NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	122		Excitement	14.7 [2]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (CHI): +83.7%
Atlanta Hawks	123		Comeback	18.8 [99]		LVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): -16.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0.84	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.27,0.35,0.27,0.15,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.84	0.17	0.67	-0.00	21	60%	0.96	1	-0.12	15	93%	0.39
Derrick Jones Jr.	0.79	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.35,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.79	0.12	0.67	0.00	7	87%	0.79	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.23
Coby White	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.27	0.04	0.23	-0.01	12	50%	0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	9	67%	0.17	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02
Ayo Dosunmu	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.06	-0.11	0.02	11	59%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	10	40%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	7	14%	-0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	-0.16	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16	-0.04	-0.10	0.02	16	60%	0.05	7	-0.21	3	67%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
AJ Griffin	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.16,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,0.55	0.55	0.02	0.56	0.03	17	49%	0.73	1	-0.18	1	100%	0.01
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.06	0.21	-0.01	13	62%	0.30	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.13	0.15	0.01	9	79%	0.27	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Trae Young	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.14,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.26	0.26	-0.15	0.41	0.00	18	42%	0.50	6	-0.24	9	78%	0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.22,0.3,0.27,0.24	0.24	0.09	0.16	0.00	22	61%	0.33	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.04	0.00	8	74%	0.16	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	2	120%	0.14	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trent Forrest	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.01	6	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.1	0.2	28.7	15.3	28.6	2.2	33.6	2.7	12.5	147.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.0	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +182.3%

CHI -147.3%

ATL +6.4%

ATL +3.7%

ATL +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ATL	NBA	CHI	ATL	NBA
this game	13.7	14.4	14.4	108.0	108.8	113.4
season	14.1	13.8		112.0	115.1
opponent	14.4	14.9		114.9	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHI	14.2	14.5	13.0	13.4	12.9	13.7
ATL	14.6	12.7	14.7	14.3	19.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goran Dragic	39	39	0.84	-1.34	2.18	0.72	4	-5	9	13.4	13.9	-0.42	12.7	15.4	-2.66
Coby White	63	66	0.75	-1.25	1.99	0.51	8	-9	17	13.5	14.0	-0.49	14.9	13.7	1.18
Andre Drummond	38	38	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-3	5	12.6	14.3	-1.66	13.2	15.1	-1.92
Nikola Vucevic	65	66	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	1	-3	14.5	12.7	1.81	14.5	14.3	0.27
Ayo Dosunmu	31	30	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.00	-5	4	-9	14.3	13.5	0.76	14.0	14.6	-0.54
Patrick Williams	52	53	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	4	-9	14.2	13.3	0.93	14.7	14.2	0.50
DeMar DeRozan	97	97	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.47	3	-4	7	13.9	12.8	1.04	14.1	16.6	-2.55
Javonte Green	33	32	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.50	-3	2	-5	12.9	14.0	-1.09	14.6	14.4	0.22
Zach LaVine	83	82	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.44	-8	7	-15	14.1	12.7	1.37	14.8	13.5	1.22
Derrick Jones Jr.	54	53	-1.59	1.09	-2.67	-1.64	2	-3	5	13.0	14.4	-1.36	15.1	13.8	1.28

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trae Young	88	92	1.62	-1.12	2.74	1.42	7	-6	13	14.9	12.8	2.05	13.4	15.0	-1.53
AJ Griffin	84	85	1.38	-0.88	2.26	1.20	6	-5	11	14.9	13.0	1.93	14.1	12.6	1.42
Bogdan Bogdanovic	77	76	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.71	-1	2	-3	14.5	14.3	0.19	13.1	14.9	-1.80
De'Andre Hunter	56	57	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.13	9	-8	17	13.7	15.2	-1.46	14.2	13.2	0.94
Justin Holiday	12	11	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	3	-5	9.4	15.0	-5.61	12.6	13.8	-1.19
Onyeka Okongwu	47	49	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.09	1	0	1	13.5	15.1	-1.62	14.0	13.5	0.44
Jalen Johnson	35	34	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.14	-8	9	-17	14.1	14.6	-0.55	12.6	14.2	-1.52
Clint Capela	66	62	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.16	-2	3	-5	15.1	13.5	1.62	13.8	13.6	0.25
Aaron Holiday	31	31	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.17	-5	6	-11	13.8	14.7	-0.86	13.2	13.9	-0.71
Trent Forrest	69	68	-0.68	1.18	-1.86	-0.68	0	1	-1	15.1	13.3	1.79	14.6	12.4	2.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.73,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.78,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.55,0.45,0.53,0.59,0.46,0.55,0.71,0.85,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 121, HOU 126	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.78,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.64,0.6,0.72,0.81,0.36,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.78,0.91,1	90.5%
ORL 78, NOK 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.46,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.95,1	90.3%
NOP 117, LAL 120	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.82,0.89,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.83,0.63,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.73,0.54,0.69,0.71,0.86,0.96,1	90.3%