NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	74		Excitement	6.6 [392]		MVP	Chris Paul (LAC): +9.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	71		Comeback	13.6 [111]		LVP	Raymond Felton (POR): -26.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1	-0.12	0.18	-0.03	15	39%	0.22	4	-0.13	3	67%	0.00
Mo Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08	-0.03	0.11	-0.01	15	45%	0.13	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.02
Reggie Evans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
DeAndre Jordan	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Caron Butler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.01	0.01	9	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.04	-0.10	0.03	15	62%	0.02	3	-0.11	4	75%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	12	25%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elliot Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.03	0.01	16	56%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Wesley Matthews	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	13	53%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.05
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	39%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.07,0,0,-0.06,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.07	-0.02	18	49%	0.03	3	-0.12	3	100%	0.02
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	3	29%	-0.02	2	-0.11	1	0%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	7	0%	-0.14	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	3.5	30.5	18.6	33.3	2.7	35.7	149.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +20.8%

LAC +9.4%

LAC +19.7%

POR -2.7%

LAC +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	POR	NBA	LAC	POR	NBA
this game	16.5	16.8	15.6	86.0	81.6	102.8
season	16.2	15.7		106.0	104.1
opponent	15.4	15.7		104.7	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.6	17.1	16.4	17.0	16.5
POR	15.1	18.9	16.4	17.2	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caron Butler	55	55	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.47	8	-5	13	16.6	16.3	0.38	17.3	16.0	1.30
Mo Williams	62	63	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.37	8	-5	13	16.8	15.8	0.98	16.9	16.5	0.35
Chris Paul	67	67	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.47	4	-1	5	17.0	14.7	2.33	17.2	15.4	1.81
Kenyon Martin	53	53	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.50	3	0	3	17.1	15.5	1.65	15.5	18.9	-3.38
Blake Griffin	67	68	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.45	3	0	3	15.4	20.4	-5.03	17.2	15.3	1.89
Reggie Evans	16	16	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	3	-3	21.2	15.4	5.76	16.5	16.9	-0.36
DeAndre Jordan	37	37	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.09	0	3	-3	15.1	17.5	-2.40	18.1	15.9	2.19
Ryan Gomes	14	15	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.02	-3	6	-9	15.1	16.8	-1.62	14.1	17.4	-3.29
Randy Foye	59	61	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.07	-8	11	-19	16.1	17.4	-1.27	16.5	17.5	-1.06

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Craig Smith	27	25	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.00	3	-6	9	16.3	17.0	-0.77	17.0	16.3	0.70
Raymond Felton	46	45	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.08	3	-6	9	16.5	17.1	-0.58	15.4	17.7	-2.31
Elliot Williams	16	15	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.06	2	-5	7	16.7	16.8	-0.13	16.3	16.5	-0.20
Marcus Camby	38	40	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.20	7	-10	17	17.2	16.5	0.65	16.3	16.7	-0.33
Wesley Matthews	61	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.28	-6	3	-9	17.3	15.5	1.79	16.5	16.6	-0.14
Kurt Thomas	49	46	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	7	-17	16.5	17.2	-0.65	16.7	16.3	0.33
Nicolas Batum	70	70	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.34	-6	3	-9	16.5	17.8	-1.28	16.1	18.4	-2.38
Gerald Wallace	76	76	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.42	-4	1	-5	17.2	14.0	3.20	17.0	13.0	3.96
Jamal Crawford	52	52	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.48	-4	1	-5	16.5	17.3	-0.82	17.2	15.4	1.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.21,0.15,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 116, DET 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.79,0.8,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.73,0.47,0.29,0.03,0,0	92.5%
WAS 85, NJN 78	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.92,0.92,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.47,0.46,0.15,0.04,0	92.3%
MIN 113, LAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.4,0.46,0.16,0.02,0,0	92.2%