NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	113		Excitement	7.7 [400]		MVP	Pascal Siakam (TOR): +64.2%
New York Knicks	106		Comeback	1.8 [577]		LVP	Jalen Brunson (NYK): -29.5%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0.64	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.64	0.41	0.28	0.05	25	76%	0.68	1	-0.04	18	89%	0.11
Fred VanVleet	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.13,0.07,-0.1,0.08,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	24	54%	0.14	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
O.G. Anunoby	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	15	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Flynn	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juancho Hernangomez	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Koloko	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	3	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Boucher	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Barnes	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	10	10%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25	0.25	0.15	0.12	0.02	17	70%	0.29	2	-0.04	9	44%	-0.06
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.23,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.19	-0.00	0.00	10	100%	0.29	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	4	100%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
RJ Barrett	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	-0.04	0.02	19	68%	0.14	4	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	62%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jericho Sims	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.3,-0.29	-0.29	-0.20	-0.10	-0.00	14	24%	-0.15	5	-0.14	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.5	28.6	15.4	29.6	2.8	30.3	135.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -38.1%

TOR +29.4%

TOR +16.7%

TOR +40.6%

TOR +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NYK	NBA	TOR	NYK	NBA
this game	15.8	16.0	14.4	122.8	119.1	113.4
season	14.7	15.1		114.0	115.6
opponent	14.4	14.5		112.9	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.9	13.5	17.6	18.5	15.8
NYK	16.1	18.0	15.8	14.2	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malachi Flynn	49	49	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.23	16	-9	25	15.5	16.1	-0.61	15.7	16.5	-0.85
Thaddeus Young	46	45	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.29	11	-4	15	15.8	15.8	0.02	15.3	16.7	-1.42
O.G. Anunoby	69	68	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.40	5	2	3	16.0	15.0	1.00	16.2	15.5	0.67
Chris Boucher	25	25	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.13	11	-4	15	14.2	16.4	-2.24	16.6	15.8	0.84
Pascal Siakam	78	76	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.19	8	-1	9	15.8	15.6	0.18	16.1	15.7	0.40
Christian Koloko	10	10	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.05	7	0	7	15.2	15.9	-0.67	18.7	15.7	3.00
Fred VanVleet	77	73	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.23	-5	12	-17	16.2	13.7	2.54	15.6	18.1	-2.47
Juancho Hernangomez	53	50	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	9	-11	15.9	15.6	0.35	16.9	14.9	2.07
Scottie Barnes	53	49	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	0.03	-16	23	-39	15.8	15.8	0.04	15.6	16.5	-0.89

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mitchell Robinson	44	48	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.14	9	-16	25	16.6	15.5	1.10	16.6	14.9	1.74
Derrick Rose	15	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-6	5	16.5	15.9	0.60	14.6	16.0	-1.43
Julius Randle	74	77	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.32	7	-14	21	15.6	18.4	-2.85	16.0	14.7	1.27
Immanuel Quickley	63	67	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.29	2	-9	11	15.5	17.4	-1.91	16.4	14.0	2.41
Jalen Brunson	73	75	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.28	-1	-6	5	16.0	16.2	-0.19	16.2	14.1	2.13
Jericho Sims	20	21	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	4	-15	16.6	15.9	0.73	13.6	16.4	-2.82
Miles McBride	27	27	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	7	-21	17.1	15.5	1.60	13.7	16.6	-2.91
RJ Barrett	84	86	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.27	-10	3	-13	16.3	11.2	5.12	16.1	10.8	5.31
Isaiah Hartenstein	45	44	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.15	-16	9	-25	15.5	16.6	-1.10	14.9	16.6	-1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.17,0.09,0.1,0.19,0.33,0.31,0.54,0.45,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 114, MIL 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.31,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.29,0.2,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.17,0.29,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.32,0.08,0	89.7%
MIA 101, DET 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.29,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.42,0	89.5%
HOU 92, MIN 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.15,0.08,0.15,0.09,0.19,0.45,0.32,0.42,0	89.4%