NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	110		Excitement	8.5 [194]		MVP	Spencer Hawes (PHI): +38.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	114		Comeback	9.7 [52]		LVP	Thaddeus Young (PHI): -32.6%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.28	0.13	0.14	-0.01	13	70%	0.28	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Chris Bosh	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.04	-0.01	13	73%	0.25	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.04
Rashard Lewis	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	8	58%	0.08	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Udonis Haslem	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	1	67%	0.03	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02
Norris Cole	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	8	62%	0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.08,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	-0.12	-0.04	13	62%	0.11	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18	-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	8	12%	-0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.30	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.05,-0.3	0.07	-0.37	-0.01	17	66%	0.06	4	-0.35	4	75%	-0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.39	0.13	0.26	0.01	14	75%	0.46	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.03	0.00	10	79%	0.22	1	-0.04	8	75%	-0.03
Tony Wroten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	-0.00	-0.02	9	70%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Daniel Orton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	1	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.07,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.11	-0.06	19	59%	0.04	3	-0.03	6	100%	0.06
Darius Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	8	50%	0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.33	-0.16	-0.16	-0.00	15	33%	-0.11	5	-0.22	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.0	25.3	16.5	27.3	1.8	36.3	135.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +11.9%

PHI +8.2%

PHI +12.9%

PHI +26.7%

MIA -9.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	PHI	NBA	MIA	PHI	NBA
this game	15.9	12.5	15.1	108.9	111.8	105.2
season	15.6	13.7		109.7	98.4
opponent	15.0	15.8		108.4	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	18.8	12.8	14.9	17.3	15.9
PHI	12.5	15.4	11.3	10.8	12.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	43	42	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.07	9	-13	22	15.3	16.3	-1.09	14.3	11.2	3.10
Norris Cole	55	55	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.07	9	-13	22	15.8	16.0	-0.26	14.4	10.3	4.02
Roger Mason Jr.	32	32	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.26	-6	2	-8	15.6	16.0	-0.42	11.9	12.8	-0.83
Chris Andersen	27	27	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.03	1	-5	6	18.1	15.1	2.99	12.4	12.5	-0.09
Udonis Haslem	25	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.25	-12	8	-20	16.2	15.8	0.48	11.8	12.7	-0.89
LeBron James	76	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.25	-8	4	-12	16.5	13.9	2.61	11.8	14.8	-3.04
Chris Bosh	74	75	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.36	-5	1	-6	15.1	18.1	-2.99	12.5	12.4	0.09
Shane Battier	49	51	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.75	5	-9	14	15.6	16.2	-0.60	12.2	12.8	-0.63
Mario Chalmers	65	66	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.23	-14	10	-24	16.1	15.5	0.59	11.7	13.9	-2.22
Ray Allen	59	59	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.67	1	-5	6	15.6	16.2	-0.57	12.2	13.0	-0.81

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Carter-Williams	78	76	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.27	12	-8	20	12.0	14.2	-2.17	16.1	15.3	0.80
Thaddeus Young	74	74	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.28	11	-7	18	12.1	13.7	-1.66	15.4	17.1	-1.63
Spencer Hawes	63	63	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.33	5	-1	6	12.2	13.1	-0.92	15.7	16.3	-0.61
Evan Turner	79	79	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.38	3	1	2	12.2	13.6	-1.42	16.0	15.5	0.55
James Anderson	77	77	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.35	2	2	0	12.5	12.6	-0.17	15.2	18.0	-2.72
Tony Wroten	48	46	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	1	2	13.1	12.0	1.12	16.8	15.1	1.62
Lavoy Allen	36	36	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.05	-2	6	-8	13.3	12.1	1.23	16.3	15.6	0.70
Daniel Orton	31	29	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.09	-6	10	-16	13.4	12.1	1.26	16.9	15.5	1.47
Darius Morris	24	25	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.11	-8	12	-20	14.2	12.0	2.17	15.3	16.1	-0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.79,0.7,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.55,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.37,0.32,0.15,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.12,0.18,0.24,0.15,0.55,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 84, DEN 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.27,0.2,0.29,0.68,0.73,1	89.3%
MIA 65, BOS 70	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.22,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.14,0.21,0.43,0.85,1	88.0%
CHI 106, BKN 107	0.5,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.76,0.65,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.37,0.45,0.58,1	87.8%