NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	111		Excitement	7.7 [394]		MVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (DAL): +19.0%
Houston Rockets	106		Comeback	15.3 [279]		LVP	Kenyon Martin Jr. (HOU): -24.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.19	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.15	0.07	0.02	13	75%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16	-0.01	0.15	-0.01	12	42%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Bullock	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	8	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Wood	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.05,0.05	0.14	-0.08	0.02	14	70%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Dwight Powell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Theo Pinson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02	0.03	0.03	0.04	26	53%	0.12	4	-0.10	22	82%	0.05
Kemba Walker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
McKinley Wright IV	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	20	60%	0.18	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Alperen Sengun	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.00	7	73%	0.20	2	-0.11	8	75%	0.00
Usman Garuba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
TyTy Washington Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.10	-0.11	-0.01	12	76%	0.13	2	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Bruno Fernando	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Green	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	17	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	12	67%	-0.01
Tari Eason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.10	0.00	9	52%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.08	-0.18	-0.01	8	29%	-0.05	2	-0.19	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	0.3	30.2	13.8	31.4	1.0	37.2	140.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +5.3%

DAL +17.9%

HOU -7.9%

DAL +33.5%

DAL +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	HOU	NBA	DAL	HOU	NBA
this game	15.0	14.7	14.4	114.4	109.3	113.4
season	15.2	14.8		115.5	109.8
opponent	13.9	14.3		118.0	115.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.0	16.1	14.4	15.6	15.0
HOU	15.4	12.7	16.9	13.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Dinwiddie	76	78	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.38	8	-3	11	15.5	13.5	1.98	14.2	16.4	-2.19
Tim Hardaway Jr.	73	74	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.28	11	-6	17	15.2	14.4	0.82	14.6	14.9	-0.27
Reggie Bullock	88	85	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.30	8	-3	11	14.7	17.9	-3.15	14.4	16.3	-1.91
Luka Doncic	82	83	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.24	9	-4	13	14.5	17.7	-3.12	15.0	12.6	2.36
Frank Ntilikina	36	34	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.07	11	-6	17	15.5	14.8	0.75	15.1	14.4	0.75
Christian Wood	58	61	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.21	3	2	1	15.7	14.0	1.77	13.4	16.8	-3.41
Theo Pinson	10	10	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	4	-3	12.3	15.3	-3.04	15.4	14.6	0.83
Dwight Powell	30	28	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	6	-7	14.2	15.4	-1.15	17.0	13.7	3.29
Kemba Walker	11	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	5	-5	17.7	14.7	3.04	12.7	14.9	-2.19
Davis Bertans	9	9	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.11	-11	16	-27	14.2	15.1	-0.89	16.3	14.5	1.84
McKinley Wright IV	12	13	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.13	-14	19	-33	14.1	15.2	-1.08	16.4	14.4	1.99

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrison Mathews	24	23	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.12	2	-7	9	13.5	15.0	-1.54	16.8	14.5	2.35
Alperen Sengun	51	53	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.16	6	-11	17	14.9	14.4	0.51	14.5	15.7	-1.15
Tari Eason	30	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-6	7	15.7	14.2	1.51	15.2	15.0	0.24
Usman Garuba	22	22	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-1	-3	17.5	13.8	3.67	14.0	15.3	-1.33
TyTy Washington Jr.	14	16	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.07	-2	-3	1	18.3	14.0	4.24	14.4	15.2	-0.79
Bruno Fernando	16	17	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.06	-3	-2	-1	13.7	14.9	-1.16	15.9	14.8	1.03
Kenyon Martin Jr.	39	38	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.24	2	-7	9	14.5	14.8	-0.33	15.7	14.6	1.03
Jabari Smith Jr.	67	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.27	-6	1	-7	14.2	15.7	-1.51	15.0	15.2	-0.24
Eric Gordon	70	69	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.31	-6	1	-7	13.9	16.7	-2.88	15.3	14.4	0.85
Kevin Porter Jr.	86	85	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.35	-7	2	-9	14.6	14.9	-0.28	14.7	17.7	-3.01
Jalen Green	66	65	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.40	-8	3	-11	14.4	15.2	-0.74	15.0	15.2	-0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.73,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.82,0.66,0.78,0.7,0.48,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.56,0.37,0.23,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 74, POR 71	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.21,0.15,0.04,0	91.6%
WAS 85, NJN 78	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.92,0.92,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.47,0.46,0.15,0.04,0	90.9%
BKN 110, NYK 98	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.74,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.6,0.39,0.31,0.1,0,0	90.7%