inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 101 Excitement8.5 [258] MVPShai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +51.4%
Denver Nuggets 99 Comeback1.2 [528] LVPLuguentz Dort (OKC): -20.7%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0.510,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.510.210.30-0.012168%0.541-0.03887%0.03
Kenrich Williams0.310,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.31,0.310.090.21-0.01779%0.3100.0000%0.00
Isaiah Joe0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.010.06-0.01944%0.0700.0000%0.00
Aaron Wiggins0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.03-0.01350%0.0400.002100%0.02
Mike Muscala0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00750%0.0200.002100%0.01
Jaylin Williams0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Darius Bazley0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tre Mann-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.00650%0.021-0.02250%-0.02
Jalen Williams-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.01-0.01629%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Josh Giddey-0.040,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04-0.03-0.03-0.021753%0.084-0.1200%0.00
Luguentz Dort-0.210,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.12-0.090.001327%-0.152-0.0600%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zeke Nnaji0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.240.240.070.16-0.01567%0.2400.00850%-0.07
Christian Braun0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.070.07-0.02767%0.1500.001100%0.01
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.03-0.00775%0.122-0.04250%-0.01
Bruce Brown0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.040.040.03-0.01-0.011350%0.051-0.0220%-0.04
Vlatko Cancar00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.01853%0.032-0.07367%-0.01
Bones Hyland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.08-0.03-0.0140%-0.061-0.0400%0.00
Jamal Murray0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.11,-0.13-0.130.05-0.160.012352%-0.101-0.03475%-0.01
Aaron Gordon0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.11-0.07-0.021535%-0.102-0.051346%-0.15
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.92.526.414.428.52.336.3134.3
league avg25.82.328.215.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +48.2%
OKC +9.0%
DEN -12.1%
OKC +3.1%
OKC +1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCDENNBAOKCDENNBA
this game15.516.314.4112.2108.8113.4
season13.714.7113.5116.6
opponent14.514.5112.3112.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC13.814.714.020.115.5
DEN15.015.918.715.916.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander70710.480.020.470.345-3815.415.8-0.4616.017.6-1.69
Jalen Williams54550.460.040.420.373-1415.515.50.0316.016.8-0.83
Isaiah Joe40380.410.090.310.44-13-416.314.81.5016.216.4-0.16
Kenrich Williams46460.340.160.180.43-35-816.314.61.6716.815.81.00
Luguentz Dort58570.260.240.020.2311015.315.8-0.5016.615.90.62
Mike Muscala31340.210.29-0.07-0.1111-92014.516.0-1.4816.016.5-0.48
Aaron Wiggins29300.180.32-0.140.27-35-814.715.9-1.2316.316.4-0.09
Josh Giddey56600.120.38-0.260.004-2615.415.7-0.3516.216.5-0.33
Jaylin Williams13120.040.46-0.410.10-24-615.715.50.2415.116.5-1.44
Tre Mann24230.020.48-0.460.0202-215.315.6-0.2717.016.10.84
Darius Bazley2929-0.030.53-0.550.12-57-1215.815.30.5017.415.81.59

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bones Hyland2021-0.06-0.440.38-0.03-1-1018.715.73.0415.015.6-0.58
Vlatko Cancar1920-0.11-0.390.28-0.110-2218.215.82.3813.316.1-2.75
Christian Braun4342-0.24-0.260.01-0.19-20-216.915.81.0514.516.4-1.85
Jeff Green3939-0.25-0.250.01-0.13-42-617.115.71.4014.216.5-2.27
Zeke Nnaji5251-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.312-4615.717.1-1.4016.514.22.27
Bruce Brown6665-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.384-61016.017.1-1.0916.413.13.34
Aaron Gordon7270-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.33-20-215.818.2-2.3816.113.32.75
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope7169-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.37-31-416.017.3-1.3115.615.20.39
Jamal Murray7373-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.35-42-615.918.1-2.1515.316.4-1.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.36,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.16,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 102, DAL 980.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.28,0.37,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.34,0.27,0.19,0.26,0.19,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,094.1%
UTA 82, PHX 740.5,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.33,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.18,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,093.4%
BOS 102, DEN 940.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.14,0.07,0.06,0,093.3%