NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	106		Excitement	8.4 [266]		MVP	Bones Hyland (DEN): +35.0%
Denver Nuggets	103		Comeback	13.9 [92]		LVP	RJ Barrett (NYK): -13.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0.27	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.26,0.26,0.27	0.11	0.17	0.01	13	68%	0.29	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.10
Cam Reddish	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.08	-0.00	5	67%	0.15	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Julius Randle	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.04	21	62%	0.24	3	-0.11	13	69%	-0.14
Derrick Rose	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.04	-0.00	10	62%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jericho Sims	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	46%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Isaiah Hartenstein	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	8	44%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	-0.13	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.02	-0.03	18	27%	-0.12	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bones Hyland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.1,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.11,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.13	0.21	-0.00	15	66%	0.45	1	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Zeke Nnaji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.07	-0.00	7	76%	0.20	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Vlatko Cancar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Braun	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.03	-0.03	0.08	-0.10	0.00	9	68%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	10	60%	0.07	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	4	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.03	-0.09	0.02	5	62%	0.03	1	-0.11	6	100%	0.03
Michael Porter Jr.	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	8	28%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Murray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.11	-0.01	20	48%	-0.03	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.7	30.1	14.5	29.4	0.1	35.2	135.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN -13.3%

NYK +14.8%

NYK +8.8%

NYK +36.5%

NYK +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DEN	NBA	NYK	DEN	NBA
this game	14.4	16.1	14.4	111.6	109.6	113.4
season	15.1	14.7		115.6	116.6
opponent	14.5	14.4		112.3	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.1	14.8	15.6	14.2	14.4
DEN	15.7	16.5	15.0	17.1	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cam Reddish	74	75	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.46	13	-10	23	13.7	16.7	-2.97	16.2	15.8	0.37
Immanuel Quickley	55	53	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.40	11	-8	19	14.9	13.8	1.08	16.3	15.8	0.45
Julius Randle	64	66	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.50	7	-4	11	13.6	16.1	-2.47	16.0	16.2	-0.13
Jalen Brunson	61	62	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.55	1	2	-1	13.9	15.3	-1.39	16.1	16.1	0.03
Obi Toppin	46	42	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.16	7	-4	11	14.6	14.2	0.36	16.6	15.7	0.88
Jericho Sims	37	35	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.17	-2	5	-7	16.1	13.3	2.84	15.9	16.2	-0.27
Derrick Rose	34	32	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.14	2	1	1	15.3	13.9	1.39	16.1	16.1	-0.03
Isaiah Hartenstein	43	45	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.01	-6	9	-15	13.9	14.8	-0.90	15.8	16.3	-0.50
RJ Barrett	61	60	-0.57	1.07	-1.63	-0.04	-18	21	-39	14.8	13.7	1.08	15.8	16.6	-0.74

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	53	52	0.28	-0.78	1.07	-0.01	10	-13	23	15.1	17.3	-2.23	14.7	14.0	0.69
Bruce Brown	41	41	0.24	-0.74	0.97	0.24	0	-3	3	15.7	16.4	-0.71	15.2	13.8	1.44
Zeke Nnaji	51	52	0.20	-0.70	0.89	0.14	2	-5	7	15.9	16.3	-0.40	14.6	14.2	0.35
Vlatko Cancar	17	16	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.15	1	-4	5	17.5	15.8	1.69	16.7	13.9	2.75
Christian Braun	27	29	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.17	-3	0	-3	17.1	15.7	1.44	15.0	14.1	0.86
Bones Hyland	42	43	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.34	-6	3	-9	16.9	15.4	1.52	14.8	14.0	0.80
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	63	63	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.56	-2	-1	-1	15.6	17.0	-1.41	13.8	15.5	-1.71
Jamal Murray	65	65	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.61	-1	-2	1	15.9	16.4	-0.53	14.4	14.4	0.00
Jeff Green	54	56	-0.84	0.34	-1.17	-0.60	-8	5	-13	16.7	15.3	1.41	14.4	14.5	-0.10
Michael Porter Jr.	57	58	-0.87	0.37	-1.23	-0.63	-8	5	-13	16.1	16.1	-0.08	12.8	16.9	-4.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.33,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.89,0.82,0.91,0.86,0.64,0.09,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 86, HOU 85	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.84,0.78,0.76,0.63,0.43,0.58,0	90.0%
DAL 98, IND 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.6,0.62,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.62,0.46,0.15,0.27,0	89.8%
IND 101, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.34,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.87,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.46,0.14,0.16,0	89.7%