NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	122		Excitement	10.1 [78]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +69.2%
Golden State Warriors	119		Comeback	1.1 [470]		LVP	Jordan Poole (GSW): -21.6%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Saddiq Bey	0.44	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.44	0.05	0.37	-0.02	17	49%	0.44	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.35	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.26	0.12	0.04	15	83%	0.35	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Alec Burks	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.10	0.12	0.00	8	68%	0.22	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Jalen Duren	0.13	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.03	0.01	8	95%	0.23	3	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01
Rodney McGruder	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	1	150%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Ivey	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.06	0.00	14	37%	0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.07
Killian Hayes	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.01	-0.04	0.05	0.01	12	35%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Hamidou Diallo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	75%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	50%	0.01
Isaiah Stewart	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09	-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	14	46%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.69	0.69	0.13	0.56	-0.00	23	59%	0.69	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Ty Jerome	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.06	-0.01	11	78%	0.20	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.02	0.02	9	85%	0.18	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Moses Moody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Patrick Baldwin Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	3	62%	0.10	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Draymond Green	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	6	67%	0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	4	62%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Poole	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.13,0.05,-0.22	-0.22	0.01	-0.23	-0.00	22	51%	0.10	3	-0.32	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.3	25.4	14.6	26.8	2.3	35.4	130.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -4.7%

DET +2.4%

DET +20.6%

DET +30.1%

DET +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	GSW	NBA	DET	GSW	NBA
this game	15.3	13.8	14.4	123.2	120.2	113.4
season	14.6	13.9		109.6	114.1
opponent	14.1	14.2		112.6	117.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	13.4	14.2	16.2	17.5	15.3
GSW	17.9	12.5	12.0	13.2	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Killian Hayes	71	71	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.46	12	-9	21	15.3	15.2	0.16	14.4	12.4	1.96
Isaiah Stewart	63	61	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.51	4	-1	5	15.8	14.3	1.51	14.2	13.2	0.95
Bojan Bogdanovic	67	67	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.44	5	-2	7	15.5	14.8	0.71	14.5	12.4	2.10
Alec Burks	63	63	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.33	0	3	-3	15.3	15.3	0.02	13.3	14.7	-1.45
Saddiq Bey	60	61	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.35	-3	6	-9	15.5	15.0	0.53	12.7	15.5	-2.76
Jalen Duren	65	66	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.03	5	-2	7	14.9	16.0	-1.08	14.3	12.8	1.56
Rodney McGruder	10	10	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	3	-3	13.0	15.6	-2.55	14.6	13.7	0.89
Jaden Ivey	57	56	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	6	-9	15.4	15.1	0.30	14.1	13.4	0.71
Hamidou Diallo	39	40	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.02	-5	8	-13	14.6	15.7	-1.12	12.1	15.0	-2.89

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Poole	74	71	0.14	-0.64	0.79	0.03	4	-7	11	13.6	14.4	-0.81	15.4	15.0	0.46
Moses Moody	33	34	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-6	9	12.3	14.6	-2.29	14.4	15.8	-1.39
Anthony Lamb	58	57	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.17	2	-5	7	13.2	14.7	-1.47	15.4	15.2	0.18
Draymond Green	61	60	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.17	0	-3	3	13.9	13.6	0.36	16.3	13.7	2.64
Patrick Baldwin Jr.	21	22	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	0	-3	13.6	13.8	-0.23	15.6	15.2	0.44
Ty Jerome	55	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-1	-1	13.4	14.3	-0.94	14.4	16.5	-2.14
Klay Thompson	66	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-3	3	14.5	12.3	2.24	15.8	14.1	1.69
Kevon Looney	59	60	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.32	-5	2	-7	14.1	13.4	0.71	14.0	17.2	-3.20
Donte DiVincenzo	68	66	-1.07	0.57	-1.65	-0.66	-14	11	-25	14.6	12.1	2.48	15.9	14.1	1.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.21,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.42,0.43,0.25,0.33,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 107, NYK 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.4,0.27,0.33,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.06,0,0	92.5%
TOR 94, MIA 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.28,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.17,0.39,0.1,0.22,0.16,0	92.5%
MIN 102, BOS 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.18,0	92.4%