NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	125		Excitement	10.0 [91]		MVP	Kevin Huerter (SAC): +76.6%
Sacramento Kings	126		Comeback	8.9 [218]		LVP	Collin Sexton (UTA): -7.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen	0.44	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.59,0.44	0.23	0.22	0.01	24	71%	0.48	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Jordan Clarkson	0.22	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.22,0.22	0.16	0.08	0.02	12	74%	0.27	2	-0.05	10	90%	0.05
Walker Kessler	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.08	0.09	-0.03	5	92%	0.22	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.02
Rudy Gay	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.05	-0.00	4	70%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Jarred Vanderbilt	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	4	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Mike Conley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0,0,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	11	61%	0.08	3	-0.07	6	83%	-0.03
Kelly Olynyk	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.01	2	83%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Malik Beasley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.02	-0.01	13	35%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	9	41%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.77	0.77	0.24	0.54	0.02	18	83%	0.79	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.15	0.07	0.02	12	104%	0.44	7	-0.24	3	67%	-0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.24,0.22,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.11	-0.01	24	46%	0.15	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.11	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Keegan Murray	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	5	64%	0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
KZ Okpala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	0	0%	0.00	1	0.03	0	0%	0.00
Davion Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	6	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	7	45%	0.01	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	10	42%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.7	1.8	26.3	14.8	27.5	1.0	34.6	136.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +49.5%

UTA -18.2%

SAC +25.5%

UTA -1.7%

UTA -5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAC	NBA	UTA	SAC	NBA
this game	15.2	13.2	14.4	125.0	122.3	113.4
season	14.3	13.5		114.4	117.3
opponent	14.8	14.1		115.2	115.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.0	14.0	15.8	15.0	15.2
SAC	14.0	12.7	13.7	12.7	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walker Kessler	48	51	0.58	-1.08	1.66	0.08	17	-18	35	14.8	15.5	-0.73	12.9	13.5	-0.62
Rudy Gay	24	27	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.04	5	-6	11	16.0	14.9	1.09	11.7	13.8	-2.07
Malik Beasley	47	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	3	-7	15.9	14.5	1.33	12.8	13.7	-0.91
Mike Conley	63	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	0	-1	14.8	15.8	-1.02	12.8	13.9	-1.13
Kelly Olynyk	64	61	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.28	-4	3	-7	14.9	15.7	-0.82	13.9	12.2	1.68
Collin Sexton	59	62	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.64	4	-5	9	16.0	14.0	2.02	12.8	13.9	-1.15
Lauri Markkanen	71	74	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.52	-1	0	-1	14.9	15.8	-0.83	13.5	12.6	0.90
Jarred Vanderbilt	50	51	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.13	-16	15	-31	15.4	15.0	0.38	13.6	12.8	0.78
Jordan Clarkson	74	75	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.46	-5	4	-9	14.7	16.5	-1.75	14.0	11.2	2.72

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Domantas Sabonis	81	77	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.56	3	-2	5	13.3	12.9	0.47	15.2	15.0	0.16
De'Aaron Fox	82	82	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.40	8	-7	15	12.8	14.9	-2.10	15.4	14.2	1.16
Davion Mitchell	47	46	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.66	-2	3	-5	13.0	13.4	-0.39	16.1	14.4	1.66
Harrison Barnes	69	66	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.51	0	1	-1	13.7	12.4	1.27	14.7	16.2	-1.52
Kevin Huerter	65	63	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.16	5	-4	9	13.8	12.2	1.58	14.8	15.8	-0.97
Keegan Murray	61	57	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.15	-2	3	-5	13.4	13.0	0.47	14.5	16.0	-1.46
Trey Lyles	42	40	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	1	-1	12.5	13.7	-1.24	16.0	14.6	1.47
KZ Okpala	6	6	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	5	-9	15.0	13.1	1.88	11.2	15.4	-4.26
Malik Monk	40	40	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.06	-1	2	-3	12.9	13.4	-0.54	15.7	14.8	0.97
Richaun Holmes	22	23	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.09	-2	3	-5	12.9	13.3	-0.47	15.0	15.2	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.62,0.38,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.39,0.75,0.95,0.91,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 99, PHX 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.54,0.46,0.86,0.93,0.85,0.42,1	92.0%
NYK 97, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.81,0.84,0.69,0.74,1	90.6%
SAS 96, UTA 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.85,0.67,0.58,1	90.1%