NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	98		Excitement	9.1 [170]		MVP	Jerami Grant (POR): +16.3%
Oklahoma City Thunder	101		Comeback	5.8 [225]		LVP	Damian Lillard (POR): -48.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerami Grant	0.16	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.03	0.11	-0.02	14	55%	0.24	2	-0.08	3	33%	-0.03
Keon Johnson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.08	0.00	1	150%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trendon Watford	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.06	0.01	5	80%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	7	75%	0.10	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Shaedon Sharpe	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.01	5	80%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	11	55%	0.13	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justise Winslow	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	-0.16	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16	0.00	-0.14	0.02	7	81%	0.00	5	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Damian Lillard	-0.49	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.49	-0.11	-0.40	-0.02	19	40%	-0.38	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenrich Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.12	0.00	7	56%	0.18	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	0.01	8	75%	0.17	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Lindy Waters III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	1	150%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luguentz Dort	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	11	58%	0.10	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Joe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eugene Omoruyi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aleksej Pokusevski	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	7	37%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Giddey	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,-0.21	-0.21	0.02	-0.23	0.01	8	72%	0.03	3	-0.24	2	50%	-0.02
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.2,-0.2,-0.31	-0.31	-0.03	-0.24	0.03	19	53%	-0.11	5	-0.21	13	85%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.7	28.2	14.5	25.4	2.5	29.1	126.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -13.8%

OKC +11.4%

OKC +56.5%

POR -4.4%

OKC +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	OKC	NBA	POR	OKC	NBA
this game	16.5	13.9	14.4	104.3	105.2	113.4
season	14.7	13.7		113.4	113.5
opponent	14.5	14.1		112.8	117.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.8	18.5	15.6	16.3	16.5
OKC	13.6	15.8	11.6	15.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keon Johnson	15	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-3	3	18.1	16.2	1.97	15.2	13.6	1.58
Shaedon Sharpe	37	37	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.05	1	-4	5	18.1	15.5	2.60	14.1	13.7	0.31
Drew Eubanks	38	40	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-1	-1	17.2	16.0	1.18	13.1	14.4	-1.27
Trendon Watford	34	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.07	-5	2	-7	18.1	15.6	2.48	15.1	13.2	1.89
Justise Winslow	32	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.10	-6	3	-9	17.0	16.2	0.84	13.7	13.9	-0.17
Jerami Grant	69	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.28	-1	-2	1	16.1	17.4	-1.26	13.9	13.8	0.08
Anfernee Simons	57	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.35	0	-3	3	15.9	17.4	-1.57	13.6	14.2	-0.57
Jusuf Nurkic	45	46	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.49	3	-6	9	16.0	16.9	-0.96	13.8	13.9	-0.03
Damian Lillard	73	75	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.37	-2	-1	-1	15.9	18.5	-2.57	13.9	13.7	0.19
Josh Hart	70	72	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.40	-3	0	-3	15.6	18.9	-3.27	13.5	14.9	-1.40

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Williams	61	59	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.59	5	-2	7	14.1	13.4	0.73	16.3	16.7	-0.42
Josh Giddey	63	60	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.66	1	2	-1	13.9	13.9	-0.02	16.7	16.1	0.66
Luguentz Dort	79	77	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.40	5	-2	7	13.7	14.5	-0.74	16.1	18.2	-2.14
Mike Muscala	45	40	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.46	1	2	-1	13.4	14.3	-0.87	15.7	17.1	-1.40
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	74	73	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.37	-1	4	-5	13.3	15.6	-2.30	15.6	19.6	-3.98
Lindy Waters III	14	13	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	-1	5	13.4	14.0	-0.59	16.8	16.4	0.43
Kenrich Williams	49	51	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.19	6	-3	9	14.5	13.2	1.36	17.1	15.7	1.35
Eugene Omoruyi	6	6	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	3	-3	16.5	13.7	2.81	21.3	16.1	5.19
Aaron Wiggins	17	18	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.05	0	3	-3	14.5	13.7	0.74	17.2	16.3	0.92
Aleksej Pokusevski	37	38	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	7	-11	14.4	13.5	0.84	17.4	15.9	1.49
Isaiah Joe	35	35	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.18	-2	5	-7	13.4	14.1	-0.73	16.7	16.3	0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.23,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.23,0.32,0.37,0.44,0.45,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.21,0.32,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 88, CLE 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.72,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.91,1	90.6%
SAC 104, SEA 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.34,0.37,0.53,0.81,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.23,0.42,1	90.5%
TOR 97, MIL 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.18,0.28,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.62,0.7,0.82,0.8,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.29,0.23,0.85,1	90.4%