NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	112		Excitement	8.3 [277]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +32.1%
Golden State Warriors	118		Comeback	17.7 [84]		LVP	Anfernee Simons (POR): -13.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaedon Sharpe	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	4	87%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trendon Watford	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.02	4	67%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jerami Grant	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.02	-0.03	16	56%	0.15	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Damian Lillard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.14,0	0.05	-0.08	-0.03	29	52%	0.17	3	-0.17	7	86%	0.02
Drew Eubanks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	62%	0.05	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Josh Hart	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	7	57%	0.06	2	-0.08	7	43%	-0.04
Jabari Walker	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.12,-0.13	-0.01	-0.12	0.01	21	50%	-0.04	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0,0,0.03,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.21	0.12	0.01	22	67%	0.32	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.13	0.13	0.17	-0.03	0.01	23	75%	0.37	7	-0.24	9	89%	0.05
Jonathan Kuminga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	8	50%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	83%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	11	45%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ty Jerome	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	-0.01	5	64%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	11	41%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Moses Moody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	0.8	31.4	14.4	28.5	2.5	33.3	135.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +26.8%

GSW +3.8%

POR -0.4%

GSW +21.7%

POR -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	GSW	NBA	POR	GSW	NBA
this game	15.2	13.4	14.4	108.7	120.4	113.4
season	14.7	13.9		113.4	114.1
opponent	14.1	14.1		112.6	117.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.5	13.7	16.3	15.2	15.2
GSW	12.2	14.5	13.7	13.5	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaedon Sharpe	40	37	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.04	7	-13	20	16.0	14.6	1.37	13.4	13.5	-0.07
Trendon Watford	33	30	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.07	4	-10	14	16.3	14.6	1.63	13.6	13.4	0.22
Jabari Walker	30	27	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.07	5	-11	16	15.2	15.1	0.10	13.7	13.4	0.35
Damian Lillard	91	86	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.31	-5	-1	-4	15.7	11.1	4.62	13.1	16.1	-3.00
Josh Hart	87	85	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.28	-10	4	-14	15.2	15.2	-0.03	13.5	13.2	0.25
Jerami Grant	86	84	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.26	-12	6	-18	15.2	15.2	-0.01	13.7	12.1	1.52
Anfernee Simons	79	74	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.41	-9	3	-12	14.3	17.9	-3.59	13.4	13.7	-0.40
Drew Eubanks	69	67	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.40	-10	4	-14	14.4	16.8	-2.39	13.6	13.2	0.37

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathan Kuminga	51	54	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.42	15	-9	24	12.7	14.3	-1.63	16.8	13.4	3.39
Jordan Poole	72	79	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.31	18	-12	30	13.0	14.7	-1.69	15.3	14.7	0.54
Donte DiVincenzo	68	70	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.25	16	-10	26	13.1	14.2	-1.03	16.2	13.1	3.10
Draymond Green	66	70	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.49	8	-2	10	13.5	13.3	0.16	15.0	15.6	-0.65
Klay Thompson	75	77	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.30	8	-2	10	13.3	14.0	-0.66	15.6	13.8	1.76
Moses Moody	20	22	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.09	-7	13	-20	14.0	13.3	0.76	11.2	16.2	-5.01
Anthony Lamb	40	42	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.03	-8	14	-22	13.3	13.5	-0.17	14.3	15.8	-1.48
Ty Jerome	42	46	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	-0.05	-11	17	-28	15.0	12.3	2.63	14.1	16.0	-1.87
Kevon Looney	56	55	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	-0.15	-9	15	-24	14.0	12.7	1.29	14.9	15.5	-0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.69,0.8,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.13,0.19,0.37,0.34,0.14,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.55,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 110, PHI 114	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.79,0.7,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.55,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.37,0.32,0.15,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.12,0.18,0.24,0.15,0.55,0.58,1	91.0%
DET 107, CHA 108	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.64,0.63,0.77,0.75,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.34,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.28,0.55,0.73,1	90.4%
MIN 84, DEN 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.27,0.2,0.29,0.68,0.73,1	90.0%