NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	106		Excitement	8.2 [301]		MVP	Mikal Bridges (PHX): +22.4%
Phoenix Suns	114		Comeback	2.9 [519]		LVP	Cameron Johnson (PHX): -14.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malachi Flynn	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	5	60%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.04	-0.01	19	52%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Boucher	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Precious Achiuwa	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	9	55%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Fred VanVleet	0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.08,0.08,-0.03,0,0	0.04	-0.03	0.01	19	56%	0.15	3	-0.15	5	80%	0.00
Christian Koloko	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juancho Hernangomez	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.04	17	50%	0.05	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Scottie Barnes	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	14	50%	0.12	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.31,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.19	0.05	0.01	19	72%	0.27	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.08	0.00	6	69%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.00	17	58%	0.16	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.09	0.03	11	70%	0.22	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.01
Damion Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	9	55%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Ish Wainright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	4	87%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Saben Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jock Landale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Johnson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	9	20%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.8	26.5	14.6	25.1	1.7	32.3	126.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +36.6%

TOR -7.6%

PHX +6.7%

PHX +11.3%

PHX +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHX	NBA	TOR	PHX	NBA
this game	15.3	15.0	14.4	111.6	120.0	113.4
season	14.7	14.5		114.0	114.2
opponent	14.5	14.5		112.4	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	12.9	17.9	14.2	17.2	15.3
PHX	14.3	16.4	14.6	14.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	26	25	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-8	8	15.2	15.4	-0.27	17.4	14.1	3.30
Christian Koloko	4	5	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-5	2	18.5	15.2	3.29	13.8	15.0	-1.23
Malachi Flynn	13	14	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-3	-2	17.2	15.1	2.09	16.1	14.8	1.29
Pascal Siakam	76	78	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.23	1	-9	10	15.1	16.3	-1.21	14.9	15.2	-0.33
Chris Boucher	47	45	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	-1	-6	15.7	15.0	0.79	16.2	13.9	2.30
Juancho Hernangomez	13	13	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	0	-8	17.4	15.0	2.36	18.1	14.5	3.60
Gary Trent Jr.	77	77	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-4	0	14.7	18.0	-3.27	14.0	19.1	-5.11
Fred VanVleet	78	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.34	0	-8	8	15.2	16.1	-0.87	14.7	16.4	-1.76
Scottie Barnes	71	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.18	-8	0	-8	15.3	15.5	-0.20	15.0	15.0	-0.04
Precious Achiuwa	70	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.26	-6	-2	-4	15.4	15.1	0.31	14.1	17.4	-3.30

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Torrey Craig	56	55	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.26	4	4	0	13.9	16.5	-2.62	14.3	16.8	-2.51
Mikal Bridges	80	79	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	4	0	14.3	18.5	-4.23	14.9	17.5	-2.59
Cameron Johnson	53	52	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.17	6	2	4	14.3	15.9	-1.59	15.1	15.6	-0.51
Deandre Ayton	62	60	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.31	1	7	-6	15.1	14.7	0.42	15.8	14.5	1.32
Chris Paul	71	70	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.25	3	5	-2	14.9	15.2	-0.38	14.7	17.2	-2.57
Damion Lee	35	36	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.10	10	-2	12	15.5	14.7	0.77	15.7	15.2	0.51
Ish Wainright	37	38	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.06	3	5	-2	16.2	14.2	1.96	15.6	15.2	0.39
Jock Landale	15	17	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.01	4	4	0	16.6	14.7	1.94	16.6	15.1	1.58
Dario Saric	26	28	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.10	0	8	-8	15.2	14.9	0.31	17.2	14.6	2.65
Saben Lee	15	15	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	6	-4	15.8	14.8	0.99	17.9	14.9	3.07
Josh Okogie	11	11	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.01	2	6	-4	17.1	14.7	2.40	15.8	15.3	0.53
Bismack Biyombo	14	14	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.00	1	7	-6	16.5	14.7	1.80	14.2	15.5	-1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.66,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.65,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.47,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.54,0.78,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 80, HOU 84	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.35,0.24,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.62,0.63,0.85,0.97,1	91.1%
CHA 103, PHI 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.51,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.62,0.53,0.71,0.54,0.47,0.59,0.67,0.62,0.55,0.78,0.96,1	90.9%
CHA 95, MEM 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.64,0.55,0.96,1	90.9%