NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	111		Excitement	11.6 [27]		MVP	Nicolas Batum (LAC): +52.9%
Orlando Magic	116		Comeback	18.2 [42]		LVP	Markelle Fultz (ORL): -40.8%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0.53	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.53	0.12	0.39	-0.02	11	73%	0.53	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.26	0.05	0.17	-0.03	9	62%	0.28	2	-0.02	8	50%	-0.15
Terance Mann	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.01	0.00	10	86%	0.28	2	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Amir Coffey	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	3	37%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Moses Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	44%	0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Robert Covington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.03,-0.01	0.02	-0.04	-0.01	9	56%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.02	-0.04	20	35%	-0.01	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Kawhi Leonard	-0.30	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.3	-0.10	-0.22	-0.02	15	41%	-0.21	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Paul George	-0.34	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34	-0.10	-0.24	0.00	12	41%	-0.22	4	-0.12	3	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paolo Banchero	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.44	0.44	0.07	0.41	0.04	13	57%	0.49	2	-0.04	14	93%	0.21
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.08	0.14	0.01	13	65%	0.33	2	-0.11	5	100%	0.04
Bol Bol	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.05	0.01	14	69%	0.15	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.02
Admiral Schofield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	7	64%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Houstan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	2	71%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Franz Wagner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.07,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.06	0.08	-0.02	19	37%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Cole Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.03	13	48%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markelle Fultz	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.41	-0.41	-0.13	-0.32	-0.04	4	10%	-0.19	3	-0.22	2	50%	-0.12

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	29.8	1.8	29.5	14.8	29.2	2.5	32.6	3.3	17.4	160.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.0	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -32.7%

ORL +62.6%

LAC -1.6%

ORL +21.8%

LAC -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	ORL	NBA	LAC	ORL	NBA
this game	16.6	13.8	14.4	104.7	112.6	113.4
season	14.6	14.3		113.7	111.0
opponent	14.5	14.4		113.0	113.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAC	16.9	19.0	16.1	16.2	13.0	16.6
ORL	15.0	13.2	13.8	13.2	14.3	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	66	63	0.69	-1.19	1.88	0.07	21	-26	47	16.8	16.2	0.55	13.7	14.1	-0.41
Nicolas Batum	77	74	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.28	13	-18	31	16.3	17.2	-0.93	13.9	13.7	0.14
Ivica Zubac	73	73	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.07	2	-7	9	16.2	17.3	-1.11	14.1	13.1	1.02
Moses Brown	29	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-2	-1	19.4	15.5	3.97	13.6	13.9	-0.27
Kawhi Leonard	64	61	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.50	4	-9	13	16.3	17.0	-0.76	13.1	14.9	-1.74
Terance Mann	73	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.12	-10	5	-15	16.9	15.9	0.95	13.8	13.8	-0.02
Robert Covington	48	48	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.25	-14	9	-23	15.9	17.2	-1.30	14.2	13.5	0.76
Reggie Jackson	62	60	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.31	-13	8	-21	16.5	16.6	-0.08	13.8	13.9	-0.10
Amir Coffey	38	37	-1.05	0.55	-1.61	-0.32	-25	20	-45	16.1	16.8	-0.76	14.3	13.6	0.74

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Franz Wagner	75	77	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.71	2	3	-1	14.0	13.3	0.69	15.7	18.9	-3.26
Mo Bamba	32	33	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.02	17	-12	29	14.5	13.5	0.98	17.4	16.2	1.16
Admiral Schofield	28	28	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.04	14	-9	23	14.4	13.6	0.78	16.9	16.4	0.44
Cole Anthony	51	51	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.19	21	-16	37	14.0	13.7	0.35	17.3	15.9	1.40
Bol Bol	67	69	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.25	-2	7	-9	14.0	13.5	0.46	16.4	16.9	-0.54
Caleb Houstan	23	24	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.15	8	-3	11	13.8	13.8	-0.05	17.2	16.4	0.88
Kevon Harris	20	19	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	4	-3	11.8	14.3	-2.45	16.2	16.7	-0.50
Paolo Banchero	75	78	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.31	-9	14	-23	13.6	14.4	-0.78	16.4	16.9	-0.44
Markelle Fultz	54	58	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.53	-17	22	-39	13.7	14.0	-0.33	16.4	16.7	-0.26
Moritz Wagner	71	73	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.38	-12	17	-29	13.5	14.5	-0.98	16.2	17.4	-1.16
Terrence Ross	19	20	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.12	2	3	-1	14.6	13.6	0.99	18.7	16.1	2.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.25,0.29,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.22,0.3,0.47,0.71,0.72,0.53,0.41,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.68,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 113, DEN 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.36,0.3,0.18,0.24,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.27,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.63,0.64,0.29,0.17,0.19,0.28,0.25,0.05,0	85.7%
UTA 103, SAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.22,0.34,0.38,0.58,0.58,0.41,0.54,0.46,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.42,1	85.7%
MIA 107, SAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.08,0.26,0.38,0.47,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.4,0.33,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.42,0	85.5%