NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	99		Excitement	7.1 [500]		MVP	Spencer Dinwiddie (DAL): +40.0%
Phoenix Suns	95		Comeback	2.2 [479]		LVP	Deandre Ayton (PHX): -19.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.40	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.4	0.26	0.15	0.01	18	72%	0.43	1	-0.03	14	79%	0.02
Reggie Bullock	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08	0.01	0.07	0.00	9	48%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.01	16	55%	0.12	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	9	62%	0.07	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	11	46%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Davis Bertans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Hardy	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.20	0.04	0.01	12	85%	0.22	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	-0.00	12	57%	0.15	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.05	0.01	16	69%	0.22	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jock Landale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Saben Lee	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duane Washington Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Wainright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	6	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damion Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	6	42%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	6	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.09	0.00	20	38%	-0.15	2	-0.04	10	70%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	3.4	26.4	16.7	25.1	2.7	37.2	138.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +24.9%

DAL +13.6%

DAL +4.1%

DAL +3.3%

DAL +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHX	NBA	DAL	PHX	NBA
this game	18.4	14.0	14.4	111.2	106.7	113.4
season	15.2	14.5		115.5	114.2
opponent	14.5	14.3		112.4	115.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.4	15.2	21.2	22.1	18.4
PHX	12.4	13.6	16.7	13.9	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dorian Finney-Smith	63	64	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.32	16	-12	28	18.3	18.5	-0.25	13.8	14.5	-0.67
Spencer Dinwiddie	72	72	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.23	9	-5	14	18.4	18.3	0.08	14.3	12.5	1.82
Tim Hardaway Jr.	74	73	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.42	-1	5	-6	18.9	15.7	3.24	14.0	13.9	0.08
Dwight Powell	67	70	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.45	-4	8	-12	18.6	17.8	0.78	14.2	13.2	1.00
Josh Green	59	59	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.14	6	-2	8	17.9	19.3	-1.42	14.4	13.2	1.26
Davis Bertans	17	17	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.02	6	-2	8	19.0	18.2	0.79	14.5	13.9	0.58
Reggie Bullock	57	55	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.28	-5	9	-14	18.7	17.7	1.00	13.7	14.5	-0.86
Jaden Hardy	12	11	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.00	1	3	-2	15.5	18.8	-3.31	13.5	14.1	-0.52
Luka Doncic	7	7	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	8	-12	19.6	18.3	1.32	12.3	14.1	-1.86
Frank Ntilikina	17	17	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	8	-12	16.8	18.7	-1.97	12.4	14.4	-1.96

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jock Landale	7	7	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-6	8	15.4	13.9	1.55	23.1	18.0	5.19
Duane Washington Jr.	11	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-4	4	11.6	14.3	-2.70	16.6	18.6	-2.05
Bismack Biyombo	17	16	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-5	6	14.8	13.8	0.95	19.1	18.2	0.86
Torrey Craig	52	51	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.28	8	-12	20	13.9	14.1	-0.14	19.6	16.7	2.88
Dario Saric	6	7	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	1	-6	10.2	14.3	-4.11	15.0	18.6	-3.65
Chris Paul	71	69	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.37	7	-11	18	14.2	13.2	1.04	18.6	17.7	0.85
Damion Lee	34	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.01	-6	2	-8	13.5	14.3	-0.76	16.1	19.9	-3.82
Cameron Johnson	61	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.40	6	-10	16	14.0	13.9	0.10	18.7	17.6	1.15
Mikal Bridges	76	76	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.46	6	-10	16	14.5	11.0	3.51	19.2	13.6	5.56
Josh Okogie	18	18	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.03	-12	8	-20	13.2	14.2	-0.97	15.8	19.0	-3.24
Saben Lee	7	8	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.00	-11	7	-18	15.6	13.9	1.71	19.4	18.3	1.12
Deandre Ayton	59	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.36	-1	-3	2	14.0	14.0	0.00	18.0	19.1	-1.07
Ish Wainright	26	25	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.04	-15	11	-26	13.7	14.1	-0.43	17.6	18.6	-1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.22,0.26,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.15,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 93, MEM 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.33,0.23,0.36,0.21,0.1,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.1%
POR 92, ORL 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.31,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0	93.5%
BKN 99, SAC 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.27,0.18,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.31,0.4,0.25,0.15,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.12,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0	93.4%