NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	134		Excitement	8.7 [222]		MVP	LeBron James (LAL): +43.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	130		Comeback	2.0 [423]		LVP	LaMelo Ball (CHA): -18.4%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0.31	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.31	0.07	0.23	-0.00	9	75%	0.36	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
P.J. Washington	0.25	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25	0.16	0.11	0.02	13	73%	0.29	1	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Mason Plumlee	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.05	0.01	7	69%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	15	59%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jalen McDaniels	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	70%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Theo Maledon	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	5	58%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Terry Rozier	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.03	0.12	-0.10	-0.00	15	77%	0.09	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nick Richards	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	71%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
LaMelo Ball	-0.18	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,-0.18	-0.03	-0.15	0.00	22	50%	0.09	4	-0.27	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.27,0.44	0.44	0.17	0.28	0.01	23	71%	0.51	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.02
Wenyen Gabriel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.00	5	93%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	5	110%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	12	61%	0.12	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Troy Brown Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Max Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Austin Reaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,-0.04	-0.04	0.08	-0.11	0.01	10	74%	0.23	3	-0.27	7	71%	-0.02
Lonnie Walker IV	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.06	0.00	13	48%	0.01	1	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	8	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	10	45%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.3	27.5	15.3	25.7	2.4	36.3	137.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +22.4%

LAL -2.2%

CHA +22.2%

CHA +5.4%

CHA +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	LAL	NBA	CHA	LAL	NBA
this game	13.5	13.5	14.4	124.1	123.8	113.4
season	14.0	14.1		107.8	113.1
opponent	14.2	14.3		112.1	114.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	12.9	11.6	15.0	14.6	13.5
LAL	14.8	14.6	14.3	10.7	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordon Hayward	72	70	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.13	14	-10	24	12.9	14.7	-1.76	13.6	13.3	0.31
Mason Plumlee	67	67	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.48	-2	6	-8	14.5	11.9	2.61	13.5	13.5	0.04
Nick Richards	27	26	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.09	17	-13	30	11.3	14.3	-3.01	15.9	12.7	3.19
LaMelo Ball	85	83	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.34	1	3	-2	13.7	12.9	0.77	13.1	15.0	-1.81
Jalen McDaniels	43	41	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.02	13	-9	22	12.1	14.5	-2.41	14.3	13.0	1.30
Terry Rozier	84	81	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.49	-7	11	-18	14.3	10.7	3.67	12.7	16.3	-3.64
Theo Maledon	23	22	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.05	3	1	2	12.9	13.7	-0.77	15.0	13.1	1.81
P.J. Washington	70	69	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.39	-9	13	-22	14.1	12.4	1.73	12.9	14.8	-1.91
Kelly Oubre Jr.	69	66	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.15	-10	14	-24	13.3	13.8	-0.47	13.7	13.3	0.38

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thomas Bryant	71	73	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.26	10	-14	24	14.4	11.8	2.56	14.2	12.2	1.99
Lonnie Walker IV	59	61	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.25	8	-12	20	14.0	12.9	1.16	13.8	13.1	0.73
Russell Westbrook	55	57	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.27	8	-12	20	12.6	14.6	-1.98	13.4	13.7	-0.32
Austin Reaves	65	66	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.22	3	-7	10	13.0	14.3	-1.33	12.9	14.5	-1.61
Wenyen Gabriel	35	36	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	2	-8	14.7	12.9	1.74	13.1	13.7	-0.57
Troy Brown Jr.	16	19	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	7	-18	15.2	13.2	2.04	13.4	13.6	-0.18
Max Christie	21	20	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	7	-18	16.0	12.9	3.15	12.0	13.9	-1.86
LeBron James	77	80	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.30	-6	2	-8	12.9	15.4	-2.50	13.3	14.2	-0.99
Dennis Schroder	58	59	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.28	-8	4	-12	13.2	13.9	-0.67	14.2	12.7	1.55
Patrick Beverley	68	69	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.33	-7	3	-10	12.7	15.1	-2.36	13.7	13.3	0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.31,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.23,0.25,0.23,0.29,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.07,0.14,0.2,0.24,0.1,0.2,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 99, NOH 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.23,0.19,0.28,0.15,0.08,0	91.9%
MIL 79, CHA 74	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.24,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.41,0.29,0.21,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.14,0.25,0.12,0.03,0.08,0	91.8%
DAL 98, CLE 90	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.39,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.1,0.09,0.17,0.12,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.17,0.09,0.13,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	91.8%