NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	80		Excitement	6.8 [440]		MVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): +25.7%
Houston Rockets	84		Comeback	3.1 [426]		LVP	Elden Campbell (CHH): -23.3%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Robinson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	0.01	0.02	0.03	17	59%	0.13	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.04	-0.02	10	60%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tim James	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	0.01	15	47%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	9	30%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Mashburn	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13	-0.03	-0.09	0.01	16	50%	-0.05	2	-0.07	4	25%	-0.05
Elden Campbell	-0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.14	-0.09	0.00	13	27%	-0.19	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.10	0.16	-0.00	16	66%	0.30	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.03
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.11	0.01	14	57%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	57%	0.06	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.04
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	3	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	4	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	0.00	17	37%	-0.05	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	23.4	15.8	25.1	1.7	26.3	116.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +42.7%

HOU +15.0%

CHH -17.3%

CHH -2.5%

HOU +12.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	HOU	NBA	CHH	HOU	NBA
this game	16.3	18.0	15.5	96.4	98.8	100.9
season	15.8	16.3		99.7	104.6
opponent	14.9	15.6		102.1	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	13.5	15.7	16.1	21.2	16.3
HOU	18.3	15.7	16.6	22.4	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elden Campbell	60	60	0.26	-0.76	1.02	0.14	4	-8	12	15.7	17.9	-2.25	17.2	19.7	-2.47
Jamaal Magloire	15	15	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-4	4	15.5	16.5	-1.00	19.7	17.6	2.13
Tim James	10	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.06	-7	3	-10	19.2	15.9	3.31	15.8	18.2	-2.46
David Wesley	76	77	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.32	1	-5	6	15.8	22.0	-6.24	18.3	14.9	3.42
P.J. Brown	51	54	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.36	1	-5	6	15.1	18.2	-3.09	17.8	18.2	-0.39
Eddie Robinson	17	17	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-12	8	-20	20.4	15.2	5.11	15.4	18.6	-3.28
Jamal Mashburn	73	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.45	3	-7	10	15.9	19.2	-3.31	18.2	15.8	2.46
Baron Davis	73	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.45	3	-7	10	15.9	19.2	-3.31	18.2	15.8	2.46
Derrick Coleman	40	41	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.43	-13	9	-22	19.0	13.7	5.33	18.6	17.4	1.18

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bullard	40	39	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.36	13	-9	22	18.5	17.5	1.04	17.9	14.8	3.08
Cuttino Mobley	79	78	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.35	6	-2	8	18.0	18.2	-0.20	16.7	10.6	6.05
Kenny Thomas	37	38	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	-8	20	18.0	17.9	0.09	19.1	13.9	5.24
Steve Francis	71	69	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.30	0	4	-4	17.8	18.7	-0.88	15.7	19.1	-3.43
Hakeem Olajuwon	53	50	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.41	-6	10	-16	18.2	17.5	0.71	15.0	18.2	-3.14
Maurice Taylor	67	64	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.38	-6	10	-16	17.9	18.4	-0.52	14.7	21.8	-7.13
Moochie Norris	20	19	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	2	0	18.5	17.8	0.75	16.9	16.1	0.79
Jason Collier	13	14	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.09	8	-4	12	17.3	18.1	-0.79	20.5	15.4	5.07
Shandon Anderson	45	44	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.02	-9	13	-22	17.5	18.5	-1.04	14.8	17.9	-3.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.35,0.24,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.62,0.63,0.85,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 91, NJN 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.68,0.79,0.84,0.92,1	92.0%
ORL 98, PHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.81,0.75,0.64,0.58,0.69,0.6,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.4,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.59,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.91,0.9,1	91.7%
UTA 93, NYK 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.59,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.61,0.52,0.35,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.43,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.78,0.96,1	91.4%