NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	103		Excitement	7.8 [366]		MVP	Isaac Okoro (CLE): +15.5%
Chicago Bulls	102		Comeback	1.4 [842]		LVP	DeMar DeRozan (CHI): -29.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaac Okoro	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.08	-0.00	5	69%	0.15	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Cedi Osman	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.01	7	75%	0.17	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Raul Neto	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	5	90%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.02	0.01	15	65%	0.16	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Caris LeVert	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	19	57%	0.09	4	-0.11	2	0%	-0.02
Mamadi Diakite	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	9	30%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04
Lamar Stevens	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23	-0.18	-0.07	-0.01	16	39%	-0.04	7	-0.19	6	83%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.01	10	73%	0.17	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.06
Javonte Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	9	50%	0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	7	64%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	13	39%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	16	44%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.29	-0.29	-0.02	-0.24	0.03	17	51%	-0.12	4	-0.17	7	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.5	27.7	14.6	25.7	2.0	32.0	130.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +39.5%

CHI -1.6%

CLE +35.9%

CHI -24.2%

CLE +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHI	NBA	CLE	CHI	NBA
this game	15.3	13.3	14.4	102.0	102.0	113.4
season	15.1	14.1		114.0	112.0
opponent	14.9	14.7		110.9	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.7	13.7	15.0	18.3	15.3
CHI	13.5	12.9	13.8	13.0	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaac Okoro	45	46	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.51	2	-1	3	15.2	15.4	-0.21	14.1	12.6	1.48
Cedi Osman	53	53	0.52	-0.01	0.53	0.25	9	-8	17	14.0	16.8	-2.81	12.7	14.0	-1.30
Jarrett Allen	76	73	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.50	-3	4	-7	15.5	14.8	0.71	12.8	14.6	-1.81
Caris LeVert	77	77	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.32	1	0	1	15.9	13.4	2.52	13.4	12.9	0.57
Kevin Love	69	68	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	-2	5	15.8	14.3	1.50	13.5	12.9	0.64
Donovan Mitchell	80	77	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.52	-9	10	-19	15.7	14.0	1.75	12.5	15.9	-3.32
Raul Neto	29	30	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.00	7	-6	13	15.7	15.2	0.54	14.3	12.9	1.41
Robin Lopez	24	26	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.02	4	-3	7	14.4	15.6	-1.21	15.2	12.6	2.54
Lamar Stevens	45	43	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	1	-1	14.2	16.2	-2.05	13.5	13.2	0.35
Mamadi Diakite	7	7	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.10	-9	10	-19	17.7	15.2	2.55	10.3	13.5	-3.25

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Williams	42	45	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	2	-5	14.3	12.6	1.68	16.0	14.8	1.28
Alex Caruso	54	52	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.45	11	-12	23	12.1	14.7	-2.53	15.2	15.5	-0.34
Javonte Green	35	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.07	-5	4	-9	13.3	13.3	0.05	15.0	15.5	-0.45
Andre Drummond	28	27	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	7	-15	14.3	12.9	1.36	14.3	15.7	-1.47
Nikola Vucevic	71	73	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.48	7	-8	15	13.1	13.8	-0.68	15.6	14.6	1.01
DeMar DeRozan	80	79	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.33	1	-2	3	13.4	13.0	0.39	15.7	14.2	1.48
Zach LaVine	75	78	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.54	8	-9	17	12.9	14.6	-1.77	15.4	15.0	0.38
Coby White	45	45	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.10	-9	8	-17	13.6	13.1	0.53	14.2	16.2	-2.05
Ayo Dosunmu	70	73	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.36	-7	6	-13	13.6	12.6	1.01	15.5	14.8	0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.38,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.39,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.28,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.33,0.15,0.18,0.12,0.28,0.2,0.1,0.03,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 81, BOS 73	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.3,0.16,0.34,0.38,0.28,0.17,0.12,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.01,0.09,0	92.5%
HOU 103, GSW 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.33,0.12,0.1,0.2,0.1,0.15,0.08,0.01,0,0	92.3%
CLE 116, ORL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,0	92.2%