NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	115		Excitement	8.7 [230]		MVP	Myles Turner (IND): +50.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	121		Comeback	3.2 [611]		LVP	Bennedict Mathurin (IND): -20.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Myles Turner	0.50	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.25,0.5	0.17	0.36	0.03	11	88%	0.55	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.18	0.02	0.01	14	84%	0.32	3	-0.13	3	100%	0.01
Buddy Hield	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.06	0.17	-0.06	0.05	15	84%	0.15	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Isaiah Jackson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	2	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kendall Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	1	0.02	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oshae Brissett	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Aaron Nesmith	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	4	40%	-0.00	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Nembhard	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	10	35%	-0.09	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	0.02	16	37%	-0.16	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0.03,0.12,0.08,0.19,0.28,0.26,0.39,0.39	0.39	0.12	0.29	0.01	18	67%	0.48	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.2	0.20	0.01	0.17	-0.02	12	55%	0.22	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.07
Jordan McLaughlin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.07	-0.01	5	60%	0.14	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Nowell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	13	48%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	10	60%	0.08	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Luka Garza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Wendell Moore Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	6	54%	-0.00	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.07	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.08,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	18	57%	0.10	6	-0.15	10	90%	0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.7	1.8	38.2	14.6	23.4	1.8	29.0	137.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -10.7%

MIN +40.0%

MIN +35.5%

IND -18.4%

MIN +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIN	NBA	IND	MIN	NBA
this game	12.7	14.3	14.4	107.5	114.2	113.4
season	13.7	14.1		113.3	112.4
opponent	14.3	14.4		112.7	116.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.1	10.7	12.5	15.1	12.7
MIN	12.6	14.1	14.7	16.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrese Haliburton	79	79	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.28	12	-18	30	12.6	13.1	-0.50	15.2	11.9	3.30
Aaron Nesmith	70	69	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.41	14	-20	34	13.8	10.7	3.11	15.1	12.8	2.26
Myles Turner	73	73	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.42	13	-19	32	12.8	12.7	0.09	14.9	13.0	1.86
Buddy Hield	80	78	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.28	8	-14	22	12.7	12.9	-0.20	15.0	12.5	2.46
Goga Bitadze	6	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-2	-2	10.8	12.9	-2.02	11.3	14.5	-3.16
Oshae Brissett	20	19	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	0	-6	10.5	13.2	-2.69	12.0	14.8	-2.82
Kendall Brown	15	14	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.10	-9	3	-12	10.3	13.1	-2.80	10.2	14.9	-4.72
Isaiah Jackson	28	27	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.06	-15	9	-24	13.1	12.6	0.45	13.4	14.6	-1.21
Bennedict Mathurin	73	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.22	-7	1	-8	11.8	14.9	-3.10	14.0	15.1	-1.17
T.J. McConnell	23	23	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.04	-17	11	-28	14.1	12.4	1.72	12.4	14.8	-2.40
Andrew Nembhard	68	68	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.18	-19	13	-32	13.6	11.2	2.41	14.3	14.3	-0.05

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaylen Nowell	57	56	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.11	21	-15	36	14.7	13.8	0.92	12.7	12.8	-0.05
Rudy Gobert	70	71	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.06	15	-9	24	14.2	14.5	-0.33	13.3	11.7	1.57
Austin Rivers	44	47	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.17	11	-5	16	13.0	15.3	-2.28	12.3	13.0	-0.71
Kyle Anderson	51	52	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.10	10	-4	14	13.2	15.3	-2.11	12.9	12.6	0.28
Jordan McLaughlin	51	51	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.01	9	-3	12	13.7	14.9	-1.13	11.4	13.9	-2.53
Naz Reid	25	26	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.12	4	2	2	14.2	14.3	-0.09	11.8	13.0	-1.18
Jaden McDaniels	79	78	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.34	-5	11	-16	14.9	12.7	2.21	13.5	10.8	2.67
D'Angelo Russell	57	57	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.26	-7	13	-20	15.5	12.9	2.55	14.1	11.2	2.93
Anthony Edwards	80	80	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	10	-14	14.2	14.6	-0.40	12.1	14.7	-2.68
Luka Garza	9	9	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.17	-11	17	-28	16.3	14.1	2.21	12.0	12.8	-0.81
Wendell Moore Jr.	7	8	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.20	-13	19	-32	15.4	14.2	1.20	11.7	12.8	-1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.74,0.83,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.8,0.79,0.69,0.67,0.77,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.29,0.4,0.5,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.91,0.73,0.75,0.93,0.78,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 111, ATL 116	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.76,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.59,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.61,0.69,0.78,0.67,0.96,1	90.5%
CLE 98, CHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.77,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.69,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.73,1	90.5%
ATL 102, MIL 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.71,0.66,0.81,0.72,0.61,0.5,0.58,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.99,1,1	89.9%