NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	118		Excitement	7.8 [362]		MVP	Norman Powell (LAC): +44.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	112		Comeback	32.2 [36]		LVP	Reggie Jackson (LAC): -21.8%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Norman Powell	0.45	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.37,0.37,0.48,0.45	0.18	0.27	0.01	16	76%	0.55	4	-0.10	10	80%	0.01
Robert Covington	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.02	0.00	8	94%	0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.01	0.11	-0.01	3	50%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moussa Diabate	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Jason Preston	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris Sr.	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.01	-0.08	0.09	-0.00	13	29%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ivica Zubac	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	67%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Moses Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	8	55%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Amir Coffey	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	39%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.00	-0.18	0.04	23	48%	-0.10	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.27,0.2	0.20	0.26	-0.05	0.02	24	73%	0.23	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.05	-0.01	24	62%	0.28	2	-0.09	4	75%	0.02
Josh Hart	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.06	0.02	6	64%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Trendon Watford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	150%	0.05	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nassir Little	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Shaedon Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	7	31%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	15	43%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Justise Winslow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	10	45%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	3.3	33.6	15.6	28.4	3.5	33.4	144.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +16.9%

LAC +13.7%

LAC +21.4%

POR -1.6%

POR -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	POR	NBA	LAC	POR	NBA
this game	14.6	15.1	14.4	122.9	114.3	113.4
season	14.6	14.7		113.7	113.4
opponent	14.1	14.4		117.3	113.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.3	13.8	16.0	12.3	14.6
POR	15.7	11.9	15.3	18.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moussa Diabate	23	25	0.94	-0.44	1.37	0.38	19	-13	32	12.3	15.2	-2.90	18.2	14.1	4.12
Nicolas Batum	50	53	0.92	-0.42	1.33	0.27	22	-16	38	12.5	16.8	-4.32	16.0	14.1	1.93
Reggie Jackson	80	81	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.27	17	-11	28	14.8	13.1	1.79	16.2	10.2	5.93
Norman Powell	47	51	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.26	17	-11	28	12.6	16.4	-3.83	15.7	14.5	1.20
Marcus Morris Sr.	63	62	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.33	-1	7	-8	15.8	12.2	3.52	14.9	15.5	-0.54
Robert Covington	37	40	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.08	10	-4	14	12.2	16.0	-3.80	15.4	14.9	0.54
Moses Brown	8	8	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	8	-10	13.6	14.6	-1.01	12.0	15.4	-3.41
Jason Preston	14	14	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.08	-9	15	-24	13.0	14.8	-1.82	11.7	15.7	-3.99
Terance Mann	52	52	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.02	-9	15	-24	16.3	12.5	3.83	14.3	16.1	-1.84
Amir Coffey	51	49	-0.34	0.84	-1.19	0.04	-13	19	-32	16.3	12.6	3.76	13.7	16.5	-2.80
Ivica Zubac	55	55	-0.56	1.06	-1.62	0.06	-21	27	-48	16.0	12.6	3.43	14.2	16.3	-2.08

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerami Grant	77	76	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.07	2	-8	10	15.0	15.8	-0.80	15.4	11.4	3.92
Drew Eubanks	16	15	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.15	-4	-2	-2	17.5	14.7	2.83	14.1	14.6	-0.58
Nassir Little	32	31	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.12	-4	-2	-2	14.7	15.3	-0.61	13.2	15.2	-2.01
Shaedon Sharpe	31	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.19	-11	5	-16	15.3	15.1	0.23	11.7	15.8	-4.05
Anfernee Simons	86	84	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.31	-4	-2	-2	15.4	13.2	2.24	14.9	12.1	2.82
Trendon Watford	46	45	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.43	0	-6	6	14.6	15.6	-1.07	13.4	15.6	-2.21
Jusuf Nurkic	69	67	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.45	-2	-4	2	14.4	16.8	-2.41	14.6	14.4	0.20
Josh Hart	67	66	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.44	-4	-2	-2	15.2	15.0	0.15	15.0	13.6	1.43
Justise Winslow	66	67	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.52	-3	-3	0	15.6	14.1	1.50	15.4	12.5	2.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.51,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.8,0.63,0.47,0.47,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.33,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 121, DET 116	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.89,0.89,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.87,0.68,0.7,0.6,0.73,0.61,0.66,0.31,0.15,0	91.3%
BOS 105, POR 100	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.45,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.33,0.17,0	89.9%
LAC 117, CHA 115	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.42,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.59,0.73,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.26,0	89.8%