NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	101		Excitement	8.5 [252]		MVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): +30.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	104		Comeback	8.1 [240]		LVP	Trae Young (ATL): -27.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Andre Hunter	0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.08	0.20	-0.00	11	72%	0.32	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Justin Holiday	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.15	0.04	0.01	8	100%	0.23	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	1	100%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
AJ Griffin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	6	25%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Trent Forrest	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	0.03	-0.07	0.02	8	54%	-0.07	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.05
Dejounte Murray	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	0.02	13	61%	0.13	7	-0.24	2	100%	0.01
Clint Capela	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.02	-0.11	0.01	9	45%	-0.08	1	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
Trae Young	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.27	-0.00	-0.26	0.01	14	55%	0.03	3	-0.30	5	100%	0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,0.31	0.31	0.07	0.25	0.02	18	61%	0.53	4	-0.23	13	92%	0.11
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	-0.01	7	64%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shake Milton	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.00	20	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matisse Thybulle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.01	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.11	-0.06	0.03	18	65%	0.11	2	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Danuel House Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	12	35%	-0.09	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.0	29.0	14.7	24.5	2.5	40.2	137.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL -18.9%

PHI +29.6%

ATL -12.2%

PHI +53.8%

ATL -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHI	NBA	ATL	PHI	NBA
this game	14.1	15.9	14.4	104.1	109.5	113.4
season	13.8	15.2		115.1	115.9
opponent	14.5	14.4		112.3	114.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.0	14.2	14.8	13.5	14.1
PHI	15.5	15.8	15.2	17.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trent Forrest	32	32	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.08	7	-10	17	13.4	14.4	-1.06	15.4	16.2	-0.75
Clint Capela	70	65	-0.05	-0.46	0.41	0.07	-4	1	-5	13.8	14.9	-1.07	15.5	16.9	-1.46
Onyeka Okongwu	27	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.17	0	-3	3	14.9	13.8	1.07	17.4	15.3	2.13
John Collins	65	65	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.38	6	-9	15	14.5	13.3	1.20	15.5	16.8	-1.31
AJ Griffin	32	32	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.09	-6	3	-9	13.0	14.6	-1.66	16.9	15.4	1.46
De'Andre Hunter	66	64	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.40	4	-7	11	14.8	12.5	2.35	16.5	14.7	1.77
Dejounte Murray	81	79	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-1	-1	14.7	10.9	3.84	16.2	14.9	1.28
Trae Young	70	68	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.33	-7	4	-11	13.6	15.3	-1.73	15.2	17.9	-2.68
Justin Holiday	42	41	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.38	-13	10	-23	13.3	14.7	-1.45	15.9	16.0	-0.15

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matisse Thybulle	16	16	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.40	12	-9	21	12.7	16.6	-3.83	12.2	14.4	-2.19
Georges Niang	35	35	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.34	7	-4	11	16.5	15.6	0.91	14.0	14.1	-0.17
Joel Embiid	70	73	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.34	4	-1	5	15.5	17.1	-1.55	14.3	13.4	0.88
Danuel House Jr.	25	25	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.31	5	-2	7	14.3	16.5	-2.19	12.0	14.8	-2.86
Shake Milton	78	79	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.02	9	-6	15	15.7	16.9	-1.22	14.0	14.3	-0.24
De'Anthony Melton	62	65	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.43	-12	15	-27	16.7	14.5	2.18	14.5	13.2	1.34
Furkan Korkmaz	38	38	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	5	-7	16.6	15.5	1.03	14.1	14.1	-0.05
Paul Reed	25	25	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.08	-1	4	-5	17.1	15.5	1.55	12.9	14.5	-1.57
Tobias Harris	68	71	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	3	-3	16.6	14.3	2.24	14.8	12.2	2.58
P.J. Tucker	58	58	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.01	-7	10	-17	15.5	16.6	-1.12	14.5	13.4	1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.26,0.3,0.23,0.16,0.22,0.25,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.34,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.4,0.31,0.21,0.32,0.17,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 85, POR 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.2,0.28,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.15,0.26,1	90.8%
CHI 82, PHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.4,0.46,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.4,0.39,0.59,0.29,0.23,0.42,1	90.0%
SAS 104, ORL 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.26,0.18,0.25,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.5,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.15,0.11,0.05,1	90.0%