NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	126		Excitement	8.3 [279]		MVP	Kyle Anderson (MIN): +27.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	128		Comeback	25.9 [41]		LVP	Pascal Siakam (TOR): -17.0%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Barnes	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.13,0.06,0.18,0.18	0.19	-0.00	0.01	15	78%	0.34	2	-0.17	7	86%	0.02
Joe Wieskamp	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.01	4	112%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.06,0.06	0.15	-0.08	0.01	13	76%	0.10	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.03
Precious Achiuwa	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	8	55%	0.05	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.05
Thaddeus Young	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juancho Hernangomez	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.07	-0.00	15	51%	-0.02	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
O.G. Anunoby	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.16	0.02	-0.20	-0.01	11	62%	-0.11	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Pascal Siakam	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.06	-0.01	16	38%	-0.06	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.18	0.11	0.02	9	95%	0.30	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,0,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.08	0.01	15	74%	0.42	4	-0.24	4	100%	0.10
Nathan Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	5	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luka Garza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	5	70%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Nowell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	10	59%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.11	-0.05	0.03	14	64%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Ryan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	16	52%	0.18	5	-0.19	12	92%	0.06
Wendell Moore Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Naz Reid	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	6	42%	0.02	4	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	1.8	26.2	15.3	24.6	2.4	32.3	130.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +36.3%

MIN +32.7%

MIN +1.4%

TOR -19.9%

TOR -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	MIN	NBA	TOR	MIN	NBA
this game	14.5	13.4	14.4	123.5	121.9	113.4
season	14.7	14.1		114.0	112.4
opponent	14.3	14.5		112.7	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	12.0	13.4	14.9	18.1	14.5
MIN	14.1	13.3	13.9	12.2	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Wieskamp	26	26	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.04	10	-12	22	13.6	14.8	-1.19	13.8	13.2	0.62
Precious Achiuwa	46	48	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.10	2	-4	6	14.2	14.7	-0.52	12.9	13.8	-0.86
Thaddeus Young	15	16	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.01	4	-6	10	12.5	14.8	-2.34	14.2	13.2	1.03
Juancho Hernangomez	26	28	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.17	-5	3	-8	14.6	14.4	0.16	13.2	13.4	-0.23
Scottie Barnes	83	85	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.54	3	-5	8	14.6	13.8	0.82	13.2	14.1	-0.89
Pascal Siakam	87	87	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.53	0	-2	2	14.4	14.7	-0.24	13.7	11.9	1.73
O.G. Anunoby	75	77	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.57	0	-2	2	14.6	14.2	0.37	13.6	12.9	0.67
Gary Trent Jr.	76	79	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.40	-12	10	-22	14.8	13.6	1.19	13.2	13.8	-0.62
Fred VanVleet	76	79	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.40	-12	10	-22	14.8	13.6	1.19	13.2	13.8	-0.62

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Naz Reid	43	45	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.45	16	-14	30	13.2	13.5	-0.29	16.8	12.6	4.19
Kyle Anderson	70	70	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.37	15	-13	28	13.6	13.0	0.61	15.2	12.9	2.31
Anthony Edwards	85	83	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.40	12	-10	22	13.3	13.6	-0.33	15.1	11.7	3.35
Jaden McDaniels	84	81	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.52	5	-3	8	13.0	14.8	-1.73	14.5	14.5	-0.02
D'Angelo Russell	71	71	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.38	2	0	2	13.9	12.3	1.61	14.9	13.5	1.31
Wendell Moore Jr.	8	8	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.07	-6	8	-14	14.6	13.3	1.35	13.7	14.5	-0.77
Matt Ryan	15	12	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.03	-3	5	-8	12.1	13.6	-1.46	14.6	14.4	0.14
Jaylen Nowell	41	39	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.13	0	2	-2	13.1	13.6	-0.46	13.0	15.4	-2.41
Luka Garza	34	31	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.11	-1	3	-4	12.4	13.8	-1.39	13.8	14.8	-0.99
Nathan Knight	20	19	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.04	-7	9	-16	14.8	13.0	1.81	11.6	15.1	-3.54
Taurean Prince	54	51	-0.43	0.93	-1.37	0.24	-23	25	-48	13.6	13.1	0.51	12.5	16.4	-3.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.12,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.2,0.14,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.22,0.32,0.55,0.43,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 97, MIL 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.26,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.2,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.21,0.31,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.25,0.23,0.1,0.05,0.17,0.25,0.28,0.43,0.74,1	92.0%
ORL 100, PHI 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.31,0.37,0.67,0.58,1	91.7%
TOR 101, CLE 105	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.29,0.58,1	91.6%