NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	114		Excitement	9.2 [159]		MVP	Nicolas Batum (LAC): +36.9%
Washington Wizards	107		Comeback	7.2 [365]		LVP	John Wall (LAC): -15.1%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.37	0.04	0.33	-0.00	12	50%	0.37	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0.31	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.29,0.31	0.16	0.16	0.00	27	61%	0.34	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Marcus Morris Sr.	0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.16	0.09	0.02	10	79%	0.23	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Luke Kennard	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.00	7	67%	0.15	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Kawhi Leonard	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	13	46%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Moses Brown	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Boston Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.03	0.04	5	40%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.05	-0.12	-0.01	13	43%	-0.04	2	-0.11	4	75%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deni Avdija	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.11	-0.01	10	55%	0.19	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Goodwin	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	13	57%	0.12	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.08,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.02	0.01	27	65%	0.28	6	-0.22	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,0.08,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.02	0.01	20	57%	0.16	3	-0.13	13	92%	0.12
Daniel Gafford	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Kispert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	11	32%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devon Dotson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	1.8	25.3	14.5	31.3	2.5	36.2	136.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +45.7%

WAS -17.0%

WAS -4.7%

LAC +27.4%

WAS -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	WAS	NBA	LAC	WAS	NBA
this game	14.8	13.8	14.4	114.0	104.9	113.4
season	14.6	14.8		113.7	113.4
opponent	14.2	14.4		114.6	113.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.3	13.6	13.2	15.4	14.8
WAS	14.8	12.6	13.4	14.6	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	66	69	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.22	19	-12	31	14.5	15.3	-0.87	14.5	12.2	2.26
Paul George	84	85	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.33	8	-1	9	15.0	13.3	1.71	14.0	12.4	1.64
Luke Kennard	50	53	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.03	18	-11	29	13.8	15.7	-1.86	13.9	13.6	0.27
Terance Mann	25	26	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.23	7	0	7	13.1	15.3	-2.23	12.8	14.1	-1.35
Marcus Morris Sr.	62	65	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.28	5	2	3	14.6	15.1	-0.49	13.4	14.4	-0.99
Kawhi Leonard	61	62	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	7	-7	15.4	13.8	1.61	14.3	12.9	1.40
Brandon Boston Jr.	34	32	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	8	-9	14.5	14.9	-0.38	13.6	13.9	-0.26
John Wall	60	61	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.18	-9	16	-25	15.5	13.7	1.79	13.6	14.0	-0.42
Moses Brown	16	16	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	11	-15	14.3	14.8	-0.52	10.6	14.4	-3.74
Ivica Zubac	42	41	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.00	-8	15	-23	15.5	14.2	1.25	13.8	13.8	0.05

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kristaps Porzingis	75	77	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.19	6	-13	19	13.9	13.4	0.55	15.3	12.8	2.56
Taj Gibson	7	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.06	-5	-2	-3	13.6	13.8	-0.22	11.9	15.0	-3.11
Deni Avdija	79	80	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-11	15	14.3	11.9	2.40	15.3	12.3	3.00
Jordan Goodwin	82	81	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.31	5	-12	17	12.8	17.9	-5.13	14.8	14.4	0.41
Anthony Gill	36	32	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.05	-8	1	-9	14.5	13.4	1.08	14.0	15.1	-1.06
Devon Dotson	32	30	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.04	-10	3	-13	14.7	13.3	1.42	15.1	14.6	0.45
Daniel Gafford	27	23	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.10	-13	6	-19	13.4	13.9	-0.55	12.8	15.3	-2.56
Kyle Kuzma	82	81	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.35	-5	-2	-3	13.0	17.1	-4.14	14.7	15.0	-0.31
Corey Kispert	90	89	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	2	-11	14.3	9.5	4.84	14.6	16.2	-1.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.73,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.74,0.56,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.23,0.47,0.29,0.53,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 103, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.9,0.81,0.68,0.54,0.57,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.27,0	90.1%
POR 95, LAL 92	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.58,0	89.9%
UTA 94, LAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.75,0.76,0.67,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.29,0.39,0.31,0.54,0.32,0.58,0	89.6%