inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 111 Excitement7.8 [380] MVPTyrese Haliburton (IND): +75.2%
Miami Heat 108 Comeback2.6 [278] LVPBam Adebayo (MIA): -14.9%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyrese Haliburton0.750,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.750.380.410.042096%0.823-0.065100%0.02
Buddy Hield0.250,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.160.100.001570%0.2500.0000%0.00
Jalen Smith0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.090.03-0.00974%0.151-0.021100%0.01
Oshae Brissett-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05-0.04-0.000.00635%-0.021-0.03540%-0.03
Andrew Nembhard-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.001145%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Myles Turner-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.00456%0.074-0.121100%0.01
Bennedict Mathurin-0.070,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.020.01643%-0.022-0.05250%-0.01
T.J. McConnell-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.01-0.02617%-0.052-0.0400%0.00
Chris Duarte-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.04-0.050.00633%-0.051-0.0500%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyler Herro0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.270.270.090.210.032357%0.322-0.053100%0.02
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.110.030.011664%0.171-0.041100%0.01
Jimmy Butler0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.090.000.011167%0.101-0.02887%0.03
Haywood Highsmith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.070.070.070.020.01771%0.0700.0000%0.00
Victor Oladipo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.010.00736%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Caleb Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Max Strus0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.04-0.00933%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Orlando Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.010.0020%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Bam Adebayo0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.06-0.080.011945%-0.063-0.092100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.61.726.314.825.32.535.6132.8
league avg25.82.328.215.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +72.4%
MIA -5.3%
MIA -2.8%
MIA -15.0%
IND +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDMIANBAINDMIANBA
this game14.116.614.4119.4113.7113.4
season13.715.1113.3111.9
opponent14.614.4112.1116.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND11.813.813.717.614.1
MIA16.416.217.016.716.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Duarte39380.74-0.240.980.489-61512.215.4-3.2317.316.01.31
Buddy Hield65690.64-0.140.780.1417-143114.113.90.2816.716.20.45
Tyrese Haliburton73750.54-0.040.580.424-1514.014.4-0.4416.217.8-1.57
Myles Turner46490.340.160.190.2630315.212.92.2617.415.61.80
Andrew Nembhard65660.260.240.020.29-14-514.612.71.9217.015.51.50
Jalen Smith47460.160.34-0.190.1603-312.915.2-2.2615.617.4-1.80
T.J. McConnell39390.050.45-0.410.16-47-1113.714.3-0.5316.916.30.66
Bennedict Mathurin3941-0.060.56-0.63-0.0912-114.213.90.2616.616.60.01
Oshae Brissett5252-0.160.66-0.820.25-1417-3114.913.01.8815.417.9-2.51

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Caleb Martin38370.31-0.811.130.088-111916.716.50.1714.613.70.85
Jimmy Butler5555-0.08-0.420.340.01-30-317.315.51.7813.015.6-2.53
Orlando Robinson2223-0.18-0.320.15-0.06-41-515.117.0-1.9112.214.7-2.50
Kyle Lowry6664-0.22-0.280.06-0.313-6917.015.41.6014.413.31.08
Tyler Herro7675-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.435-81315.919.1-3.1214.910.74.20
Bam Adebayo7370-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.351-4517.015.11.9114.712.22.50
Max Strus4445-0.34-0.16-0.170.02-129-2116.816.40.4012.415.6-3.29
Victor Oladipo5654-0.650.15-0.80-0.39-96-1516.117.2-1.0113.914.3-0.39
Haywood Highsmith4542-0.740.24-0.98-0.62-41-516.216.9-0.6815.013.31.77


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.21,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 96, MIL 890.5,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.16,0.18,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.01,0,093.5%
CHI 113, MIL 1040.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.65,0.66,0.55,0.7,0.61,0.55,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.48,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,093.2%
SAS 114, PHX 1040.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.08,093.0%