris LeVert5758-0.720.22-0.93-0.16-1916-3516.414.61.8213.317.6-4.29
Jarrett Allen6263-0.980.48-1.47-0.49-1714-3116.314.51.7716.312.24.07


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.46,0.45,0.57,0.67,0.61,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.28,0.21,0.26,0.36,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.54,0.4,0.25,0.55,0.41,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 74, ORL 690.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.58,0.66,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.45,0.55,0.34,0.04,090.3%
CLE 107, MIN 1030.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.47,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.31,0.69,0.55,0.26,089.8%
GSW 94, SEA 880.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.42,0.57,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.59,0.53,0.39,0.47,0.54,0.43,0.29,089.7%