NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	130		Excitement	7.8 [364]		MVP	Dejounte Murray (ATL): +50.2%
Dallas Mavericks	122		Comeback	3.8 [304]		LVP	Dorian Finney-Smith (DAL): -10.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dejounte Murray	0.50	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.5,0.5	0.22	0.29	0.01	18	79%	0.54	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Clint Capela	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.11	0.07	-0.00	10	73%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
AJ Griffin	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.05	0.03	4	100%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Johnson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	0.00	1	150%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	-0.02	-0.01	14	68%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	9	55%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Trae Young	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01	0.00	0.04	0.03	11	60%	0.13	4	-0.12	8	100%	0.03
Bogdan Bogdanovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	13	46%	0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	69%	0.08	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.04	-0.02	11	82%	0.24	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Christian Wood	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.05	-0.00	17	63%	0.18	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.00	0.10	-0.02	18	53%	0.22	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.03
Josh Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	3	90%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	19	60%	0.22	7	-0.20	12	83%	0.00
Jaden Hardy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.07	0.02	9	45%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.8	26.4	15.5	30.7	2.8	32.5	139.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +30.6%

DAL -1.3%

ATL +12.3%

ATL +8.3%

ATL +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DAL	NBA	ATL	DAL	NBA
this game	13.9	15.5	14.4	132.7	124.5	113.4
season	13.8	15.2		115.1	115.5
opponent	14.3	14.4		115.8	114.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.1	13.4	13.5	17.1	13.9
DAL	14.5	15.4	16.5	15.6	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
AJ Griffin	43	43	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.19	10	-2	12	14.2	13.7	0.46	16.9	14.4	2.50
De'Andre Hunter	54	54	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.26	7	1	6	13.3	14.7	-1.41	14.7	16.4	-1.77
Clint Capela	47	48	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.10	10	-2	12	13.5	14.3	-0.80	14.4	16.5	-2.12
Dejounte Murray	77	78	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.14	7	1	6	14.1	13.1	1.00	15.4	15.5	-0.11
Bogdan Bogdanovic	63	63	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.13	6	2	4	14.5	12.9	1.67	16.5	13.5	2.98
Trae Young	73	73	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.18	0	8	-8	13.7	14.6	-0.85	14.5	18.2	-3.68
John Collins	71	71	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	6	-4	13.5	15.1	-1.63	15.1	16.4	-1.36
Jalen Johnson	11	10	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	6	-4	15.5	13.7	1.72	16.7	15.3	1.38
Onyeka Okongwu	51	50	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.21	-4	12	-16	14.3	13.5	0.80	16.5	14.4	2.12

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaden Hardy	7	8	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.05	3	-11	14	16.6	15.4	1.20	15.9	13.8	2.12
JaVale McGee	7	6	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-8	8	16.0	15.4	0.58	11.3	14.1	-2.76
Dwight Powell	47	48	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-6	4	15.0	15.9	-0.88	13.1	14.8	-1.70
Davis Bertans	14	14	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-5	2	16.9	15.2	1.63	11.3	14.4	-3.08
Dorian Finney-Smith	71	71	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.22	-1	-7	6	14.6	17.7	-3.10	14.6	12.3	2.30
Christian Wood	71	71	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.30	1	-9	10	15.7	14.8	0.94	14.2	13.2	1.03
Spencer Dinwiddie	81	81	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-3	-2	15.3	16.4	-1.15	14.3	12.2	2.12
Luka Doncic	81	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.28	-5	-3	-2	14.8	18.6	-3.79	13.9	14.2	-0.38
Josh Green	39	38	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	3	-14	17.8	13.9	3.88	13.3	14.3	-1.09
Reggie Bullock	72	71	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.23	-17	9	-26	15.6	15.0	0.57	14.1	13.4	0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.07,0.21,0.31,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 102, PHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.22,0.06,0.04,0	92.7%
CLE 95, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.49,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.29,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.01,0	92.2%
TOR 102, IND 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.42,0.21,0.34,0.33,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.04,0	91.9%