NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	120		Excitement	8.9 [191]		MVP	Kevin Huerter (SAC): +30.9%
Sacramento Kings	117		Comeback	9.2 [170]		LVP	Domantas Sabonis (SAC): -15.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dejounte Murray	0.29	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.29	0.05	0.27	0.03	17	55%	0.37	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.11
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.11	0.16	0.00	13	65%	0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.07	0.01	11	79%	0.23	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
De'Andre Hunter	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.07	0.07	-0.03	17	59%	0.22	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Jalen Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.04	-0.01	12	68%	0.19	5	-0.18	7	86%	0.04
AJ Griffin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	5	67%	0.04	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.10	0.21	-0.00	15	71%	0.42	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.03
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.02	0.04	15	61%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Keegan Murray	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	7	57%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.34,0.07	0.07	0.06	-0.03	-0.03	20	53%	0.28	1	-0.21	7	100%	0.06
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davion Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terence Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	9	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.15	-0.15	0.00	-0.15	0.00	13	59%	-0.05	4	-0.11	8	75%	-0.16

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.6	25.5	15.4	30.4	2.5	34.6	135.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +29.2%

ATL +21.0%

ATL +0.3%

ATL +0.5%

SAC -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	SAC	NBA	ATL	SAC	NBA
this game	14.2	13.8	14.4	117.6	112.5	113.4
season	13.8	13.5		115.1	117.3
opponent	14.8	14.4		115.2	114.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.4	13.6	16.0	15.2	14.2
SAC	12.0	14.6	16.0	13.0	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trae Young	67	69	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.43	6	-3	9	13.8	15.0	-1.27	14.2	12.9	1.25
De'Andre Hunter	76	77	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.41	2	1	1	14.1	14.5	-0.36	13.7	14.0	-0.31
John Collins	86	90	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.40	2	1	1	14.1	14.7	-0.66	13.7	14.0	-0.27
AJ Griffin	35	35	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.16	7	-4	11	15.6	13.5	2.09	13.7	13.8	-0.17
Onyeka Okongwu	69	70	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.24	3	0	3	13.7	15.3	-1.64	14.5	12.3	2.24
Dejounte Murray	76	76	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.21	0	3	-3	14.0	14.7	-0.61	13.6	14.4	-0.80
Jalen Johnson	9	11	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.06	3	0	3	16.9	13.9	2.95	9.6	14.3	-4.62
Bogdan Bogdanovic	68	68	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	4	-5	14.5	13.6	0.91	13.6	14.0	-0.40
Frank Kaminsky	5	5	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	5	-7	13.2	14.2	-1.05	16.2	13.6	2.55
Aaron Holiday	19	19	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	8	-13	14.5	14.1	0.34	13.4	13.9	-0.49

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terence Davis	9	8	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-5	7	12.9	13.9	-0.96	15.9	14.1	1.82
Keegan Murray	59	58	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-5	7	13.5	14.1	-0.56	13.4	15.2	-1.77
Richaun Holmes	12	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-3	3	12.1	14.0	-1.91	14.7	14.1	0.56
Malik Monk	42	40	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-3	3	13.5	14.0	-0.49	15.0	13.7	1.32
Trey Lyles	30	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	4	-11	12.8	14.1	-1.32	15.0	13.9	1.14
Kevin Huerter	73	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.31	0	-3	3	14.7	11.7	2.98	13.8	15.1	-1.26
Harrison Barnes	80	79	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.47	4	-7	11	13.7	13.9	-0.19	13.9	15.0	-1.09
Domantas Sabonis	84	84	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.33	-5	2	-7	14.4	11.2	3.18	14.0	15.1	-1.04
Davion Mitchell	50	50	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.42	-4	1	-5	13.7	13.8	-0.09	15.3	13.2	2.13
De'Aaron Fox	81	81	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.41	-7	4	-11	13.4	15.0	-1.52	13.9	15.2	-1.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.14,0.21,0.16,0.74,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 86, DET 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.28,0.21,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.23,0.53,0	91.3%
BOS 88, TOR 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.17,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.29,0.28,0.14,0.22,0.16,0.42,0	90.8%
ORL 94, IND 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.4,0.46,0.19,0.28,0.55,0.74,0	90.7%